Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Welcome to our Rennes vs Toulouse prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. Rennes’ hopes of European qualification have taken a major hit recently and they have six games remaining to try and regain their Ligue 1 form. 

The hosts face a Toulouse side who have a degree of comfort above the relegation zone following a 0-0 draw vs Strasbourg. Ligue 1 expert Steve Wyss previews the game from Brittany for this Saturday night showdown.

Want to see more of Steve’s Ligue 1 previews? Look no further: Metz vs Lens

• Rennes vs Toulouse Tip 1: BTTS – Yes
• Rennes vs Toulouse Tip 2: Benjamin Bourigeaud to Score Anytime
• Rennes vs Toulouse Tip 3: Thijs Dallinga to Score Anytime

 

Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 1: Neither defense is particularly convincing

France, Ligue 1, Saturday 13th April, 20:00 (UK)

We will get some answers about Rennes after this match. They are either going to get back on track and be a threat to finish in the top six or look like mailing in their campaign and finishing the season on the beach. They have struggled in recent weeks, with key league defeats versus Lorient and Monaco really hampering their European chances. The Brittany outfit also lost against PSG in the French Cup semi-final. The crux of their problems has been conceding goals, with Rennes only keeping two clean sheets in their last ten Ligue 1 fixtures. 

BTTS – Yes looks like a big price at 1.80. Toulouse are the sort of team who will carry a threat in matches like this where they are the clear underdog. They can make the most of space in behind and cause problems to the Rennes backline. I would much rather take BTTS – Yes than over 2.5 goals because both goalkeepers Steve Mandanda and Guillaume Restes have enjoyed strong seasons. Toulouse have kept successive clean sheets vs Clermont and Strasbourg but prior to that failed to shut out any side in eight straight games. 

• Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 1: BTTS – Yes (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 5/10

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Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 2: Leading Rennes scorer big price to find the net

Rennes have a plethora of attacking options but have generally lacked a stand-out striker to nail down goals this season. That is what has enabled attacking midfielder Benjamin Bourigeaud to lead their scoring charts with 13 goals scored in all competitions. Of course, a significant chunk of those goals have been from the penalty spot and he is their primary taker from 12 yards.

Bourigeaud has scored eight of his nine penalties this season, which is an impressive record. He is reliable from the spot but he does also get himself into some decent positions from open play. The likes of Kalimuendo, Gouiri, and Ludovic Blas are all at a shorter price to score than him here, which feels slightly unfair. Rennes have obtained the joint most penalties in Ligue 1 this season (9) and they are facing a Toulouse side who have committed the most fouls and obtained the most yellow cards. 

• Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 2: Benjamin Bourigeaud to Score Anytime (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 4.00
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 3/10

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Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 3: Dangerous Dallinga value to score anytime

Toulouse striker Thijs Dallinga has been a reliable scorer in the last two seasons and leads their scoring charts with 16 goals netted in all competitions. He is a massive threat and should be even more dangerous in a match like this where he’ll have space to get in behind. It is a surprise to see Dallinga as big as 3.50 to score anytime. This can only be because Toulouse are a significant underdog. However, as aforementioned, there is not too much to fear from this Rennes defence, which keeps giving away chances. 

Dallinga lost penalty-taking duty to Vincent Sierro after missing twice towards the back end of 2023. However, Sierro is suspended for this fixture, so you would imagine that Dallinga will get the honours from the spot. Just like Rennes, Toulouse has also obtained the joint most penalties in Ligue 1 this season (9), so this could become a significant factor in the match. Dallinga is a huge threat from open play primarily, though, as his scoring record suggests. A penalty would be a pure bonus but we are mostly backing him for his poaching and finishing instincts. 

• Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction 3: Thijs Dallinga to Score Anytime (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 3.50
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 3/10

Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction odds via bet365 as at 10:00, April 9th 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Rennes vs Toulouse Team News and Possible Lineups: Terrier & Sierro suspended

Rennes don’t have any significant injury concerns but attacker Martin Terrier is suspended. Midfielder Vincent Sierro is suspended for Toulouse. 

Stijn Spierings will likely replace him in the team. Defender Mikkel Desler is doubtful with injury. 

Rennes possible starting lineup:
Mandanda, Truffert, Theate, Wooh, Seidu, D Doue, G Doue, Matusiwa, Bourigeaud, Gouiri, Kalimuendo

Toulouse possible starting lineup:
Restes, Diarra, Nicolaisen, Costa, Suazo, Casseres, Spierings, Kamanzi, Gboho, Dallinga, Magri

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The Predicted Rennes vs Toulouse Ligue 1 Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Ligue 1 standings ahead of the Rennes vs Toulouse, currently 9th vs 11th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Rennes vs Toulouse Standings Prediction

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Paris SG	34	22.6	8.1	3.4	79.0	32.6	46.4	75.8
2	Brest	34	17.7	9.7	6.6	51.3	28.6	22.7	62.8
3	Monaco	34	16.8	7.7	9.6	60.9	48.2	12.7	57.9
4	Nice	34	16.0	9.8	8.2	37.6	26.8	10.8	57.7
5	Lille	34	15.0	10.8	8.1	49.0	31.9	17.1	55.9
6	Lens	34	15.0	8.5	10.5	48.5	38.7	9.8	53.6
7	Marseille	34	13.6	11.7	8.7	50.8	36.1	14.7	52.6
8	Rennes	34	13.3	10.9	9.9	49.5	40.7	8.8	50.6
9	Reims	34	14.1	6.7	13.2	44.9	46.2	-1.2	49.1
10	Lyon	34	11.9	6.6	15.5	40.8	52.2	-11.4	42.4
11	Toulouse	34	9.6	10.7	13.7	38.7	47.5	-8.8	39.4
12	Montpellier	34	9.3	10.6	14.1	41.3	46.9	-5.6	38.5
13	Strasbourg	34	9.5	9.9	14.6	35.7	50.0	-14.4	38.4
14	Nantes	34	10.2	6.7	17.1	35.2	50.4	-15.2	37.3
15	Le Havre	34	8.2	11.6	14.2	36.6	47.7	-11.0	36.1
16	Lorient	34	7.3	9.5	17.3	41.5	63.8	-22.3	31.3
17	Clermont	34	5.8	10.5	17.7	28.6	55.8	-27.2	28.0
18	Metz	34	6.3	7.8	19.9	28.5	54.4	-25.9	26.7

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Match Stats: Toulouse ill-discipline stands out

• Toulouse have picked up more away points (18) than at home (15) so far this season
• Rennes have won 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 home games
• Toulouse have obtained the most yellow cards (66) of any team
• Toulouse have the highest foul average in Ligue 1 (14.90)

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Rennes Fixtures: Two local derbies next on the card

• Vs Nantes (A)
• Vs Brest (H)
• Vs Metz (A)
• Vs Lens (H)
• Vs Reims (A)

Toulouse Fixtures: Ten day break before facing Marseille

• Vs Marseille (H)
• Vs Lorient (A)
• Vs Montpellier (H)
• Vs PSG (A)
• Vs Brest (H)

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