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Football | Wednesday, February 28, 2024 12:50 PM

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview - IMAGO / Matthias Koch - Danilho Doekhi 1 FC Union Berlin , cheering after goal.

Jack Wright is back in the Bundesliga with a Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview ahead of the weekend.

Our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is for Borussia Dortmund to win the match 1-2.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Team News, Lineups and Fixtures Preview

In this article:

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Dans the man who holds the khi

Germany, Bundesliga, Saturday, March 2nd, 14:30 (UK)

Union squandered a great chance to put some breathing space between themselves and the relegation zone last weekend. Recovering from conceding an early opener to lead Heidenheim 2-1 at the break before allowing an equaliser with 20 minutes remaining.

The Eisernen have shown great improvement under Nenad Bjelica, underpinned by excellent home form. Saturday’s draw saw the first points dropped at Stadion An der Alten Försterei since the Croatian’s arrival at the club.

Victories over Monchengladbach, Koln, Darmstadt and Wolfsburg, the latter three all “to-nil”, will give the Iron plenty of confidence they can upset this Dortmund side, especially with Edin Terzić’s men having their 10-game unbeaten run ended by Hoffenheim at the weekend.

As ever, when an underdog looks to topple one of the bigger sides in the division, set pieces can make all the difference. In the 6ft 3-inch centre back, Danilho Doekhi, Union have a real threat in the opposition box.

The 25-year-old has two league goals to his name this term, bringing his total to an impressive seven in 38 games since joining the club from Vitesse. His most recent strike came in the 1-0 home win against Wolfsburg when he thundered in a header from a corner.

The Dutch defender had three unsuccessful attempts in the 2-2 draw with Heidenheim, meaning he has now had at least one shot in each of his last four home appearances in the German topflight. The odds of 2.00 for at least one shot here look a little too big to ignore.

  • Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Danilho Doekhi Over 0.5 Shots (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 2.00
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stakes: 7/10

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, February 28th February, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund OPTA Team News and Possible Lineups: Malen and Gosens missing

Dortmund’s Donyell Malen and Union Berlin’s Robin Gosens will both miss the game through yellow card suspensions – Gosens is Union’s top scorer this Bundesliga season with six goals, Malen is Dortmund’s second-best scorer with 10 goals behind Niclas Füllkrug (11).

Last time out against Hoffenheim, Borussia Dortmund’s Marco Reus collected his 91st and 92nd assist in the Bundesliga, drawing level with Franck Ribéry – since detailed data collection began in 2004-05, only Bayern’s Thomas Müller has assisted more goals in the Bundesliga (167). Reus collected the first of his three assists of this Bundesliga season in the 4-2 win over Union Berlin in the reverse fixture.

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Rønnow, Doekhi, Knoche, Leite, Khedira, Tousart, Král, Schäfer, Gosens, Volland, Hollerbach

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Meyer, Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen, Sabitzer, Brandt, Malen, Reus, Sancho, Füllkrug

The Predicted Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Bundesliga standings ahead of the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund, currently 14th vs 4th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Standings Prediction

1 Bayer Leverkusen 34 25.9 6.1 1.9 82.5 26.9 55.6 83.9
2 Bayern Munich 34 25.2 3.6 5.2 92.7 35.5 57.2 79.2
3 Stuttgart 34 20.7 4.2 9.1 74.0 44.0 30.0 66.3
4 RB Leipzig 34 18.7 6.2 9.1 72.4 41.7 30.8 62.4
5 Dortmund 34 16.0 10.2 7.8 66.9 47.5 19.3 58.3
6 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11.6 12.4 10.1 51.2 49.4 1.8 47.1
7 Freiburg 34 12.2 7.5 14.3 46.7 58.9 -12.2 44.2
8 Hoffenheim 34 11.7 8.3 14.0 57.6 63.1 -5.5 43.4
9 Werder Bremen 34 11.1 8.5 14.5 45.5 54.4 -8.8 41.7
10 Augsburg 34 9.8 10.4 13.8 48.6 59.5 -10.9 39.7
11 B. Monchengladbach 34 10.1 9.5 14.5 58.0 63.1 -5.1 39.6
12 Wolfsburg 34 9.8 9.4 14.8 42.4 53.4 -11.0 38.8
13 Heidenheim 34 9.8 9.3 14.9 46.3 61.7 -15.4 38.6
14 Union Berlin 34 10.6 6.5 16.8 37.7 54.5 -16.9 38.5
15 Bochum 34 8.6 12.4 13.0 43.7 64.9 -21.2 38.2
16 Mainz 34 6.3 11.6 16.1 32.9 51.7 -18.8 30.6
17 FC Koln 34 5.7 10.3 18.0 28.7 58.6 -29.8 27.5
18 Darmstadt 34 4.3 9.2 20.5 35.6 74.6 -39.0 22.1

Match OPTA Stats: Berlin not the kindest to Dortmund

  • Borussia Dortmund have lost three of their four Bundesliga away matches against Union Berlin (W1); it is Dortmund’s highest losing percentage away from home against any side in the BL (75%). The only time BVB have managed to pick up points away from home against Union was in their 3-0 win in February 2022.
  • Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund have both kept four clean sheets in the Bundesliga in 2024, the joint most alongside Bayer 04 Leverkusen. BVB kept three of these clean sheets away from home.
  • Only SV Darmstadt have conceded more goals from outside the box this Bundesliga season (8) than Union Berlin (7), two of which came in the 2-4 at Dortmund in the reverse fixture. The next goal Union concedes would be their 38th goal conceded this Bundesliga season, as many as they conceded in all of last season.
  • Borussia Dortmund have won only 11 of their 23 Bundesliga matches this season (D8 L4). Their joint-fewest wins at this stage in a BL season since Jürgen Klopp’s departure in 2015 (as many as in 2017-18).

Union Berlin Fixtures: A Tricky Stretch

  • Vs Stuttgart (A)
  • Vs Werder Bremen (H)
  • Vs Frankfurt (A)
  • Vs Leverkusen (H)
  • Vs Augsburg (A)

Borussia Dortmund Fixtures: UCL and Bayern to come

  • Vs Werder Bremen (A)
  • Vs PSV (H) Champions League
  • Vs Frankfurt (H)
  • Vs Bayern Munich (A)
  • Vs Stuttgart (H)


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