Monza vs AC Milan Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Jack Wright is back in Serie A with his expert Monza vs AC Milan prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview, where shots at goal takes his focus.

Our Monza vs AC Milan prediction is for AC Milan to win the match 1-2.

Monza vs AC Milan Prediction, Team News, Lineups and Fixtures Preview

• Monza vs AC Milan Prediction: Matteo Gabbia Over 0.5 Shots

In this article:

• Monza vs AC Milan Team News and Possible Lineups
• The Monza vs AC Milan, Serie A Standings Prediction
• Monza vs AC Milan Stats
• Monza Fixtures
• AC Milan Fixtures
• Safer Gambling

---

This week’s bettingexpert Football Podcast looking ahead at the weekend’s schedule

And if you’d rather see the Podcast, Daniel Jenkins, and Sam Ingram in all their glory, here’s the YouTube video.

---

Monza vs AC Milan Prediction: Welcome Matt being laid out in opposition box

Italy, Serie A, Sunday, February 18th, 19:45 (UK)

Monza extended their unbeaten run to three matches as they appear to be meandering to a mid-table Serie A finish. The weekend 0-0 draw with Verona was true to form for sides that only have two teams in the league who have scored fewer than their 21 goals.

At the other end of the field, things have improved since goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio returned to action. Three successive clean sheets suggest Raffaele Palladino’s men will at least make it tough for the visitors.

Milan won the reverse 3-0 to register a third successive victory against the Biancorossi since their promotion to the Italian topflight. They won both games at home by three goals, but this fixture last term was settled by a solitary strike from Junior Messias, further suggesting this won’t be a walkover for Stefano Pioli’s side.

In picking the shots market, I am looking at one of Milan’s defenders to continue to make an impact in the opposition box. In the absence of AC Milan’s injured defenders (see Team News), one of the players to most benefit is Matteo Gabbia who has started five matches in a row. The 24-year-old was involved in his first clean sheet against Napoli at the weekend but has had a shot in four of those five starts. The odds of 3.00 look like a big price for him to do so again here.

• Monza vs AC Milan Prediction: Matteo Gabbia Over 0.5 Shots (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 3.00
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stakes: 5/10

Monza vs AC Milan Prediction odds via bet365 as at 07:00, February 15th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

---

Monza vs AC Milan Team News and Possible Lineups: Chukwueze Returns

Vignato, Caprari, and of course, Papu Gomez, who faces a two-year suspension due to doping charges, all miss out for AC Milan’s trip to Monza for the home side.

The Rossoneri have suffered a catalogue of injuries to their defenders with centre-backs Mattia Caldara, Pierre Kalulu, Malick Thiaw and Fikayo Tomori all currently out but hoping to return at some stage this month.

Samuel Chukwueze returned from AFCON during the week to a hero’s welcome from coaches and players who had been watching his progress on the international stage intently. Chukwueze left Milan for his international commitments at the start of January (2nd), vacating his domestic duties for nearly six weeks.

Monza possible starting lineup:

Di Gregorio; Carboni, Mari, Izzo; Zerbin, Pessina, Bondo, Birindelli; Mota, Colpani; Colombo

AC Milan possible starting lineup:

Maignan; Hernández, Gabbia, Kjaer; Calabria, Bennancer, Adli, Leao, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Giroud

---

The Predicted Monza vs AC Milan, Serie A Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Serie A standings ahead of the Monza vs AC Milan, currently 11th vs 3rd, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Monza vs AC Milan Standings Prediction

Position	Club	Games	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	29.1	5.9	3.1	87.6	23.3	64.3	93.0
2	Juventus	38	24.6	8.8	4.6	59.6	24.5	35.2	82.7
3	AC Milan	38	21.6	7.5	8.9	70.2	47.1	23.1	72.3
4	Atalanta	38	19.6	6.8	11.6	65.3	40.7	24.6	65.5
5	Napoli	38	17.6	8.8	11.5	58.0	44.9	13.1	61.8
6	AS Roma	38	17.6	9.0	11.4	60.3	41.8	18.5	61.7
7	Bologna	38	15.2	13.4	9.4	48.1	39.3	8.8	59.1
8	Lazio	38	16.8	8.4	12.8	45.2	39.0	6.2	58.8
9	Fiorentina	38	15.6	8.0	14.4	51.6	47.3	4.3	54.8
10	Torino	38	13.7	12.7	11.6	36.6	35.6	1.0	53.7
11	Genoa	38	11.4	12.2	14.4	38.1	44.3	-6.2	46.4
12	Monza	38	11.1	11.8	15.2	37.1	50.9	-13.8	45.0
13	Lecce	38	9.3	12.5	16.2	42.2	58.4	-16.2	40.3
14	Sassuolo	38	10.6	7.9	19.5	49.2	64.6	-15.4	39.6
15	Frosinone	38	10.2	8.5	19.2	48.6	68.7	-20.1	39.3
16	Udinese	38	6.9	16.9	14.1	40.3	56.8	-16.6	37.8
17	Verona	38	8.5	10.0	19.5	36.5	51.9	-15.4	35.4
18	Cagliari	38	8.5	9.4	20.1	40.2	67.6	-27.4	35.0
19	Empoli	38	8.1	9.9	20.0	30.1	57.6	-27.5	34.2
20	Salernitana	38	4.7	10.2	23.0	32.0	72.6	-40.5	24.4

---

Match Stats: Leaky away from San Siro

• Only Inter Milan (17 games) are on a longer unbeaten run in Serie A than rivals AC Milan (9).
• AC Milan, Inter, and Atalanta have all won five games and drawn one in their last six outings – the form sides in the division.
• Olivier Giroud’s 11 of C Milan’s 47 goals this season is a 23% contribution to his team’s Serie A goal haul in 2023/24. Only Martinez (35%) and Vlahovic (33%) boasts more.
• AC Milan have conceded the most goals (20) away from home than any other team in the top 10 in Serie A.

---

Monza Fixtures: Three points in Milan to kick it all off?

• Vs AC Milan (H)
• Vs Salernitana (A)
• Vs Roma (H)
• Vs Genoa (A)
• Vs Cagliari (H)

AC Milan Fixtures: That’s some line-up

• Vs Rennes (H)
• Vs Monza (A)
• Vs Rennes (A)
• Vs Atalanta (H)
• Vs Lazio (H)

---

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.