Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction: Tips and Best Bets Preview

Sunday is a big day in Italy: aside from the top of the table clash, Inter vs Juventus, there’s also a massive game in Bergamo, so we prepared this Atalanta vs Lazio prediction, tips and best bets preview for you to feast on.

The Bergamaschi are fourth in Serie A only two points ahead of the visitors. Will this be a goal fest like the reverse fixture that ended 3-2 for Maurizio Sarri’s team? Our Italian football expert Daniele Fisichella has got the answer.

Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction and Tips Preview

1. Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 1: Both Teams To Score – No
2. Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 2: Half Time Correct Score: Atalanta 1-0 Lazio
3. Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 3: Match Result: Atalanta/Draw and Under 3 Goals

In this article:

• Atalanta vs Lazio Team News
• The Predicted Serie A Table
• Atalanta vs Lazio Stats Preview
• How to watch Atalanta vs Lazio
• Safer Gambling

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Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 1: ‘CDK’ is flying high

Italy, Serie A, Sunday, February 4th, 17:00 (UK)

The hosts are, without a doubt, Italy’s most in-form team. They’ve only lost one of their last eight games (1-0 to Bologna) and have equalled their best domestic points tally (25 after eleven games) since 1996/1997.

Back then, they had a young Fillpo ‘Pippo’ Inzaghi banging the goals (he eventually won the capocannoniere (top goalscorer) title with 25 goals before being sold to Juventus in the summer), and this season they’ve rediscovered a player that many considered lost.

Charles De Keteleare has scored seven times and provided seven assists so far.
The Belgian looks like a new man compared to the timid and bewildered figure that barely left a mark last season at AC Milan.

Since December, only Kylian Mbappe has had more goals contributions (15) than De Keteleare (10, five goals and five assists) in Europe’s top five leagues.

In the summer, Atalanta secured a €23 million buyout clause from the Rossoneri, and it looks like they’ve landed a bargain.

• Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 1: Both Teams To Score – No (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 5/10

Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 2: there’s nothing like home for ‘La Dea’

CDK has inspired Giampiero Gasperini’s side to win six consecutive home matches, but lately, all of Atalanta’s front line has been firing from all cylinders, with Miranchuk and Scamacca also finding the net on various occasions.

The hosts look like they’ve found the right balance and have not been missing their top goalscorer, Ademola Lookman, who’s playing at the AFCON.

Atalanta often dominates at home, where they’ve only failed to score once this season (0-0 vs Juventus) and have kept nine clean sheets in all competitions. The Bergamaschi have got the second-best domestic attack (24 goals scored, only one less than Inter) and have scored nine times at home in the first 45 minutes.

Lazio come to this match on the back of five positive results in Serie A (four wins and Sunday’s 0-0 draw against Napoli) and after a bad start of the season (only five wins in their first 13 games), last year’s Serie A runners-up have started climbing up the table.

• Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 2: Half Time Correct Score: Atalanta 1-0 Lazio (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 4.00
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 2/10

Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 3: goals don’t come easy to Sarri

Maurizio Sarri’s side’s turn of fortunes has been built on defensive solidity but to the detriment of entertainment.

Crucially, it has also coincided with the Champions League’s group stages coming to an end.
Lazio currently has the fourth-best defence in Serie A (20 goals conceded, same as Bologna) and has kept nine clean sheets in the last 14 games in all competitions.

Since their pivotal 1-0 win against Feyenoord (7 November), they decided to ditch the high press and the long spells of ball possession in favour of quicker counterattacks.

With the addition of Rovella, Lazio’s midfield has found a better balance, and the team is more able to support the presence of Luis Alberto behind the front three.

Lazio now look suited to manage games, and in particular the tight margins, but score very little (they’ve got Serie A’s 12th attack, having netted just one more goal than Udinese), produce very few shots (they’re penultimate, ahead of Genoa and Torino, with 236 attempts) and attacking sequences (they’re just ninth for corners taken in Serie A).

Last Sunday, Lazio did not concede a single shot on target to Napoli but only had one real chance to open the scoring.

• Atalanta vs Lazio Tip 3: Match Result: Atalanta/Draw and Under 3 Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.00
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 3/10

Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction odds via bet365 as at 11:00, January 30th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Atalanta vs Lazio Team News Preview: No Koop for the hosts

Giampiero Gasperini will probably repeat the same formation that beat Udinese 2-0 last weekend. In fact, Teun Koopmeiners is likely to miss this game due to an ankle injury, and Isak Hien, signed this month from Verona, is out at least until mid-February.

In the Lazio camp, Danilo Cataldi is suspended and will be replaced in midfield by Rovella.

The back line will be the same that played against Napoli, whereas up front, Mattia Zaccagni is ready to start in place of Gustav Isaksen.

Ciro Immboile, and Taty Castellanos are in contention to play as centre-forward. Spanish defender Patric might not be available due to injury.

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The Predicted Serie A Table by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Serie A table by using the plethora of underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Inter	38	28.2	6.3	3.5	86.5	24.5	62.1	90.9
2	Juventus	38	25.3	8.9	3.8	61.7	24.2	37.5	84.9
3	AC Milan	38	21.4	7.7	8.9	69.8	45.6	24.2	71.9
4	Atalanta	38	18.6	7.2	12.2	62.1	40.6	21.5	63.1
5	Napoli	38	17.9	8.9	11.2	59.7	43.8	15.9	62.5
6	Lazio	38	17.4	8.8	11.9	45.2	36.0	9.2	60.8
7	AS Roma	38	16.8	9.3	11.9	56.9	43.1	13.9	59.6
8	Bologna	38	14.9	13.7	9.5	46.0	37.8	8.2	58.3
9	Fiorentina	38	16.3	8.3	13.4	51.4	44.7	6.7	57.1
10	Torino	38	14.1	11.8	12.2	38.7	37.9	0.8	54.0
11	Genoa	38	11.7	11.6	14.7	38.8	44.8	-6.0	46.8
12	Monza	38	11.4	11.0	15.6	38.6	52.6	-14.0	45.3
13	Frosinone	38	10.6	8.7	18.7	48.9	68.3	-19.4	40.6
14	Sassuolo	38	10.6	8.1	19.4	48.0	63.1	-15.2	39.8
15	Lecce	38	8.5	12.7	16.7	40.4	58.1	-17.7	38.4
16	Udinese	38	7.3	16.0	14.7	42.6	59.5	-16.9	38.0
17	Cagliari	38	8.8	9.7	19.6	41.0	64.8	-23.9	36.0
18	Verona	38	8.4	10.2	19.4	35.8	52.6	-16.7	35.3
19	Empoli	38	8.3	9.1	20.6	30.9	59.4	-28.4	34.0
20	Salernitana	38	4.9	9.4	23.7	33.2	74.9	-41.7	24.1

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Atalanta vs Lazio Stats Preview: A Champions League six-pointer

• The most common result of matches between Atalanta and Lazio when Atalanta is playing at home is 2-1. Four matches have ended with this result.
• Last season’s matches ended 0-2 (Atalanta at home) and 0-2 (Lazio at home).
• In Serie A, Atalanta have five successive home wins.
• Atalanta haven’t scored in one (0-0 vs Juventus) of their 11 home matches in Serie A this season.
• Charles De Ketelaere has assisted the most goals for Atalanta with six. Felipe Anderson is Lazio’s biggest assister (also six).

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How To Watch

• Atalanta vs Lazio, Serie A.
• Date and Time: Sunday, February 4th, 17:00 (UK)
• How to Watch or Stream on TV (UK): TNT Sports

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SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.