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football | Friday, December 15, 2023 8:57 AM
Premier League Props Acca Tips: Another whirlwind PL weekend in store
Scott Thornton
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This week’s Premier League props acca tips from Scott Thornton covers the four televised matches and two Saturday 15:00 kick-offs.
Tottenham get the action underway when they travel to face Nottingham Forest on Friday night. Burnley vs Everton takes centre stage on Saturday before the weekend is rounded off on Sunday with Manchester United’s trip to Anfield.
Premier League Props Acca Tips
- Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham: Over 13.5 Goal Kicks In The Match
- Bournemouth vs Luton: Over 15.5 Shots For Bournemouth
- Newcastle vs Fulham: Under 25.5 Shots in The Match
- Burnley vs Everton: Over 35.5 Tackles In The Match
- West Ham vs Wolves: Over 35.5 Tackles in the Match
- Liverpool vs Manchester United: Over 9.5 Goal Kicks For Manchester United
Acca odds: 38.37
Odds via bet365 as at 16:30, 14th December 2023. Odds may now differ.
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham
England, Premier League, Friday, 15th December, 20:00 (UK)
Nottingham Forest arrested their slump by earning a draw at Molineux in their last match. Forest suffered four defeats before that point but it wasn’t enough to alleviate the pressure on Steve Cooper. The man who got Forest promoted remains a hugely popular figure amongst the fans but results will need to improve sooner rather than later.
Tottenham beat Newcastle 4-1 in their last match but they remain outside of the top four after their poor run that started with the defeat against Chelsea. Ange Psotecoglou’s side threatened to be unlikely title challengers at one stage but they will still be happy with the way they have started the season.
Forest’s home matches in the Premier League this season have seen an average of 16 goal kicks per game. Over 13.5 has landed in all seven of those matches and they will be ken to take the game to Spurs.
Postecolou’s side have faced five of the current bottom six in away matches this season; Forest are the remaining side in that bracket. Those games have seen 15 goal kicks per game on average.
Bournemouth vs Luton: Brilliant Bournemouth on the Front Foot
England, Premier League, Saturday, 16th December, 15:00 (UK)
Bournemouth had a nightmare start to the season under Andoni Iraola but their decision to appoint the former Rayo Vallecano coach has started to pay dividends. They are unbeaten in five Premier League matches and have won four of those. The wins include three points at Old Trafford and a 2-0 victory over Newcastle.
Luton have showed plenty of fight in their recent losses against Manchester City and Arsenal but it’s points on the board that matter. Rob Edwards’ side were the pre-season favourites for the drop and they are in the bottom three ahead of this one.
The Cherries’ last three home matches have been against tough opposition. They’ve taken on Liverpool, Newcastle and Aston Villa and managed 16, 19 and 15 shots in those matches. They are taking on newly-promoted and are riding a wave of confidence so I expect them to have plenty of shots here.
Luton are conceding an average of 20 shots per game in their Premier League away matches this season. They have had to soak up a lot of pressure and Saturday promises to be no different.
Newcastle vs Fulham: Georgies Need to Bounce Back
England, Premier League, Saturday, 16th December, 15:00 (UK)
Newcastle suffered further disappointment when they were dumped out of Europe midweek. They were beaten at home but AC Milan and the result meant they were unable to salvage a Europa League place as they waved goodbye to Champions League football. Eddie Howe’s attention now turns to getting their league campaign back on track.
They face a Fulham side that are in great form. Marco Silva’s men had struggled to create chances in the early part of the season but back-to-back 5-0 victories has bolstered the confidence of their attackers. Despite the good form, they are underdogs here.
The Magpies are formidable on home turf. They have won seven of their eight Premier League matches at St. James’s Park this season. They’ve also done well in terms of restricting their opponent’s chances. I’m expecting that trend to continue here as they attempt to shackle an in-form Fulham.
Fulham have had ten shots or less in all of their away matches this season, with an average of 8.88 per game. They may have scored five in their last home games but they managed just 14 shots in both of those. Their Premier League matches this season are averaging 23.75 shots per game, so I’m happy to back under 25.5 here.
Burnley vs Everton: Dyche can Exact Revenge
England, Premier League, Saturday, 16th December, 17:30 (UK)
Burnley are in dire straits and need to start putting points on the board. They are at risk of drifting away at the bottom, along with the other newly-promoted sides. They beat Sheffield United 5-0 in their last home match but the Blades were the weakest side in the division in terms of underlying data.
Everton are playing fantastically well and the 10-point deduction has done little to dampen their spirits. Sean Dyche’s side have already beaten his former club 3-0 this season and they will be hoping to pick up all three points on Saturday’s visit to Turf Moor.
Burnley matches this season have seen 32.06 tackles per game on average. That’s the 3rd lowest in the Premier League but their previous match with Everton in the League Cup saw 41 tackles. They will need to be combative to disrupt the Toffees’ rhythm so I’m expecting plenty of tackles.
There have been plenty of tackles in Everton matches this season. This bet has landed in five of their seven away matches. The exceptions were against Aston Villa and Liverpool, who were able to dictate the pace of the game. Their last three matches on the road have seen 37,40 and 46 tackles.
West Ham vs Wolves: West Ham Fresh off a Hammering
England, Premier League, Sunday, 17th December, 14:00 (UK)
West Ham were in good form before being dismantled by Fulham. The 5-0 beating would have sparked an inquest in the Hammers camp. They are in European action midweek but this is their first chance to respond domestically and it should be an intriguing match.
Wolves had to settle for a 1-1 draw at the City Ground in their last match. Gary O’Neil’s side are without a win in their last three away matches but they have the advantage of more time to prepare than their opponents here.
The Hammers don’t rank particularly highly in terms of tackles but there have been plenty in their four Premier League matches against sides in the bottom half. They have faced Sheffield United, Everton, Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace and those matches have seen 38 tackles per game on average.
Gary O’Neil’s side’s matches have seen an average of 37.69 tackles per game. That’s the 4th most in the Premier League. This rises to 39.13 tackles if we only include their away matches.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: Liverpool to Do Some Damage
England, Premier League, Sunday, 17th December, 14:00 (UK)
Liverpool are sitting pretty at the top of the table ahead of this match against their great rivals. Jurgen Klopp’s side are back to their best and they look set to hammer Manchester United once again. These two are widely considered the biggest clubs in English football but there is a stark contrast in their fortunes at the moment.
Manchester United went out of the Champions League with a whimper midweek. They were comfortably beaten 3-0 by Bournemouth at Old Trafford last weekend and this trip to Anfield could well be a case of by how many.
The home side will pile on the pressure here and it should result in plenty of goal kicks for the visitors. Liverpool’s opponents at Anfield this season are averaging 10.71 goal kicks per game and United have been allowing their opponents to have plenty of shots.
Erik Ten Hag’s side have had 11, 14 and 10 goal kicks in their last three away matches in the league. Things seem to be getting worse on the pitch so expect a high number once again. United had 16 and 12 goal kicks in their head-to-heads with Liverpool last season.
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