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The Las Vegas Raiders are 6.5-point favourites over the disappointing Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night. Las Vegas is only 5-7, but the Rams are 3-9 on the season with little to play for in the closing weeks. A wildcard berth is still within reach for the Raiders, though they will need to build on their current three-game winning streak if they are to keep pace.
To say the Rams are depleted would be an understatement. Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp are long-term absentees. Aaron Donald did not practice this week, and several other starters appear on the injury report. The Raiders have their own health concerns, with Hunter Renfrow, Andrew Billings and Darren Waller out. Josh Jacobs is questionable.
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Fri, Dec 09. 01:15 (UK time)
Their respective track records don’t make either team seem a great bet against the spread here. The Raiders are 3-5 ATS as favourites. The Rams are 1-3-2 ATS as underdogs. Los Angeles has lost six in a row, however, and is at a serious talent deficit for this game considering all the players expected to sit out. Las Vegas’ moneyline is the best way to get this bet builder started.
There is an element of moveable object meets stoppable force about this game. Las Vegas ranks poorly on defence across the board, placing 26th in points conceded per game. Los Angeles is 29th in scoring, and is missing numerous key components of their offence. The Raiders have conceded 20 or more in all but one game this season, yet we cannot have any confidence in this Rams offence, so we are going to stay well away from their team total.
This recent surge has been powered by the offence. Only eight teams score more points than the Raiders, and in Davante Adams, they have one of the sport’s premier wideouts. With the Rams seldom pressuring the quarterback and placing below average in net yards per pass attempt, Adams is poised for a big game. He has gone over this line in seven of the last nine, and four of the team’s five wins.
If we are rolling with Adams, it fits to expect a big game from Derek Carr. The three-time Pro Bowler has been productive of late, recording two or more passing touchdowns in each of the last five games. Over 1.5 seems a very reasonable pick against this defence.
Even missing so many players, the Rams should be able to score 10+ points in this game given the porous nature of the Raiders’ defence. They have failed to reach double digits just once. Both teams to score 10+ points elevates this wager to 4.50.
Bet Builder Odds: 4.50
Odds as at 11:00 am on December 8th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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