Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction & Match Preview – 23 January

Casa Pia AC will face AVS Futebol SAD in an intriguing Liga Portugal clash at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on Friday, 23 January. This fixture presents both sides with an opportunity to make a significant impact on the league standings. Casa Pia AC, playing on home turf, will be eager to take advantage of familiar surroundings and secure a vital win.

Meanwhile, AVS Futebol SAD will look to upset the hosts and claim crucial points on the road. Both teams are determined to improve their league positions, making this a pivotal encounter. As the match unfolds, fans can expect a competitive showdown with both sides aiming to assert themselves in Liga Portugal.

Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score: No	1.72

Given the recent form and historical context, the best betting tip for this match is ‘Both Teams to Score: No.’ Both teams have struggled offensively in recent games, and injuries to key defensive players on both sides further point towards a low-scoring affair. Additionally, both managers tend to favour a cautious tactical approach, especially in matches with significant league implications.

• Casa Pia AC and AVS Futebol SAD have both failed to score in their recent matches, highlighting a lack of attacking spark.
• Historical head-to-head encounters have typically been low-scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of a ‘Both Teams to Score: No’ outcome.
• Both teams are dealing with key defensive injuries, suggesting a cautious approach that could limit scoring opportunities.

Betting Odds

Casa Pia AC enter the match as favourites, with betting odds reflecting their stronger position at home. The odds for a home win stand at 1.96, indicating confidence in their ability to secure victory at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Betting Tip	Odds
Casa Pia AC to win	1.96
Draw	3.24
AVS Futebol SAD to win	3.98

By contrast, AVS Futebol SAD are priced at 3.98, underlining the challenge ahead for the visitors. The draw is available at 3.24, which could appeal to those expecting a closely contested encounter. Keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market, as both sides have shown attacking intent in recent matches.

Casa Pia AC Analysis & Recent Performance

Casa Pia AC’s recent form paints a challenging picture as they find themselves towards the lower end of the Liga Portugal table. Currently sitting 16th with 14 points, they have managed just one win in their last five outings. This includes a notable 2-1 away victory against Tondela, but defeats to Sporting CP (0-3) and Rio Ave (1-3) highlight ongoing defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sporting CP	Casa Pia AC	3 – 0 (Loss)	Portuguese League	16 Jan, 2026
Rio Ave	Casa Pia AC	3 – 1 (Loss)	Portuguese League	4 Jan, 2026
Casa Pia AC	Vitoria de Guimaraes	0 – 0 (Draw)	Portuguese League	28 Dec, 2025
Tondela	Casa Pia AC	1 – 2 (Win)	Portuguese League	21 Dec, 2025
Casa Pia AC	Torreense	1 – 2 (Loss)	Portuguese Cup	17 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five games, Casa Pia AC have averaged 0.80 goals per match while conceding 1.80, reflecting difficulties at both ends of the pitch. Despite scoring in three of these matches, they have managed only one clean sheet, underlining the need for greater defensive solidity. Their home form is especially concerning, with no wins in the last five home fixtures—three draws and two losses.

Team Dynamics:

• LLDWL

The team’s top scorer, Jérémy Livolant, has found the net three times this season, but overall scoring has been sparse, with Casa Pia averaging less than a goal per game. Their inability to convert chances consistently, coupled with a porous defence, has contributed to their current position. To climb the table, they must improve their win ratio—particularly at home—and address defensive lapses.

Casa Pia AC Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC face a challenging situation ahead of their match against AVS Futebol SAD, with several key injuries and a crucial suspension. The absence of Cláudio Mendes due to a red card will force manager Álvaro Pacheco to rethink his attacking options, possibly relying more heavily on Cassiano to lead the line as a lone striker. This may result in a more conservative approach, with an emphasis on midfield solidity to compensate for reduced attacking depth.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Cláudio Mendes	Red card	1	Unknown

Injuries to key players such as Kiki Silva, Lawrence Ofori, and Kaique Rocha—all listed as doubtful—alongside Duplexe Tchamba, who is out until mid-February, further complicate Casa Pia AC’s preparations. The defensive line may see some reshuffling, with players like Abdu Conté or João Goulart potentially taking on greater responsibility in the absence of regular starters. This could impact their defensive cohesion and offer AVS Futebol SAD opportunities to exploit any gaps.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Kiki Silva	Knee injury	Doubtful
Lawrence Ofori	Ankle injury	Doubtful
Duplexe Tchamba	Unknown	Mid February 2026
Kaique Rocha	Muscle injury	Doubtful

These absences could significantly influence the betting markets, as Casa Pia AC’s reduced squad depth may prompt a more cautious playing style, potentially affecting their attacking effectiveness. Bettors should monitor any tactical adjustments made by Pacheco, as these could prove pivotal in determining the outcome of this Liga Portugal clash.

Casa Pia AC Key Players

Casa Pia AC’s top scorer, Jérémy Livolant, has been instrumental in their attacking strategy, netting 3 goals this season. Livolant’s ability to find space and finish clinically makes him a constant threat to opposing defences. His role in the forward line, alongside Kelian Nsona and Cassiano, will be pivotal in breaking down AVS Futebol SAD’s back line. Livolant’s knack for being in the right place at the right time is crucial for Casa Pia AC’s offensive output.

Renato Sam Na Nhaga, operating in midfield, acts as the team’s playmaker, orchestrating play with his precise passing and vision. His partnership with Sebastián Pérez in maintaining possession and distributing the ball will be key to controlling the midfield battle. In defence, the experience of José Fonte provides leadership and stability, which is vital for keeping the back line organised and resilient against AVS Futebol SAD’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Casa Pia AC:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Sequeira
• Defenders: João Goulart, José Fonte, David Sousa
• Midfielders: Gaizka Larrazábal, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Sebastián Pérez, Abdu Conté
• Forwards: Kelian Nsona, Cassiano, Jérémy Livolant

Casa Pia AC Tactics & Formation

Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Cassiano
• Midfield Pivot: Sebastián Pérez and Renato Sam Na Nhaga
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks.

Casa Pia AC are likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity while enabling quick transitions into attack. The midfield pivot of Sebastián Pérez and Renato Sam Na Nhaga is crucial for both shielding the defence and launching attacks. This duo is responsible for breaking up opposition play and distributing the ball to more creative players.

Defensively, the back line will be marshalled by experienced centre-back José Fonte. However, injuries to key defenders like Duplexe Tchamba and Kiki Silva could disrupt their defensive organisation. The lack of clean sheets in recent matches highlights potential vulnerabilities.

Offensively, Casa Pia AC will rely on Cassiano to lead the line, supported by Jérémy Livolant, their top scorer. The team often looks to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, using the pace and creativity of their wingers to create chances.

AVS Futebol SAD Analysis & Recent Performance

AVS Futebol SAD’s recent form has been concerning, with the team securing just one victory in their last five games. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat to Arouca, highlighting ongoing struggles both in front of goal and defensively.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
AVS Futebol SAD	Arouca	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	17 Jan 2026
AVS Futebol SAD	Moreirense	0 – 2 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	3 Jan 2026
FC Porto	AVS Futebol SAD	2 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	29 Dec 2025
AVS Futebol SAD	Nacional	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	21 Dec 2025
Vitoria de Guimaraes	AVS Futebol SAD	0 – 1 (Win)	Portuguese Cup	17 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five matches, AVS Futebol SAD have averaged 0.60 goals per game while conceding 1.40. This lack of attacking firepower is compounded by a porous defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league fixtures, conceding a total of seven goals.

Their away form is particularly troubling, with four losses in their last five away matches. They have averaged just 0.40 goals per game while conceding 2.60 on the road, underlining their struggles away from home. This poor away record is further evidenced by a five-match losing streak on their travels.

Currently positioned at the bottom of the league with four points, AVS Futebol SAD’s statistics indicate a team struggling for cohesion and consistency. Tactical adjustments and improved defensive solidity will be crucial if they are to reverse their fortunes in upcoming fixtures.

• LLLDW

AVS Futebol SAD Suspensions & Injuries

AVS Futebol SAD approach the match against Casa Pia AC with a fully available squad, as there are currently no injuries or suspensions. This enables coach João Henriques to select his strongest lineup and strategise freely, without the need for enforced changes.

Having all players available could give AVS Futebol SAD a competitive edge, as they can maintain their preferred tactical setup and ensure continuity in their playing style. The ability to field a full-strength team is particularly advantageous in the highly competitive Liga Portugal.

This full availability means that key players such as Cristian Devenish, Rúben Semedo, and Babatunde Akinsola are all set to feature, providing stability in defence and potency in attack. Their presence is crucial for executing the team’s game plan effectively.

With a complete squad at his disposal, João Henriques can also make strategic in-game adjustments, giving AVS Futebol SAD the flexibility to adapt to Casa Pia AC’s tactics. This could be a critical factor in determining the outcome of the match, potentially influencing betting markets as well.

AVS Futebol SAD Key Players

AVS Futebol SAD will rely heavily on Nené, their top scorer, who has netted 2 goals so far this season. Nené’s proficiency in front of goal is crucial for AVS, as his ability to find space and finish clinically could make the difference against Casa Pia AC. As a forward, he will be central to any attacking moves, working alongside Babatunde Akinsola and Óscar Perea to penetrate the opposition defence.

In midfield, Gustavo Mendonça and Pedro Lima are expected to orchestrate play. Mendonça’s vision and passing range can unlock defences, while Lima’s energy and ball-winning skills provide a solid foundation. The defensive line, featuring Rúben Semedo and Carlos Ponck, is tasked with maintaining composure and organisation to thwart Casa Pia’s attacks. Their aerial strength and positional awareness are vital to AVS’s defensive strategy.

Expected lineup for AVS Futebol SAD:

• Goalkeeper: Adriel
• Defenders: Daniel Rivas, Rúben Semedo, Carlos Ponck, Kiki
• Midfielders: Roni, Gustavo Mendonça, Pedro Lima
• Forwards: Babatunde Akinsola, Óscar Perea, Tomane

AVS Futebol SAD Tactics & Formation

AVS Futebol SAD Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Potential 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Tomane
• Midfield Pivot: Gustavo Mendonça and Roni
• Defensive Concern: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on counterattacking play to exploit defensive gaps.

AVS Futebol SAD are expected to adopt a 4-3-3 formation, offering flexibility to transition from defensive setups to swift counterattacks. The midfield, anchored by Gustavo Mendonça and Roni, will be crucial in breaking up opposition play and initiating quick transitions to the forwards.

In attack, Tomane will be pivotal, flanked by Babatunde Akinsola and Óscar Perea, who will look to exploit the wings and stretch Casa Pia AC’s defence. Despite their attacking intent, AVS have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in recent matches—a significant concern.

Offensively, AVS rely on counterattacks, leveraging the pace and skill of their forwards to create scoring opportunities. However, their defensive frailties, highlighted by the lack of clean sheets, suggest a vulnerability that Casa Pia AC may look to exploit, particularly if AVS commit too many players forward.

Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD: Head-to-Head Record

Casa Pia AC have a strong head-to-head record against AVS Futebol SAD, with 7 wins from 11 encounters. AVS have managed just one victory, while 3 matches have ended in a draw. The most recent meeting saw Casa Pia secure a 2-0 win away in Liga Portugal, underlining their dominance in recent fixtures.

The last time Casa Pia hosted AVS at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, the match ended in a 1-1 draw in December 2024. Historically, Casa Pia have been solid at home, often finding the back of the net with ease.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
AVS Futebol SAD	Casa Pia AC	0 – 2	Primeira Liga	2025-08-15
AVS Futebol SAD	Casa Pia AC	1 – 1	Primeira Liga	2025-04-19
Casa Pia AC	AVS Futebol SAD	1 – 1	Primeira Liga	2024-12-08
Casa Pia AC	AVS Futebol SAD	2 – 1	Liga Portugal 2	2022-05-07
AVS Futebol SAD	Casa Pia AC	0 – 2	Liga Portugal 2	2022-01-03