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It’s a Tottenham vs Luton prediction, team news, lineups, and fixtures preview next on the agenda for Tom Winch here at bettingexpert as we tackle the Saturday afternoon Premier League game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Prediction: Tottenham 3-1 Luton
The home side are almighty favourites. Luton will always put in maximum effort. It’s a massive encounter for both sides. Spurs need the points to keep pace with the top four. Luton are fighting for their place in the Premier League. Goals are likely. Will we see another entertaining encounter in the capital?
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 30th, 15:00 (UK)
It doesn’t take an expert to predict a home win in this encounter. The gulf in quality is significant. Spurs are at home, which makes them even more favourable in the markets. However, Luton’s scoring record is extraordinary. You cannot rule them out, whatever the occasion.
Ange Postecoglou’s side are priced at 1.22 to win this clash. We can boost that price into a 2.10 shot if we back BTTS. Luton have found the back of the net in 25 of their 29 Premier League fixtures this season, mightily impressive.
The goal line is set high. The average Asian line is 3.75. Tottenham may well run away with the points, but I believe the visitors will have their joys in attack.
Rob Edwards’ side has bagged in 17 consecutive matches in the league. Those include meetings with Liverpool, Villa, Man Utd, Newcastle, Chelsea, City and Arsenal. Can we back against them here?
Spurs have won ten of their 14 matches here in 23/24. Eight of those victories have seen both sides score. The proposed section has cashed in each of Tottenham’s six wins at this venue.
There are not many better finishers than Tottenham’s Heung-Min Son. The South Korean is emphatic in front of goal. In a contest where the home side is expected to score multiple times, backing the best player on the pitch seems a boring but sensible selection.
Spurs’ captain has scored 14 Premier League goals this term. Salah, Watkins and Haaland are the only players with more. Son is Mr Consistent. He’s recorded double-digit goals in eight consecutive seasons for his club. I don’t think he’s had many better opportunities to score than he will on Saturday.
The price isn’t large by any means. He’s the shortest price in the market, which comes as little surprise. Our man will be on penalty duty, a bonus if his side are to receive a spot kick.
The visitors have managed just two clean sheets all season. Neither of those have come on their travels. They’re without several important players. The Hatters have shipped 34 times in 14 away days.
With Spurs priced up at 1.61 to score three times, backing the most likely scorer at 1.72 makes plenty of sense.
Ross Barkley has been super for Luton. The 30-year-old has been an inspiration for the Hatters. His class could be vital to Rob Edwards as Luton hopes to remain in the division. I’m happy to back the Englishman in the shot market this weekend. Barkley’s numbers have been impressive.
The former Toffee has recorded 53 shots in the Premier League this term. He’s averaging 2.43 shots per 90. In his 22 starts this season, Ross Barkley has covered this line on 17 occasions. That includes 11 of the previous 13 outings.
Luton’s number six has managed two or more shots in clashes against Villa, Liverpool, Man Utd, Newcastle (x2) and Chelsea in that run. There’s no reason why he can’t register a couple here.
We know how Spurs play their football. They attack with purpose and throw plenty of men forward. Luton will be dangerous on the counter.
A whopping 35 shots from his 53 have come from outside the box. He’s full of confidence and won’t be afraid to have a pop from range.
Tottenham vs Luton Prediction odds via bet365 as at 17:00, March 25th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Spurs have one real key absentee, that being Micky Van de Ven. He suffered a knee injury in Tottenham’s emphatic win over Villa. The Dutchman is likely to be unavailable for several weeks.
Tottenham are usually an exciting team to watch. Ange’s men are an entertaining side and often look fantastic in attack. Son is the key man. The South Korean international is having another excellent season.
Luton has a large amount of injury concerns. Amari’i Bell, Adebayo, Osho, Brown and Nakamba will all miss out. Lokongo may feature. He’s been absent since February.
Luton is a team that will never give up. Ross Barkley has been immense for the Hatters in 23/24.
Tottenham possible starting lineup: Vicario; Porro, Romero, Dragusin, Udogie, Bissouma, Sarr, Maddison, Kulusevski, Johnson; Son
Luton possible starting lineup: Kaminski; Burke, Mengi, Kabore, Ogbene, Mpanzu, Barkley, Doughty, Clark, Chong; Morris
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Tottenham vs Luton, currently 5th vs 17th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.8 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 91.3 | 31.5 | 59.7 | 86.2 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.7 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 89.3 | 36.6 | 52.7 | 85.8 |
3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.2 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 84.7 | 38.1 | 46.6 | 83.6 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.5 | 6.2 | 11.3 | 73.7 | 57.6 | 16.1 | 67.8 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.8 | 7.0 | 11.2 | 76.8 | 61.2 | 15.6 | 66.4 |
6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 15.7 | 53.7 | 57.7 | -4.0 | 58.6 |
7 | Chelsea | 38 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 68.3 | 62.6 | 5.7 | 56.5 |
8 | Newcastle | 38 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 15.6 | 78.7 | 65.9 | 12.8 | 55.0 |
9 | Brighton | 38 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 12.3 | 63.5 | 59.7 | 3.8 | 54.4 |
10 | West Ham | 38 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 13.8 | 58.9 | 67.8 | -8.9 | 54.1 |
11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 16.0 | 54.6 | 62.0 | -7.4 | 51.8 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.5 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 58.2 | 66.3 | -8.1 | 50.7 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 14.2 | 7.1 | 16.7 | 56.8 | 58.7 | -2.0 | 49.8 |
14 | Brentford | 38 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 19.9 | 56.5 | 68.3 | -11.8 | 40.0 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 17.8 | 44.9 | 64.4 | -19.5 | 40.0 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 12.0 | 9.2 | 16.8 | 44.2 | 54.0 | -9.8 | 39.1 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 19.6 | 46.6 | 62.5 | -15.9 | 33.8 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 22.8 | 53.4 | 81.4 | -28.0 | 29.8 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 24.6 | 39.2 | 78.1 | -38.9 | 25.3 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 25.7 | 34.8 | 93.6 | -58.8 | 22.7 |
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