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With five games left of the Premier League season, the hopes of European football is reaching do-or-die territory for a lot of teams. Matthew O’Regan delivers his Wolves vs Bournemouth prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview, with the two sides battling it out in 11th and 13th, with faint hopes of an unlikely European campaign.
England, Premier League, Wednesday , April 24th, 19:45 (UK)
After only six Premier League goals last season, many would be surprised to see Dom Solanke chasing the Golden Boot this season. The 26-year-old is on 17 goals, just three behind joint top scorers Erling Haaland and Cole Palmer.
Andoni Iraola’s attacking style of football has suited Solanke, with the Englishman excelling in the final third.
Solanke is averaging 0.55 goals and xG per 90, as well as 2.94 shots and 1.04 shots on target. In his last two games against Manchester United and Aston Villa, he has scored the opening goal.
In fact, he scored the opening goal in the 2-1 defeat at the Vitality Stadium when these sides last met.
With Solanke’s impressive form all season, coupled with the fact that he is chasing an unprecedented golden ball, don’t be surprised to see Dominic Solanke on the scoresheet once again on Wednesday.
Despite being tipped by many as an outsider candidate for relegation, Wolverhampton Wanderers have survived comfortably, and at some point in the season, European qualification looked a real possibility.
While Europe is still plausible, it now seems unlikely, especially given the injuries at the club. Gary O’Neil has transformed a stale Wolves team and has the Molineux faithful believe again.
However, their European dream seems to have stuttered. Five games without a win have seen Wolves five points off eighth place West Ham.
Games involving Wanderers have been entertaining, with ten of their 16 home games seeing over 2.5 goals. Their games have averaged exactly three goals.
Bournemouth are a point and two places behind Wednesday’s hosts, so they’ll be looking for a positive result to leapfrog Wolves.
Andoni Iraola’s side are three games without a win, having thrown away leads against Luton, Manchester United and Aston Villa.
The Cherries have scored 48 and conceded 60 goals, with their games averaging 3.27 goals. This average is higher on the road, with Bournemouth away games averaging 3.68 goals.
13/16 of their away games have seen three or more goals, including six of their last seven games.
We should be in for an end-to-end encounter at the Molineux, with both teams thinking they could win this.
Referee Stuart Atwell came in for some serious slack after failing to award Nottingham Forest three stonewall penalties while on VAR duty.
He has the task of refereeing Wednesday’s encounter. In 21 competitive fixtures this season, Atwell has brandished an average of 4.66 cards.
Wolves are averaging 2.875 cards per home game, drawing 3.13 cards per home game – the second highest in the league. Four of their last five games have seen at least five cards.
Bournemouth are only drawing 1.75 cards per away game, but are receiving 2.31. The meeting between this side earlier in the season saw a whopping eight yellow cards and a second half Lewis Cook red card. In fact, five of the last six meetings have seen over 4.5 cards.
Wolves vs Bournemouth Prediction odds via bet365 as at 00:00 April 22nd 024. Odds may now differ.
Gary O’Neil has mentioned his side’s injury crisis numerous times, only having ten fit senior players to start in the 2-0 loss to Arsenal.
On Wednesday, he will be without five senior players. Commanding centre-half Craig Dawson will miss out with a groin injury. Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Nelson Semedo are injured, as well as wing maestro Pedro Neto and top goalscorer Matheus Cunha.
Bournemouth are set to be without Chris Mephama, Luis Sinisterra, Marcus Tavernier and Tyler Adams.
Wolves possible starting lineup:
Sa; Bueno, Kilman, Gomes; Doherty, Lemina, Gomes, Ait Nouri; Doyle, Sarabia, Hwang
Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Neto; Aarons, Zabarnyi, Sensei, Kelly; Cook, Christie; Kerkez, Kluivert, Ouattara, Solanke.
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Wolves vs AFC Bournemouth currently 11th and 13th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City | 38 | 26.0 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 90.0 | 37.6 | 52.4 | 86.2 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 88.3 | 30.3 | 58.0 | 84.9 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 87.6 | 38.1 | 49.5 | 84.1 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.7 | 7.1 | 10.2 | 75.6 | 58.0 | 17.6 | 69.1 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.9 | 7.2 | 10.9 | 74.4 | 61.2 | 13.2 | 66.9 |
6 | Newcastle | 38 | 17.9 | 6.2 | 13.9 | 81.6 | 62.0 | 19.6 | 59.9 |
7 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.1 | 6.3 | 14.6 | 55.3 | 57.6 | -2.3 | 57.6 |
8 | Chelsea | 38 | 15.8 | 9.4 | 12.9 | 72.9 | 64.1 | 8.8 | 56.7 |
9 | West Ham | 38 | 14.1 | 9.9 | 14.0 | 58.3 | 69.7 | -11.5 | 52.1 |
10 | Brighton | 38 | 13.0 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 61.3 | 61.0 | 0.3 | 51.3 |
11 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.4 | 10.3 | 14.3 | 56.2 | 66.0 | -9.7 | 50.5 |
12 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 16.4 | 52.9 | 63.3 | -10.4 | 48.5 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 17.3 | 56.2 | 60.0 | -3.8 | 47.9 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 17.2 | 45.8 | 62.4 | -16.6 | 41.5 |
15 | Brentford | 38 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 19.1 | 54.7 | 66.5 | -11.7 | 38.4 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 17.4 | 40.8 | 57.2 | -16.4 | 37.2 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 18.9 | 48.1 | 64.5 | -16.4 | 32.6 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 22.2 | 53.8 | 79.2 | -25.5 | 31.0 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 23.5 | 39.1 | 76.7 | -37.6 | 25.3 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 4.6 | 8.4 | 25.0 | 37.1 | 94.5 | -57.4 | 22.2 |
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