american-football | Friday, December 2, 2022 2:50 PM

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder Tips: Expecting an Epic Clash With 4.20 Bet Builder

Sam Cox

CINCINNATI BENGALS VS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BET BUILDER TIPS: SUNDAY, DECEMBER 4TH

This rematch of the 2022 AFC Championship Game is the standout fixture on Sunday. Patrick Mahomes is the runaway MVP favourite, and he takes on former first overall pick Joe Burrow, who has quietly dropped some great numbers this season.

Cincinnati is 7-4. Kansas City is demolishing all comers with a 9-2 record, and a +7.5 point differential, which places fourth in the league. Cincinnati is sixth by that metric. When it comes to the spread, however, the Bengals are 8-3 ATS, while the Chiefs have largely struggled to cover some hefty lines with a 4-6-1 record.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview

Sun, Dec 04. 21:25 (UK time)

Kansas City’s run of five straight wins has them as two-point favourites even on the road. Do not take these Bengals lightly, though. They have won three in a row themselves and have surged up the standings even without Ja’Marr Chase. Since a shock overtime loss at home to the Steelers in Week 1, they have won all three of their home games, emphatically beating the Dolphins, Falcons and Panthers.

It is hardly surprising that these teams are better on offence than defence. Both rank middle of the pack in points allowed per game. Both offences are elite. Kansas City has scored 26 or more eight times this regular season, and the Bengals have passed that number on six occasions, including four times in the last six games.

The total is set at 52.5 points for this game, which fits with what we would expect from these two teams. Given the regularity with which they get into the late twenties in scoring, we are comfortable taking a slightly lower total.

This should be a shootout. While neither defence has been particularly poor, the Chiefs are well below average when it comes to opponents completing passes, and they both rank in the bottom half of the league in expected points contributed on the defensive side of the ball. Kansas City is joint-first, and Cincinnati is joint-third in touchdowns scored per game.

The passing game is the staple for both offences. Burrow and Mahomes will be able to progress down the field, and there will be pressure to keep getting in the endzone. A combined average of 6.64 touchdowns per game makes it look like good value to back over 6.5 touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder

If we are predicting a high-scoring game from both teams, it doesn’t make sense for there to be a scoreless quarter. Given the general projection for this contest, delving into the match specials helps to boost these odds.

To wrap this up, and take us to a price of 4.20, Travis Kelce as an anytime scorer is pretty much a lock if this is a touchdown-heavy game. Kelce leads the NFL in receiving touchdowns, and has five over his last three games, plus one against the Bengals in the playoffs last year.