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We have all the best prop bets for you ahead of the Premier League matches this weekend. There were several shock results last week and many teams will be looking to bounce back with a win.
Three of our five props bets won last week. That was the least profitable of all the props previews so far but it has been an exceptional run.
In this article:
Saturday, February 11th, 12:30 (UK)
West Ham host Chelsea in Saturday’s early kick-off. The Blues embarked on an unprecedented January spending spree and Stamford Bridge is now home to some of the brightest talents in Europe.
The Hammers earned a point against Newcastle in their last game. Three wins in their last five matches in all competitions has alleviated the pressure on David Moyes.
Graham Potter has also been heavily criticised this season. He arrived from Brighton with many admirers but some doubt his ability to manage a side as big as Chelsea. Potter now needs to knit this expensive squad of players together as the club set its sight on success in the post-Roman Abramovich era.
Chelsea’s away matches in the league this season are averaging 24.73 fouls per game. The Blues now have several players with great pace and technical ability and this helps to inflate the number of free kicks in a match.
The free kick count on bet365 will also include any offside infringements in the match. Chelsea’s away matches this season are averaging 3.55 offsides per game, while West Ham’s home matches are averaging 2.6 per game. The Hammers’ last league match saw 26 free kicks in the match.
Saturday, February 11th, 17:30 (UK)
Bournemouth have struggled in the last few months and have been dragged into the relegation zone. Gary O’Neil initially enjoyed a six-game unbeaten run when he took the reins after Scott Parker’s sacking. However, the Cherries have secured just four points in their 11 league matches since then.
Newcastle can climb back into third with a win here. The Magpies are chasing a spot in the top four but will expect fierce competition throughout the latter stages of the season. Eddie Howe will be keen to ensure their performance levels remain high with a cup final on the horizon.
Eddie Howe’s side should cause problems for a defence that has wilted in recent months. They had 20 shots in the 1-1 draw between these sides earlier in the season. They also managed 17 shots when they met in the cup.
Bournemouth are likely to struggle here. They have looked off the pace for a while and that is unlikely to change against a Newcastle side that are full of confidence. The Cherries are conceding an average of 17.6 shots per game in their last 10 matches
More Bournemouth vs Newcastle Tips
Sunday, February 12th, 14:00 (UK)
Manchester United hosted Leeds midweek and fell short of the standards they have set in recent months at Old Trafford. A lacklustre start to the first and second halves proved costly but they were able to salvage a draw after falling two goals behind.
Jesse Marsch was sacked by Leeds prior to their draw with Man United and the team responded brilliantly. Leeds came out of the blocks quickly and harassed their opponents high up the pitch all night. They will be hoping for a similar performance on Sunday when they are aided by the backing of their own fans.
Leeds made 30 tackles in Wednesday’s match. They have also made 24 and 30 tackles in Manchester United’s last two visits to Elland Road. This is the game that Leeds supporters look out for at the beginning of the season and the atmosphere should mean they are more inclined to get stuck in.
In Leeds’ last five matches where they have been similarly priced to win, they are averaging over 26 tackles per game. Erik Ten Hag’s are forcing 19.4 tackles per game form their opponents in their last five matches but the recent numbers in this fixture suggest this line is achievable.
More Leeds United vs Man United Tips
Sunday, February 12th, 16:30 (UK)
Manchester City were beaten by Tottenham in their last game. They failed to capitalise on Arsenal losing at Goodison Park. Pep’s side don’t look as formidable as they did last season but they have the necessary quality to finish the season strongly and snatch the title from Arsenal. This is dependent on any sanctions the club may face after the Premier League’s investigation.
Aston Villa haven’t beaten City since 2013. Things have improved since Unai Emery was appointed but they would have been bitterly disappointed by last week’s display against Leicester. They conceded four goals and a similar level of shoddiness at the back could see them get hammered at the Etihad.
Manchester City’s home matches in the league this season are averaging just 28.73 throws per game this season. This is the fewest in the Premier League. This bet has landed in two of Villa’s three visits to the Etihad since they returned to the top flight. The one where the bet lost saw exactly 34 throws.
When Villa went to Old Trafford in the League Cup, there were just 30 throws in the match. This game should play out in a similar manner in terms of throws. Emery’s side will be less inclined to put pressure on City high up the pitch which should lead to fewer throws.
More Man City vs Aston Villa Tips
Saturday, February 11th, 15:00 (UK)
Both of these sides came up from the Championship last season and have given themselves a great chance at survival. Nottingham Forest have climbed up to 13th in the table but they still find themselves eight points behind Saturday’s opponents.
Fulham beat Forest 3-2 when these sides met earlier in the season. However, Steve Cooper’s side have improved a lot since that game and this promises to be a tantalising affair. Forest are unbeaten in their last five league matches; earning 11 points over that period.
Marco Silva’s put together a run of victories just after Christmas. They earned a draw against Chelsea in their last match to recover from consecutive league defeats.
The transfer of Morgan Gibbs-White drew criticism due to the large fee but he has come into his own in recent months. He is starting to show the quality that made Cooper want him in the first. He has played as a striker and in behind the strikers and is a threat in both areas.
Gibbs-White is averaging 3.28 shots per game in his last seven league matches for Forest. He had two shots when these sides met earlier this season but his improved form should help us here.
Odds via bet365 as at 11:00 on 10th February 2023. Odds may now differ.
More Fulham vs Nottingham Forest Tips
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