Premier League Props Acca Tips: Best Bets Preview

Scott Thornton is back with another Premier League props acca as we look to continue the good run after a clean sweep of bets in the Champions League. 

Manchester City are looking to move ahead of Arsenal when they head to Fulham in Saturday’s early match. At 15:00 that day, we cover West Ham vs Luton and Newcastle vs Brighton. The late kick-off on Saturday sees Chelsea head to Nottingham Forest. Manchester United have the chance to hand the title to City when they host Arsenal on Sunday. Aston Villa vs Liverpool is this week’s Monday Night Football.

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In this article: 

• Fulham vs Manchester City: Over 30.5 Throws In The Match
• West Ham vs Luton: Over 13.5 West Ham Shots In The Match
• Newcastle vs Brighton: Over 16.5 Shots For Newcastle
• Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Over 20.5 Tackles For Nottingham Forest
• Manchester United vs Arsenal: Over 30.5 Throws In The Match
• Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Under 35.5 Tackles In The Match

Acca odds: 35.46

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Fulham vs Manchester City: Head-to-Heads buck the City trend

England, Premier League, Saturday, 11th May, 12:30 (UK)

Fulham have the chance to do Arsenal a favour on Saturday. Marco Silva’s side are safe from the drop but the European places are well beyond their reach. They can have a huge impact on who lifts the Premier League this season but it would take an exceptional performance.

Manchester are aiming to become the first team to win the Premier League title for four straight seasons. They have faced stern competition from Arsenal and Liverpool this season but only Mikel Arteta’s side stand in their way at this stage. Pep Guardiola’s side will likely need to win their remaining three matches to finish 1st.

League matches at Craven Cottage this season have seen an average of 35.28 throws per game. This is in line with the overall Premier League average of 35.46 throws. There have been 31 throws or more in Fulham’s last five matches in front of their own fans.

Pep’s sides’ matches see the fewest throws in the division but the stats in recent meetings with Fulham show more promise. There were 36 throws when these sides met at the Etihad earlier in this campaign. Since Silva’s men were promoted back to the top flight, City matches at Craven Cottage have seen 38 and 42 throws.

• Selection: Over 30.5 Throws In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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West Ham vs Luton: Hammering Home the Shots

England, Premier League, Saturday, 11th May, 15:00 (UK)

This will be David Moyes’ final home game in charge of West Ham. They have already announced that Julen Lopetegui is the man they have chosen to lead the team next season. Moyes will be keen to see his side put in a good display to round off what has ultimately been a successful period for the club.

Luton are hanging in the Premier League by a thread. They are three points from safety and their inferior goal difference means they need at least a point here. Rob Edwards’ men have shown plenty of fight this season but the odds are against them going into the final two matches.

West Ham are averaging 11.9 shots per league game this season. You’d expect a side that has the attacking talent that they do to have a greater output. That’s one of the reasons they have opted to change manager but they are capable of hitting higher shot lines here.

The Hatters are conceding the third most shots in the league with an average of 17.22 per game. This rises to 20.39 shots per game if we only include the data from their matches on the road so the line set for West Ham looks a little low here.

• Selection: Over 13.5 West Ham Shots In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.72
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Newcastle vs Brighton: Magpies Can Let Fly

England, Premier League, Saturday, 11th May, 15:00 (UK)

Newcastle look set to qualify for Europe in consecutive seasons. Eddie Howe has had a plethora of injuries to contend with this season but their form of late has allowed them to climb to 6th in the table. Their home form has been crucial in that resurgence. The Magpies have won four of their last five at St. James’s Park.

Brighton were impressive in their last match as they beat Aston Villa 1-0. That win ended a winless run of six games. Roberto De Zerbi has struggled to get his team to the level they were are last season following some high-profile departures but his stock remains high.

Howe’s side shows plenty of attacking intent in front of their own supporters. They are averaging 17.33 shots per home game in the league; only Liverpool, Manchester City and Arsenal hit more. Newcastle have had 17 shots or more in six of their eight home matches in the league in 2024.

The Seagulls are conceding an average of 13.94 shots per away game this season. However, Newcastle managed 22 attempts when Brighton last visited this ground.

• Selection: Over 16.5 Shots For Newcastle (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Forest to Tackle Relegation

England, Premier League, Saturday, 11th May, 15:00 (UK)

Nottingham Forest could effectively secure their place in the top flight of English football by beating Chelsea this weekend. Nuno Espirito Santo’s team have a superior goal difference to Luton and are three points above their relegation rivals. 

Chelsea are in with a chance of salvaging a place in Europe. Mauricio Pochettino’s side were languishing in the bottom half of the league for the first half of the season but their steady improvement means they still have something to play for. However, most of their good work has been at Stamford Bridge. They need to pick up a rare away win here.

Forest have made the 5th most tackles in England’s top flight this season and are averaging  19.22 per game in their games at the City Ground. They made 21 tackles in their last home match against Manchester City. Chelsea force 2.49 more tackles per game than Pep Guardiola’s team. 

The Blues have coerced 21 tackles or more in 10 of their last 14 Premier League games on the road. Nottingham Forest made 28 tackles when they visited Stamford Bridge in September.

• Selection: Over 20.5 Tackles For Nottingham Forest (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

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Manchester United vs Arsenal: Ten Hag Throwing it All Away

England, Premier League, Sunday, 12th May, 16:30 (UK)

Manchester United were hammered by Crystal Palace on Monday night and they look set for another thrashing here. Erik Ten Hag has committed to a tactical shape that makes his team vulnerable and they face one of the most dangerous sides in the division here. The Dutchman appear unlikely to be the manager at Old Trafford next season but there will be no changes ahead of the weekend.

Mikel Arteta will expect a comprehensive victory here. Arsenal have a poor record at Old Trafford in recent years but they are massive favourites ahead of this clash. Only a win will do as they attempt to wrest the title from Manchester City’s grasp.

The bookmakers have caught onto the shots trend in United games so this week’s focus is throws. Manchester United matches have seen an average of 34.03 throws per game this season. This increases slightly to 34.41 in their league matches at Old Trafford.

Arsenal matches average 29.25 throws. That’s slightly below the line here but the bet did win when the sides locked horns earlier in the campaign. There were 37 throws when Arteta took his side to this ground last season.

• Selection: Over 30.5 Throws In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Villains Bring a Calm to the Storm

England, Premier League, Monday, 13th May, 20:00 (UK)

Aston Villa look set to beat Tottenham to 4th place and earn themselves a place in next season’s Champions League. Unai Emery’s side have a crucial semi-final second leg midweek but the Monday night match should give them ample time to recover.

Jurgen Klopp’s side could be mathematically out of the title race when they take to the field on Monday night. The German had hoped to go out with a trophy-laden season but they have run out of steam in recent weeks. Klopp has revitalised Liverpool and would love to see his team put together a couple of strong displays to round off his remarkable tenure.

Emery’s sides’ matches have seen the fifth feast tackles in the league with an average of 33.81. Their games at Villa Park this calendar year have seen an average of 31.88 tackles. Under 35.5 tackles has won in five of those games. 

Liverpool matches rank highly in terms of tackles but there have been very few on recent visits to this stadium. There have been 34 tackles or less in the last five head-to-heads between these sides at Villa Park with an average of 28.6 tackles.

• Selection: Under 35.5 Tackles In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

Premier League Props Acca Tips Odds via bet365 as at 08:59, May 9th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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