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tennis | Tuesday, January 23, 2024 10:08 AM (Revised at: Tuesday, January 23, 2024 10:12 AM)

Tennis Picks Today for January 23rd: Free Tennis Picks for Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev and Linda Noskova vs Dayana Yastremska

Tennis Picks Today for January 23rd: Free Tennis Picks for Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev and Linda Noskova vs Dayana Yastremska
Jon Reid
Jon Reid
3

Tennis Picks Today: January 23rd

  1. Alcaraz vs Zverev: Zverev to win
  2. Noskova vs Yastremska: Yastremska to win

Go with our tip at bet365
We’re into the second week at the Australian Open, as we get closer to crowning the first major champions of the 2024 season.

For our Tuesday previews, we look at the marquee matchup from the men’s quarterfinals in Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev and the Linda Noskova vs Dayana Yastremska matchup that will be one of the biggest wins of both women’s careers.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:


Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev (Australian Open) Free Picks: Upset More Likely Than Market Projects

  • Pick: Zverev to win
  • Best Odds: 5.12
  • Bookmaker: Pinnacle
  • Stakes: 1/10

Odds as at 3:00 am UK Time on January 23rd, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at bet365
Opposing Alcaraz may seem like a fool’s errance at this point. However, I think doing so with a top-10 talent, who has pushed or beaten the best in the world before relatively consistently, is a smart move when the implied probabilities are below 20%.

It’s a pretty low risk wager, with plenty of upside and a few reasons to think it could cash.

Zverev’s serve should be able to find him plenty of cheap points and help him find consistent holds of serve – even with Alcaraz’s return game. His backhand is one of the best in the game, and should be able to hold its own in those crosscourt exchanges with Alcaraz, and he has the rally tolerance to be able to play longer rallies without making too many mistakes.

Read on for more expert insights.

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Form

It’s been a good start for Alcaraz, who has dominated three of his four opponents to date. The one opponent with a really strong serve he did play along the way managed to take a set and send another to a tiebreak.

With Zverev being another player with a strong serve and leaps and bounds better than his prior opponents, we should see Alcaraz tested for the first time.

All the big names have tough tests in the quarters, but I believe Alcaraz is the most vulnerable among the top guns.

If he can clear this hurdle, I’d expect to see him in the final on Sunday.

Alexander Zverev Recent Form

After an injury kept him out for quite some time, the German hasn’t wasted any time in reclaiming his spot in the top-10 in the world rankings.

He’s started out his 2024 season going 8-1, doing yeoman’s work for Germany at the United Cup, before coming to Melbourne Park and reaching the second week of the tournament.

He’s beaten a slew of strong players and survived an onslaught from an inspired qualifier who was serving and hitting at career-best level, pummeling over 80 winners in what ended up being a loss.

His only loss came against the surging Alex de Minaur and that took at third set to accomplish in front of a hostile crowd.

He has the game and talent to keep him close and I have no problem backing him to pull off a major upset at the given price.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev H2H – Stat of the Match

This rivalry has already played out seven times, and Zverev has actually won four of those matchups.

Half of those, however, came longer before Alcaraz was the player he is now.

The one match that does point to him being competitive came a few months back in quick conditions at the ATP Finals. Zverev will need to replicate his gameplan that day to pull off another underdog win in the quarters.


Linda Noskova vs Dayana Yastremska (Australian Open) Free Pick: Peaking Yastremska to Continue Underdog Story

  • Pick: Yastremska to win
  • Best Odds: 2.81
  • Bookmaker: Pinnacle
  • Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 3:00 am UK Time on January 23rd, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at bet365
I’m not one to trust Yastremska to reproduce her successful matches with any sort of regularity, but this week has seen her produce a level that seems a tad more sustainable than in the past.

While she still goes for her shots and doesn’t really tone down the power in favour of consistency, she does get to her spots much more efficiently, which means she’s adding more margin for error when she does take those big cuts from the baseline.

She’s already beaten a few good players on her run and I wouldn’t doubt her to do it again against a relatively young opponent.

Read on for more expert insights.

Linda Noskova Recent Form

Talk about a great start to a season, the young Czech has really announced herself on the biggest of stages this week.

Not only did she beat phenom Mirra Andreeva in her tuneup event, but she picked up a big win over Iga Swiatek a few days back in a stunning upset from a set down.

There have been some warts on her resume as well, however. Needing three sets to beat Julia Riera in Adelaide, or McCartney Kessler earlier in this tournament is not great.

Her backhand is already among the better ones at just 19 years old, and when she hits her spots, she can dictate play against just about anyone – as the world No. 1 found out the other day.

Dayana Yastremska Recent Form

Yastremska has a nice record to start her year as well, going 9-1 between qualifiers and main draw matches, and much like Noskova, there are also some not-so-impressive wins on her resume as well, including her qualifying campaign to reach the main draw.

Her first four matches, however, have shown us why she was once a rising young star herself. Her easy power has allowed her to beat several strong players, and just like Noskova, she’s capable of controlling the match and playing aggressive, first-strike tennis.

With her powerful groundstrokes from the baseline and fewer bouts of inconsistency, I do believe this is a much closer match than the markets indicate.

Linda Noskova vs Dayana Yastremska H2H – Stat of the Match

These two haven’t met before, and I think this match will come down to who can be better on serve.

Noskova certainly has the better service numbers to this point on the young season, but Yastremska has been breaking her opponents far more often.

Now, she’s played a lower level of opponent in general, but even her matches against legitimate WTA players have seen her apply pressure consistently.

Can she do that to Noskova as well, or can the younger of the two players keep posting strong numbers in her service games and take advantage of a slightly weaker Yastremska serve, despite her own issues at times on return?


SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

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