american-football | Petak, Decembar 9, 2022 2:24 PM

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder Tips: 8.00 Wager for AFC West Duel

Sam Cox

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder Tips: Sunday, December 11th

The 3-9 Denver Broncos are 9.5-point underdogs against the 9-3 Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday night. This is a meeting of the league’s second-best defence and best offence (by points per game), and two teams who have been through vastly different campaigns.

Denver was hoping to be a Super Bowl contender after going all in for Russell Wilson, but has been one of the league’s worst teams. Kansas City has been rolling through the regular season, and lost their first game since October last weekend.

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview

Sun, Dec 11. 21:05 (UK time)

Patrick Mahomes is the heavy MVP favourite. Despite Denver’s poor record, this is one of his greatest tests of the season. The Broncos are third in net yards per pass attempt. They have held opponents to 244 passing yards or fewer in all but one of their games this season. Mahomes averages 317.3 passing yards per game so far this season, and only five teams pass the ball more frequently.

For all Mahomes’ brilliance, the Chiefs’ offence has slowed a little of late. They have scored 30 points just once in their last five games. With how Denver can slow the passing attack, there is value taking the Chiefs to score 30 or fewer here.

Kansas City’s pass defence has been patchy. At times, they have shutdown opposing quarterbacks, but they have also allowed 240 or more passing yards in seven of their 12 games. Wilson has had a torrid season with only eight passing scores and under 200 yards in each of his last two games. Denver continues to pass at around a league average rate, but Wilson’s production has been alarmingly limited. He has gone under this number four times in the last nine games.

The game script might dictate that Denver puts the ball in Wilson’s hands, yet Wilson’s poor performance in the last two make the under the better option here.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Bet Builder

If Wilson isn’t making much progress in the air, Denver could be forced to go to the ground attack. Latavius Murray has been taking on a decent workload already, with 47 carries over his last three games. Kansas City has allowed over 100 rushing yards in seven of its last eight games, and that relative weakness is an area for the Broncos to attack. Murray has gone over this rushing attempts line in three of five games.

While the Broncos can keep this to a relatively low-scoring game, which makes the sizeable spread hard to back in the Chiefs’ favour, Kansas City should still stroll to their 10th win of the season here. These teams are miles apart, and the Broncos offence will not be able to keep pace.