american-football | Thursday, November 24, 2022 12:34 PM (Revised at: Thursday, November 24, 2022 2:37 PM)

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Bet Builder Tips: Back the Bulls in 9.00 Bet Builder

Sam Cox

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Bet Builder Tips: Thursday, November 24th

The 7-3 Buffalo Bills are 9.5-point favourites over the 4-6 Detroit Lions in Motor City on Thanksgiving. Buffalo is in the inner circle of Super Bowl contenders, and while there have been some good signs from the Lions, they are a long way off the quality of their Thursday evening opponents.

Detroit is curiously 6-4 against the spread for the season, while Buffalo sits at 5-4-1. This spread is larger than some might expect, particularly with the Bills having lost to the Jets and Vikings recently. The Lions are coming off three straight wins, and have scored 62 points over their previous two.

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Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Preview
Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Bet Builder

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Preview

Thu, Nov 24. 17:30 (UK time)

Six of Buffalo’s seven wins have come by four or more points. With homefield and some confidence building after a string of good results, it is hard to feel great backing the Lions to lose by two scores. Instead, let’s push the line down to 3.5.

Detroit’s porous defence is the main reason for the Bills being so heavily favoured. Dead-last in points allowed per game, the Lions have their work cut out against a Bills offence scoring 28.1 per game. The Lions are up in eighth in scoring – the Bills might be fifth in points allowed, but they have allowed 56 over their last two games.

With Detroit scoring 20 or more in three of their last four and Buffalo’s defence suddenly seeming fallible, a high-scoring game is on the cards here. Look for both teams to march down the field in possession. Over 20 points for each team is a good wager.

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Bet Builder

The Lions allow the most net yards per pass attempt, and place in the bottom seven in passing yards allowed. Josh Allen’s elbow has troubled him of late, slowing down the Buffalo offence, but the Bills should still be able to do serious damage in the air on Thursday evening.

Stefon Diggs, of course, is the main weapon with an average of over 100 receiving yards per game and eight touchdowns to his name.

Diggs’ receiving yards line is set at 92.5, a number he passed in six straight prior to a 48-yard effort against Cleveland last time out. Detroit has allowed 283 or more passing yards in three of their last four.

If we are expecting strong offensive performances from both teams, it makes sense to turn to the Lions’ props. Jamaal Williams has been their standout performer with 12 touchdowns on the season, including six in his last four games. While Buffalo is a decent defence against the run, the Lions will not stop pounding the ball on the ground, and Williams is by far their biggest threat in the redzone. Only five teams score a higher percentage of their touchdowns from rushes.