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Two teams who would not have expected to be in a battle for European football in the Premier League face off and Matthew O’Regan has his Wolves vs Fulham prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.
Wolves currently sit in 10th, two places and three points ahead of their West London counterparts. It should be an entertaining game with an abundance of goals expected.
Our Wolves vs Fulham prediction is for Wolves to win the match 2-1.
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England, Premier League, Saturday, March, 9 15:00 (UK)
Wolves have surprised many neutrals this season, with Gary O’Neil’s side widely tipped as outsiders for relegation. The 40-year-old has done a stellar job in the Midlands, with his side currently 10th in the table and into an FA Cup quarter-final.
A run of three straight wins in all competitions was halted as they came unstuck away at a Newcastle side, who excel at home. Wolves have only lost four of their 13 home games this season, with three of these coming against teams above them in the league (Brighton, Liverpool and Manchester United).
Fulham on the other hand have one of the worst away records in the league, with only Luton, Nottingham Forest, Burnley and Sheffield United having worse away records.
The impressive 2-1 win at Old Trafford halted a run of 11 league away games without a win, with their only other victory coming in a smash-and-grab against Everton in their season opener.
With 27 goals conceded in 13 away games, Fulham have been leaky at the back away from home- something Wolves will look to exploit.
With this bet only losing in 30.76% of home games for Wolves and 15.385% of Fulham away games, it presents great value.
The Premier League has seen an abundance of goals this season and is the major league which has seen the most games, with over 2.5 goals (65.67%). Both sides fall around this average.
Wolves have scored 40 goals and conceded 43 in 27 games, with their games averaging 3.07 goals per game. Eighteen of their 27 games this season have seen over 2.5 goals, including eight of their last 11.
Fulham games have averaged exactly three goals, with their last three games seeing this exact total. Marco Silva’s side have scored 39 goals and conceded 42- sharing an identical goal difference to their hosts. 63% of their games have seen over 2.5 goals, including their last five games.
The meeting in November between the sides was an entertaining affair, with three penalties converted in the match in a dramatic 3-2 win for the Cottagers.
Odds for a minimum of three goals look a good price based on the above factors.
This tip may contradict my first selection of Wolves draw no bet, but Muniz’s form is too good to ignore.
Muniz has been afforded more game time this season by Silva and has made the most of it in recent weeks. In his last five starts, the Brazilian has scored five goals, with his only blank coming in the victory over Manchester United in which he recorded five shots, hitting the woodwork with one of them.
His run of form started against Burnley, scoring an early goal before going on to register three shots. The 22-year-old brought this confidence into the next game, scoring a brace in a 3-1 win over Bournemouth. Muniz then scored a consolation goal in the 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa – a match where he recorded eight shots.
The blank against United didn’t seem to deter Muniz, as the youngster then scored in the emphatic win over Brighton last weekend. He is averaging 3.80 shots, 1.27 shots on target and 0.58 goals per 90.
In a match I expect plenty of goals in, do not be surprised to see Rodrigo Muniz find the back of the net yet again.
Fulham vs Wolves Prediction odds via bet365 as at 00:00, March 5th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Wolves were without the 19 goals of South Korean striker Hee-Chan-Hwang and Brazilian Matheus Cunha against Newcastle due to injury and lost goalkeeper Jose Sa and the tricky Pedro Neto due to minor niggles at half time. However, it is believed both will be fit for Saturday’s visit of Fulham.
Fulham are only expected to be without former Wolves icon Raul Jimienez due to an injury suffered in January. However, the form of Rodrigo Muniz and the signing of Armando Broja on loan from Chelsea should soften the blow of losing the experienced Mexican. They will also be boosted by the return of the suspended Joao Palhinha who should slot in to replace the excellent Sasa Lukic.
Wolves possible starting lineup: Sa; Kilman, Dawson, Gomes; Semedo, Gomes, Lemina, Ait-Nouri; Sarabia, Bellegarde, Neto
Fulham possible starting lineup: Leno; Castagne, Adarabioyo, Bassey, Robinson; Reed, Palhinha; Wilson, Pereira, Iwobi; Muniz
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Wolves vs Fulham currently 10th and 12th fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.9 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 89.3 | 37.4 | 51.9 | 85.8 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 91.4 | 30.9 | 60.5 | 85.7 |
3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.7 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 84.9 | 37.8 | 47.2 | 84.4 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 77.5 | 55.4 | 22.0 | 70.4 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.6 | 7.4 | 11.0 | 76.5 | 61.4 | 15.0 | 66.3 |
6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.5 | 4.4 | 16.1 | 52.6 | 58.7 | -6.1 | 56.9 |
7 | Newcastle | 38 | 16.7 | 6.2 | 15.0 | 79.3 | 65.5 | 13.8 | 56.5 |
8 | Chelsea | 38 | 15.6 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 68.4 | 63.1 | 5.3 | 55.3 |
9 | West Ham | 38 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 14.5 | 58.3 | 68.4 | -10.1 | 54.0 |
10 | Brighton | 38 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 65.0 | 61.3 | 3.7 | 53.4 |
11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 14.6 | 7.4 | 15.9 | 54.7 | 61.3 | -6.5 | 51.3 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.3 | 9.7 | 15.0 | 54.8 | 63.9 | -9.1 | 49.5 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13.8 | 7.6 | 16.6 | 54.9 | 59.7 | -4.8 | 49.1 |
14 | Brentford | 38 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 19.0 | 57.3 | 67.0 | -9.7 | 42.2 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 12.7 | 9.5 | 15.8 | 46.4 | 52.4 | -5.9 | 41.6 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 18.2 | 44.8 | 64.6 | -19.8 | 40.1 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 10.1 | 8.8 | 19.1 | 48.9 | 64.0 | -15.0 | 39.2 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 23.1 | 51.5 | 80.9 | -29.4 | 30.1 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 25.8 | 36.7 | 79.1 | -42.4 | 23.5 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 26.4 | 32.9 | 93.4 | -60.5 | 22.0 |
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