Atalanta vs Frosinone Predictions: Bet Builder Tips and Best Bets Preview

An Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions and tips preview is next on our hitlist at bettingexpert, with the Monday night game in Serie A acting as the intriguing starter to Juventus vs Sassuolo on Tuesday, 16th January.

The hosts earned a hard fought 1-1 draw in Roma and need a win if they want to remain within touching distance of the fourth spot. Can Frosinone, who’ve got the worst away record in Italy’s top flight, stop them?

Italian football expert Daniele Fisichella delivers his second Serie A betting preview of the week after AC Milan vs Roma – another must-read on bettingexpert. All selections are picked from bet365’s bet builder section, serving up a rather large 9.70 price.

Atalanta vs Frosinone Bet Builder Tips and Predictions Preview

1. Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 1: Under 2.5 Goals
2. Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 2: Atalanta to Win By 2 Or More Goals
3. Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 3: Atalanta To Score In Both Halves

Bet Builder Odds:

Also In this article:

• Atalanta vs Frosinone Team News
• The Predicted Serie A Table
• Atalanta vs Frosinone Stats Preview
• How to watch Atalanta vs Frosinone
• Safer Gambling

Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 1: worrying signs for the Ciociari

Italy, Serie A, Monday, January 15th, 19:45 (UK)

Newly promoted Frosinone have ended the ‘girone di andata’ (the first round of fixtures) with 19 points, a tally that few would have predicted at the beginning of the season. Their vibrant and attacking style of play, a trademark of their manager, Eusebio Di Francesco, has earned the Ciociari many plaudits and five deserved victories. The first of which was indeed against Atalanta for 2-1 back in August 2023.

Having failed to score only three times this season (against Inter, Roma and Torino), Frosinone has the second-best attack, behind Sassuolo, amongst the teams that occupy the right-hand side of the table.

Matias Soulé, with seven goals, has been the revelation of Serie A; likewise, his fellow Juventus loanees Barrenechea and Kaio Jorge have met expectations.

However, the idea that Frosinone will achieve salvation by simply outscoring their opponents during enthralling matches might be flawed.

They’ve only kept two clean sheets so far (one away from home) and will need much more defensive focus if they want to get to those 35 points that should guarantee them permanence in Italy’s top flight for the first time.

Frosinone are winless in the last six games, having collected just a point against Torino, and Atalanta have won their last four home games in all competitions. 

• Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 1: Under 2.5 Goals
• Best Odds: 2.20
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 2: no Lookman, no problem

At the Gewiss Stadium, Gianpiero Gasperini’s men have been extremely efficient this season: nine wins, two draws and just two defeats (against Inter and Napoli) in all competitions.

In front of their home crowd, the Bergamaschi tend to dominate games and create chances. They have collected three points against teams in the bottom half of the table: Lecce, Salernitana, Genoa, and Cagliari. You have to go back to February 2023 to find the last time Atalanta lost at home against a ‘small’ team (2-1 defeat to Lecce).

Since that moment, they’ve only failed to score in Bergamo in three out of 21 games, and despite the absence of their top goalscorer, Ademola Lookman (seven goals so far), they’ll still be very threatening for Frosinone’s defence. 

Although the majority of the stats suggest this could be a high-scoring game (Frosinone has the highest percentage of over 2.5 goals in Serie A, and there have been at least three goals in 56% of Atalanta’s Serie A matches), the superior experience of Atalanta, coupled with their ability to control the tempo and their options from the bench, can’t be overlooked. 

• Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 2: Atalanta to Win By 2 Or More Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.10
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 6/10

Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 3: hosts often go the distance

In fact, two-thirds of Atalanta’s goals (20) this season have come in the second halves. 

Thanks to good squad depth and Gasperini’s intuitions, the Bergamaschi often grow as the games go on: they’ve got the
second-highest points tally (behind Inter) in the second 45 minutes in Serie A.

They’ve scored in both halves on six occasions and have found the net two or more times in nine out of 19 games (14 times in total, including the cups).   

Frosinone’s numbers in this respect are almost diametrically opposite. They’ve conceded 19 times in the second halves of games, and in 58% of their matches, they’ve let in two goals or more. 

Add to that their awful away record (no wins, two draws, seven defeats, and the worst away defensive record), and it’s hard to imagine the hosts dropping points on Monday evening. 

If Atalanta score early, they normally don’t settle for the 1-0 (a result that only happened six times since last season), and goals might flow as the game progresses. Given all of the above, we feel as it home side to score in both halves rounds the Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions article off nicely.

• Atalanta vs Frosinone Tip 3: Atalanta To Score In Both Halves (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.10
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

Atalanta vs Frosinone Predictions odds via bet365 as at 11:00, January 9th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Atalanta vs Frosinone Team News Preview: Will Gianluca Scamacca take his chance?

Both teams will play in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals this week, and there’ll be a bit of turnover next Monday.

There are three doubts at the moment for Gasperini: Zappacosta might start at right wing-back instead of Holm, Gianluca Scamacca should lead the front line with one between Charles De Keteleare and Mario Pasalic to support him.

For Frosinone, new signing Bonifazi might debut in defence, and Mazzitelli would probably replace Gelli at right wing-back. Kaio Jorge and Cheddira are in contention for a place up front.

The Predicted Serie A Table

BETSiE, our in-house predictive model, who supplies the majority of data on bettingexpert, has predicted how the Serie A season will finish for the two respective sides. Our data whizz has predicted this to be a 5th vs 13th match-up going off the projected Serie A standings, suggesting a big gulf in class and aspirations between the two top-flight Italian sides.

Frosinone’s home form, which is largely irrelevant for Monday’s match, has been particularly impressive, turning their stadium into a fortress and pushing them towards mid-table in BETSiE’s predictions.. While not among the top contenders, Frosinone’s ability to secure vital points against more established teams has been commendable, potentially signalling a bright future in Italy’s top flight.

Atalanta vs Frosinone Stats Preview: visitors have an ugly away record

• During the last seven meetings, Atalanta has won four times; there have been two draws, while Frosinone has won once. The goal difference is 13-2 in favour of Atalanta.
• In Serie A, Frosinone have lost their last seven away matches.
• Atalanta haven’t lost in any of their last five home matches, winning four in a row.
• Atalanta haven’t scored in one of their nine home matches in Serie A this season (0-0 vs Juventus).
• Frosinone has the worst away record in Serie A, with only two points (two draws, seven defeats).

How to watch

• Atalanta vs Frosinone, Serie A.
• Date and Time: Monday, January 15th, 19:45 (UK)
• How to Watch or Stream on TV (UK): TNT Sports

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.