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Football | Wednesday, April 17, 2024 1:16 PM

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
ZUMA Press, Inc. / Alamy Stock Photo: Francisco Roman Alarcon Suarez ''Isco'' of Real Betis during the La Liga EA Sports match

We are heading into the final few games in La Liga as Matthew O’Regan readies a Valencia vs Real Betis prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. The hosts sit in 7th, one place and two points ahead of Saturday’s visitors, Real Betis. Both sides are chasing Real Sociedad in sixth place, looking to qualify for Europe

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 1: Low-Scoring Mestalla

Spain, La Liga, Saturday, April 20th, 17:30 (UK)

While Real Madrid look close to securing yet another La Liga title, the fight for Europe is still alive, with Real Sociedad, Valencia and Real Betis all battling for sixth place. At the moment, the side from San Sebastian are taking the European mantle, but with seven games left, including against Betis and Valencia, the landscape is likely to change. 

Valencia will fancy their chances over Real Betis. Monday night’s 0-1 win at Osasuna saw Valencia leapfrog Real Betis into seventh. The result marked the third clean sheet in a row and the fourth from five, with Ruben Baraja priding himself on defensive stability. 

With 32 goals conceded, Los Ches have the third-best defensive record in the league, with only Real Madrid and Copa Del Rey champions Atletico Bilbao conceding fewer goals. However, they have also struggled going forward, with their 34 goals scored the fewest in the top 11.

Of their 15 home games this season, BTTS has only landed five times – the lowest in the league. Games at the Mestalla have averaged just 1.73 goals, with Baraja’s side conceding just eight home goals. 

Real Betis are the visitors on Saturday. A 2-1 victory over Celta Vigo on Friday halted a run of four straight defeats, with Pellegrini’s side sliding down the table. Los Verdiblancos away games have averaged 2.53 goals. They’ve scored 38 goals- the third fewest in the top half, while conceding 37.

With a tense match between two low-scoring teams expected, we should be in for a tight, cagey, low-scoring game. 

  • Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 1: Both Teams To Score – No
  • Best Odds: 1.80
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 7/10

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 2: Yellows to Flow On East Coast

With European football crucial for many teams, we should see Valencia and Real Betis fight tooth and nail to secure the points on Saturday, with a draw potentially allowing Real Sociedad to build more distance between the sides. 

Valencia are averaging 2.06 cards per game, with Real Betis averaging 2.64. The hosts have drawn a league-high 3.19 cards per game, while Betis average 2.54 drawn.

Now, the pressure is starting to build on Real Betis. We have seen their dirty side creep in. Their last four away games have seen them receive at least two cards in the second half. 

In such a big game, the referee will be keen to ensure he keeps the game well-mannered early. However, with so much on the line, it would not be a surprise to see some late antics in the second half. Two of the last three meetings have seen a red card. 

  • Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 2: Over 1 Second Half Card Each
  • Best Odds: Awaiting Odds
  • Bookmaker: Bet365
  • Stake: 5/10

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 3: Second-Half Chasing

As mentioned, this game has HUGE  implications for both teams. Both teams are low-scoring, with only 6/31 of Valencia games and 6/31 of Betis games seeing over 2.5 goals. 

If one team does take the lead, they will be keen to make the most of their defensive resilience and stay tight and compact at the back. Fifteen of Betis’ 22 away games have seen over four second-half corners. Eight of Valencia’s 16 home games have seen over four corners in the second half. 

It should be a boisterous atmosphere at the Mestalla. Both teams are hard to break down so the best chance of a goal may come from a set-piece.

  • Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction 3: Over 4 Second Half Corners and Under 4 Goals
  • Best Odds: 2.03
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 7/10

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction odds via bet365 as at 00:00, April 16th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Valencia vs Real Betis Team News and Possible Lineups: Injuries affecting both

Physcologically, Betis may have the upper hand going into this game, with Pellegrini’s side playing Friday and having the whole weekend off. On the other hand, Valencia had to play Monday so have less time to rest and prepare for this game. 

Valencia are missing defenders Jose Gaya and Mouctar Diakhaby, as well as striker Roman Yaremchuk.

The visitors are also missing many defenders, with Hector Bellerin, Marc Bartra and Sokratis Papastathopoulous missing out. Midfield anchor Marc Roca is out with a muscle injury, while enigmatic forward Ezequiel Avila is out with a calf injury. The 30-year-old has more red cards (3) than goals (2) this season. 

Valencia  possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Mosquera, Oskacar, Vazquez; Lopez, Pepelu, Guerra. Perez; Duro, Almeida

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Silva; Ruibal, Pezzella, Riad, Miranda; Johnny, Rodriguez; Fornals, Isco, Perez; Fekir

The Predicted Valencia vs Real Betis La Liga Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the La Liga standings ahead of the Valencia vs Real Betis, currently 7th vs 8th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Valencia vs Real Betis Standings Prediction

Position Club Games W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 38 27.0 7.7 3.4 76.3 27.4 49.0 88.6
2 Barcelona 38 24.0 8.4 5.7 80.6 47.7 32.9 80.3
3 Girona 38 23.8 7.6 6.7 79.5 49.1 30.3 78.9
4 Atl. Madrid 38 22.0 6.7 9.3 73.8 43.2 30.6 72.7
5 Ath Bilbao 38 20.1 9.8 8.1 66.0 39.1 26.9 70.0
6 Betis 38 14.8 15.0 8.3 47.6 41.6 6.0 59.3
7 Sociedad 38 14.8 13.3 9.9 49.5 38.8 10.7 57.7
8 Valencia 38 13.8 9.6 14.6 41.8 45.7 -3.9 51.1
9 Getafe 38 12.3 13.1 12.6 48.1 53.8 -5.7 50.0
10 Las Palmas 38 12.9 9.1 16.0 36.9 44.1 -7.2 47.7
11 Alaves 38 11.8 11.1 15.0 40.8 46.2 -5.4 46.6
12 Osasuna 38 12.4 8.9 16.7 43.6 56.2 -12.6 46.1
13 Villarreal 38 11.1 10.6 16.4 56.6 70.2 -13.6 43.8
14 Vallecano 38 9.4 13.2 15.4 35.9 50.2 -14.3 41.4
15 Mallorca 38 8.4 15.3 14.3 37.0 48.0 -11.0 40.5
16 Sevilla 38 8.8 12.0 17.2 44.5 55.8 -11.3 38.5
17 Celta 38 8.9 10.8 18.4 44.9 58.1 -13.1 37.4
18 Granada 38 6.0 11.3 20.7 42.0 68.1 -26.2 29.2
19 Cadiz 38 4.6 14.1 19.3 26.8 55.8 -29.0 28.0
20 Almeria 38 3.7 11.8 22.5 40.2 73.4 -33.2 22.9

Match Stats: Defensively Tight

  • Valencia’s eight home goals conceded is the second fewest in the league.
  • Real Betis have lost their last three away games.
  • There has been a red card in two of the last three meetings.
  • Three of the last four meetings have seen a 3-0 scoreline.

Valencia Fixtures: Trio of important home games

  • Vs Real Betis (H)
  • Vs Barcelona (A)
  • Vs Alaves (H)
  • Vs Rayo Vallecano (H)
  • Vs Real Sociedad (A)

Real Betis Fixtures: Rivalry sandwiched in key run

  • Vs Valencia (A)
  • Vs Sevilla (H)
  • Vs Osasuna (A)
  • Vs Almeria (H)
  • Vs Las Palmas (A)

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