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The 2-4 Arizona Cardinals host the 2-4 New Orleans Saints at State Farm Stadium on Thursday night. This game isn’t quite a must-win for these teams, thanks to weak divisions, with no team in the South or West above 3-3 through the first six weeks of the campaign.
It is safe to say, though, that neither team has been impressive thus far. Arizona is 22nd in both points for and against. There have been flashes from the Saints offensively (11th in scoring), but they are down in 29th in points conceded, and have allowed 62 points over their last two games. Injuries have hampered both teams, and the bookies clearly don’t think there’s much to choose between these teams with the Cardinals favoured by just 2.5 at home.
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Fri, Oct 21. 01:15 (UK time)
The total is set at 45.5. Arizona has landed the under in 80% of its games, but New Orleans has been an over team thus far, hitting the under in just two of six. These teams are both middle of the pack in yards per play allowed, and they each rank well below average in points conceded. These defences have been ineffective against the pass (both in the bottom 11 in adjusted yards per pass attempt), which could lead us to a high-scoring game.
New Orleans’ offence has scored 90 points over the last three weeks, but the ineffectiveness of Arizona is reason for caution. We are going to push the total down a few points and take the over.
Switching to player props, Chris Olave stands out. The rookie has been an impressive performer, seamlessly transitioning to the pros. Olave leads the Saints with over 77 receiving yards per game, which makes his 59.5 line surprisingly low. The San Ysidro native has passed this mark in three of his last four games, and he should be in for another productive night here.
On the other side of the passing game, Kyler Murray’s props are pretty tempting across the board. The pass attempts is the best way to go – Murray’s line is set at 35.5, a number he has gone over in four of his last five games. In fact, Murray averages 42 pass attempts per game this season, with only three quarterbacks posting a higher number.
These teams average 4.49 offensive touchdowns combined per game. If we’re taking the over on the total and two offensive props, it makes sense to back there to be a few touchdowns here with subpar defences on show. They both rank in the bottom four in the number of opponent drives which end in a score (including field goals). Over 3.5 touchdowns feels a safe bet to round this out.
Bet Builder Odds: 4.75 (tracked)
Odds as of 1:30 pm October 20th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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