Premier League Best Bets Oct 8th-10th: 4 Value Picks this Weekend
Premier League Best Bets: October 8th-10th
We’ve got more Premier League best bets for you this weekend. It promises to be another intriguing weekend of action in England’s top flight with a couple of eye-catching matches. The pick of the bunch is Arsenal vs Liverpool on Sunday afternoon. It’s a fixture that could tell us which side is likeliest to compete with Manchester City in the title race. That forms one of four best bets for this weekend.
In this article:
- Chelsea vs Wolves Preview & Best Bet
- Brighton vs Tottenham Preview & Best Bet
- Arsenal vs Liverpool Preview & Best Bet
- Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Preview & Best Bet
Chelsea vs Wolves Preview
Saturday, October 8th, 15:00 (UK)
It’s the first home league match for one new head coach as they host a manager-less side. Graham Potter’s Chelsea have had a solid start with a late comeback win in the Premier League last weekend and some decent performances in Europe. It’s a fixture in which they’ve struggled over the last few years.
But Chelsea will expect more coming into this one. Wolves’ recent form was bad enough to cost Bruno Lage his job this week. They’ve won only one of their last 15 Premier League matches in all fairness. There has been a downward trend that started back in April.
Goals remain the issue. Wolves have been without their biggest goal threats for much of the campaign. Raul Jimenez has barely kicked a ball and summer signing Sasa Kalajdzic will miss much of the season with an ACL tear. The temporary solution is former Chelsea man Diego Costa who could make his first Premier League start since 2017 upon his return to Stamford Bridge on Saturday.
Chelsea vs Wolves Best Bet
I like the look of the visitors here. Wolves are due a win after a major underperformance on their xG. Goals remain an issue but this is a good place to get one. Chelsea haven’t kept a Premier League clean sheet since back in April. They also haven’t won a home league match by more than one goal since January. Wolves have been given +1.25 goals on the Asian handicap line. Factor in the new manager bounce and that feels more than generous.
- Selection: Wolves +1.25 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.99 (bet365)
- Stakes: 8/10
Brighton vs Tottenham Preview
Saturday, October 8th, 17:30 (UK)
Brighton host a wounded Tottenham side eager to bounce back from a North London Derby defeat. It’s a tough task as Spurs travel to a side that sit just one place and three points below them in the Premier League table.
It’s a new era for the Seagulls. Graham Potter’s departure was a blow but Roberto De Zerbi seems to be aware that Brighton are on the right track. It’s rare for a new manager to join a club and know that they shouldn’t change too much. He appears to get the remit if that 3-3 draw at Anfield is anything to go by.
Spurs tasted defeat in the Premier League last weekend for only the second time since March. That 3-1 loss to Arsenal was their first of the season and their first since April against Brighton. The Seagulls have actually won two of their last three against Spurs. Go back a little further and you’ll see that Tottenham have won four of the six most recent meetings between the clubs.
Brighton vs Tottenham Best Bet
Roberto De Zerbi will face a familiar foe in his first Premier League match in charge of the Seagulls. He faced Antonio Conte on four occasions in Italy. Conte won three of them and I expect that run will continue. It was a fine result for the Seagulls on De Zerbi’s Premier League managerial debut but Tottenham should have enough to get the result here. They’ve won or drawn 75% of their last 12 league matches against Brighton. I expect that run to continue.
- Selection: Tottenham Draw no Bet (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.87 (Unibet)
- Stakes: 8/10
Arsenal vs Liverpool Preview
Sunday, October 9th. 16:30 (UK)
The match of the weekend in the English top-flight sees last season’s runners-up travel to the current league leaders. Arsenal vs Liverpool is usually good value for goals and entertainment. The Reds have dominated it for some time with nine wins and two draws from their last 12 Premier League matches. The most recent win for the Gunners was back in 2020 against a Liverpool side that had already won the league.
This is Arsenal’s best chance of getting a win against the Reds for some time. They haven’t entered a Premier League match against Liverpool as the bookmakers’ favourites to win for over five years. They were even outsiders when the Gunners hosted Liverpool back in March off the back of a five-match winning streak. It proved accurate as the visitors won 2-0.
It speaks volumes about Arsenal’s form that they are, at last, the favourites for this fixture. It’s not a major change at the best price of 2.64 to Liverpool’s 2.70. But the bookies overwhelmingly have this tie either cut down the middle or slightly in favour of the hosts. Seven wins from eight and some of the best underlying data in the league will do that.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Best Bet
I’m buying the hype. The Gunners look the real deal this season but this is their biggest test yet. Liverpool’s run of two league wins in seven is an obvious argument against Jurgen Klopp’s side. It’s also worth considering that the Reds played a Champions League match in midweek. Most, if not all of their key players started the match while the Gunners will have the chance to rotate in their Europa League tie.
This Arsenal side has so far passed the tests that were failed last campaign. They’ve responded to going a goal behind, they’ve bounced back from defeats and they’ve broken deep defences down with greater ease. This is their biggest test of the season so far.
Ignore the names and recent H2H. The home side is top of the Premier League with seven wins from eight and some of the best underlying data in the division. They are 2.64 to beat the team in 9th that hasn’t won an away game all season and is two wins from seven in the league. That’s value.
- Selection: Arsenal to Win (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 2.64 (SBK)
- Stakes: 6/10
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Preview
Monday, October 10th, 20:00 (UK)
Reports suggest that this will be Steve Cooper’s last chance in the Nottingham Forest hotseat. Forest sit bottom of the Premier League table with four points from eight matches. The 4-0 defeat to Leicester City was a disappointment but the defeats to Bournemouth and Fulham in their last three will be even more of a concern. It’s five straight losses for them and a six will surely cost Cooper his job.
Five points from three appear to have calmed calls for Steven Gerrard’s dismissal at Villa Park. Things still aren’t quite right. Villa are struggling for goals with a total of six from eight in the Premier League thus far. Only West Ham and Wolves have found the net fewer times than Villa this campaign.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Best Bet
It could be a high-scoring match. The scores were 3-1 and 5-5 when the sides last met in the league back in 2018-19. Forest have had at least four goals in each of their last four matches in the league.
That would be a good approach with the goal line at 2.5 but I’m looking at the handicap line here. Forest +0.25 is a good pick. I fancy them to get a result here and start picking up points soon. They’ve won the xG battle in two of their last three and were only .03 lower than Leicester in their previous outing despite the 0-4 scoreline. This will even out once these new players are settled at the club.
- Selection: Forest +0.25 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.99 (bet365)
- Stakes: 8/10
Best odds available as at 18:30 on October 5th 2022. Odds may now differ.
What are Football Best Bets?
Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.