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american-football | Friday, October 28, 2022 12:41 PM (Revised at: Sunday, October 30, 2022 10:05 AM)

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers Bet Builder Tips: 5.25 Bet Builder on Buffalo to Hammer Green Bay

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers Bet Builder Tips: 5.25 Bet Builder on Buffalo to Hammer Green Bay
Contributor: Cal Sport Media / Alamy Stock Photo

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers Bet Builder Tips: Sunday, October 30th

For the first time in his career, Aaron Rodgers is a double-digit underdog. An 11-point dog, to be precise, as the 3-4 Green Bay Packers face the Super Bowl favourite, 5-1 Buffalo Bills on Sunday night.

Green Bay has lost three in a row to the Giants, Jets and Commanders. Buffalo is coming off a bye, and has won three straight over the Ravens, Steelers and Chiefs.

These are teams trending in opposite directions, and some would dare to say the same of the two quarterbacks. Josh Allen is rivalling Patrick Mahomes for the title of best in the league. Rodgers is experiencing an ugly demise on a Packers team lacking offensive talent.

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Buffalo is in the top two in both points for and against. They are 4-1-1 against the spread, with three of their five wins being of the blowout variety. Green Bay is 2-5 against the spread, ranks in the bottom 10 in points scored per game, and has already suffered a pair of losses by 16 or more points. The Packers’ defence has been okay, which is a cause for caution about the 11 points here. Buffalo should win this at a canter, but their offence might not blow the Packers away. So, let’s take the Bills to win by a touchdown at -6.5.

One pretty safe wager with the Bills is Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown. Only Travis Kelce has more receiving scores this season. Diggs has found the endzone in consecutive games, and with Buffalo’s running game proving to be ineffective once again, Allen will look for Diggs once they get into the redzone.

On the other side of the ball, Rodgers’ passing yards under feels like an obvious bet to pair with the Bills winning comfortably. Buffalo is in the top 11 in passing yards conceded per game and yards allowed per pass attempt. Lamar Jackson, Tua Tagovailoa and Ryan Tannehill have all had a tough time hitting receivers against these Bills.

Rodgers’ line is set at 242.5. He has gone under this in two of three, and his only over in that span was just 246. His adjusted yards per attempt has dropped from 8.8 in 2021 to just 6.9.

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers Bet Builder

Where Rodgers is devoid of weapons, Allen is spoilt for choice. He has 17 passing touchdowns this season, recording two or more in all but one game.

His touchdown rate is the best of his career. Even facing a decent Packers defence, Allen to notch over 1.5 passing touchdowns is a value pick, particularly alongside Diggs to score.

  • Buffalo Bills -6.5
  • Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown
  • Aaron Rodgers under 242.5 passing yards
  • Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Bet Builder Odds: 5.25 (tracked)

Odds as of 2:00 pm October 28th, 2022. Odds may now differ.

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