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The Philadelphia Eagles are the only undefeated team in the NFL heading into Week 9, and that run is expected to continue as they face the 1-5-1 Houston Texans. Philly is whopping 14-point favourites for the game. Houston was expected to be a major seller at the trade deadline a couple of days ago, but instead opted to stick with what it’s got, and failed to get a return for an apparently irritated Brandin Cooks.
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Fri, Nov 4. 01:15 (UK time)
The total for this game is set at 46.5, a number which Houston has gone under in five of its seven. Philly has only gone over this twice in the last six games. While that might indicate the under is the best bet for this game, the Eagles have actually hit the over in four of their seven, and Houston has gone over in three of seven.
This total seeming on the high side is a projection based on the Eagles winning comprehensively. Philadelphia is top four in offence and defence, and should win this game in blowout fashion. Houston is 29th in points scored, which will lead to some caution about going with the over. It seems like the Eagles are going to have to score in the thirties for this over to land.
In that case, it makes sense to pair an alternate Eagles spread with a slightly lower points total. Philadelphia scored 35 last time out, and has the weapons to do a similar amount of damage against this Texans defence.
Nudge the total down to 40.5 and back the Eagles at -7.5 to get us around Evens for the first part of this bet builder.
Houston’s defence is actually its strong suit, ranking just below league average. They are solid against the pass, but only one team allows more yards per rushing attempt. This could see Jalen Hurts attack on the ground more frequently – it also suggests Miles Sanders has a big role to play, particularly with the Eagles expected to lead throughout the game.
Sanders’ rushing yards line is set at 78.5, a line he hasn’t passed in three games (though he reached 78 last week). The Texans allowed over 300 rushing yards against the Titans in their last game, however, and their average of 186 rushing yards conceded per game is by far the most in the NFL. Given the likely game script here, Sanders will have a considerable workload, and should get close to three-figures in rushing yards.
Only three teams are allowing fewer passing yards per game than the Eagles. Houston will have to rely on Davis Mills to make plays if they are chasing the game, but Mills hasn’t proven he can do that. His passing yards line of 215.5 is too high – the Atlanta native has gone under 200 in two of his last three, and of quarterbacks to start seven or more games, only Kyler Murray records fewer yards per pass attempt. Take the under.
Bet Builder Odds: 7.00 (tracked)
Odds as of 12:00 pm November 3rd, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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