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Football | Monday, July 8, 2024 11:59 AM

Spain vs France Prediction: Euro 2024 Team News and Lineups Preview

Spain vs France  Prediction: Euro 2024 Team News and Lineups Preview
Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo: Spain's Fabian Ruiz celebrates after scoring

As Euro 2024 reaches its thrilling climax, all eyes turn to Munich on Tuesday for the first semi-final and our European football expert, Daniele Fisichella, has prepared his Spain vs France prediction, team news, lineups and Euro 2024 preview.

Spain’s journey to this stage has been nothing short of dramatic, epitomized by their nail-biting 2-1 victory over tournament hosts Germany in extra time. In contrast, France’s path has been marked by defensive solidity and narrow margins, culminating in a tense penalty shootout win against Portugal. 

Spain vs France  Prediction 1: La Roja’s grit and flair

Euro 2024, Semi-finals, Tuesday, July 9th, 20:00 (UK)

Spain’s route to the semi-finals has showcased their blend of technical brilliance and newfound resilience. Their quarter-final against Germany was a testament to their tenacity. With penalties looming and players visibly exhausted, Dani Olmo delivered a perfect cross in the dying moments of extra time, finding Mikel Merino, whose header clinched a historic victory. 

This triumph was particularly sweet as it marked Spain’s first win over a tournament host in their tenth attempt.

The match was a gruelling affair, highlighted by 41 shots and 16 yellow cards. Spain’s ability to withstand Germany’s relentless pressure, especially after conceding a late equaliser, speaks volumes about their mental toughness. Pedri’s early exit due to injury could have been a significant blow, but Olmo’s substitution proved pivotal. 

The RB Leipzig’s midfielder has been involved in five goals as a substitute in EURO final tournaments (two goals, three assists), and Friday’s performance underlines his importance to Luis de la Fuente’s side. 

Yamal’s creativity and Olmo’s precision were crucial against Germany, and they will need to maintain this form against France. 

So far, Unai Simón has been a rock, making crucial saves to keep Spain in contention and helping his side win all five of their matches at EURO 2024. 

  • Spain vs France  Prediction 1: Spain or Draw and Under 3 Goals (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.94
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 7/10

Spain vs France  Prediction 2: ‘magic’ Mike and a misfiring attack

France, on the other hand, have relied heavily on their defensive strengths and the heroics of goalkeeper Mike Maignan. 

Their quarter-final against Portugal ended in a goalless draw, with France prevailing in the penalty shootout. Didier Deschamps’ side have yet to score from open play in the tournament, a statistic that underscores their offensive struggles but also their resilience and tactical discipline.

Kylian Mbappé, France’s star forward, has been battling injury concerns and was visibly off-pace against Portugal. Despite this, his presence remains vital for Les Bleus. Deschamps has managed his squad astutely, withdrawing Mbappé during extra time against Portugal to preserve his fitness for the crucial stages.

France’s defence, led by William Saliba and the imperious AC Milan goalkeeper, has been nearly impenetrable. They have kept four clean sheets in five matches and conceded just one goal in their last seven internationals. This defensive solidity will be essential against a Spanish side brimming with attacking talent.

  • Spain vs France  Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score: No (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.72
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 8/10

Spain vs France Prediction 3: Kylian’s magic moment?

Spain are riding high, having won all five of their matches at Euro 2024, becoming only the third nation to achieve this feat at a single tournament edition. They have shown they can adapt and overcome physical battles, as demonstrated against Germany.

France, despite their goal-scoring woes, have been incredibly resilient. Their recent form in the Euros is impressive, with only one loss in their last 16 matches (excluding penalty shootouts). Their ability to grind out results and their defensive record make them formidable opponents.

Luis de la Fuente’s men will likely stick to their possession-based game, looking to exploit the spaces with quick transitions and precise passing. Their high press and ability to control the tempo will be crucial in keeping France on the back foot.

Yamal’s ability to create chances and break down defences will be crucial. How France’s full-backs, particularly the experienced Théo Hernandez, manage his threat could significantly impact the match.

Les Bleus, conversely, might adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on their defensive structure and looking to hit Spain on the counter. Their ability to remain compact and absorb pressure could be their pathway to victory. 

Kylian Mbappé’s fitness and form will be under scrutiny. If he can regain his sharpness, his pace and finishing ability could prove decisive. However, if he continues to struggle, France might find it hard to break down Spain’s defence.

  • Spain vs France  Prediction 3: Half with most goals: Neither (Tie) (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 3.20
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 4/10

Spain vs France  Prediction odds via bet365 as at 10:40, July 6th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Spain vs France  Euro 2024 Team News and Possible Lineups: three big hitters missing for Spain

Spain heads to Munich for their semi-final clash against France without three regular starters. Head coach Luis de la Fuente must adjust his lineup as Pedri is sidelined with a knee injury, and defenders Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand are suspended. 

Nacho and 38-year-old Jesus Navas are expected to step in, while Dani Olmo will replace Pedri. Captain Alvaro Morata will lead the attack, flanked by Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal.

France will start Kylian Mbappe despite his recent injury struggles. Antoine Griezmann is set to make a record-breaking 17th European Championship appearance. With no suspensions, Didier Deschamps welcomes back Adrien Rabiot, likely relegating Eduardo Camavinga to the bench. A settled back four, led by William Saliba, remains unchanged, with AC Milan’s Mike Maignan in goal.

Spain possible starting lineup:
Simon: Navas, Nacho, Laporte, Cucurella; Olmo, Rodri, Ruiz: Yamal, Morata, Williams

France possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernandez; Kante, Tchouameni, Rabiot; Griezmann; Kolo Muani, Mbappe

Euro 2024 Match Stats: flying high under de la Fuente

  • Spain are the only team that has won all five of their matches at Euro 2024. No side in the history of the Euros has ever won six matches in a row. 
  • France are aiming to reach their fourth final at the European Championship.
  • La Roja have only lost one (in 2021 against Italy, on penalties) of the five Euros semi-finals they’ve played so far.
  • Since 2023, Spain has had the highest percentage of victories (79%) among European sides, thanks to 15 successes in 19 games. 
  • Luis de la Fuente’s men have won the last seven games in a row as Spain hasn’t recorded a better winning streak since June 2009-June 2010 (12 successes in a row). 

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