Frosinone vs AC Milan Prediction: Tips and Best Bets Preview

Frosinone vs AC Milan prediction, tips and best bets preview is our second Serie A piece this week, with Inter Milan vs Juventus also firmly in the spotlight.

Both teams come on the back of positive results and have built a healthy lead over the teams that are pursuing them. Are we in for a highly entertaining match? Our Italian football expert, Daniele Fisichella, believes so.

Frosinone vs AC Milan Prediction and Tips Preview

1. Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 1: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes
2. Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 2: Goal Before 26:00
3. Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 3: Match Result: Milan and Over 2.5 Goals

In this article:

• Frosinone vs AC Milan Team News
• The Predicted Serie A Table
• Frosinone vs AC Milan Stats Preview
• How to watch Frosinone vs AC Milan
• Safer Gambling

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Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 1: everything suggests plenty of goals

Italy, Serie A, Saturday, February 3rd, 17:00 (UK)

One thing that the hosts and the Rossoneri have in common is goals. In fact, AC Milan has got the second-best attack in the league (43 goals, seven less than leaders Inter) and has scored 22 times in the last nine league games.

Half of AC Milan’s 22 Serie A games have featured four goals or more, and in twelve of their matches, they have scored and conceded.

Stefano Pioli’s side’s frailties were highlighted once again last Saturday against Bologna when they struggled to slow down the tempo of the game and conceded the equalizer in stoppage time.

AC Milan are still short at the back due to injuries to Tomori and Kalulu and have kept only eight clean sheets during this Serie A campaign, of which only three away from home.

Newly promoted Frosinone are never afraid to attack, even against top sides, and their games have almost always been full of goals. They’ve kept only two clean sheets (against Udinese and Torino), and have got the highest percentage (68%) of over 2.5 goals in Italy’s top flight.

• Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 1: tip Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.62
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 2: visitors are masters of scoring early

Considering both teams’ track records the game should be anything but a dull 0-0.

The reverse fixture finished 3-1 for the Rossoneri, but Frosinone had more shots and kept the ball more than AC Milan. Perhaps the Ciociari left it too late at the San Siro (away from home, they’re still winless), but generally, at home, they play with no fear.

In fact, at the Benito Stirpe, they’ve already won six games and have scored 20 goals: the same amount AC Milan netted at San Siro, and three more than second-placed Juventus.
Thirteen different Frosinone players have scored so far in all competitions, but the standout ones are, of course, Matiás Soulé (nine goals) and Kaio Jorge (three goals, two in the last two games), both on loan from Juventus.

Milan’s defence, who has conceded 18 goals away from home, will be tested from the very beginning, but the Rossoneri are also the team that scores most goals in the first 45 minutes.

• Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 2: Goal Before 26:00 (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 9/10

Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 3: Rossoneri will have to sweat for three points

In fact, Olivier Giroud & co have scored 24 times in the first halves and the majority of these goals (14) have come away from home. In fact, considering only the ‘first half table’ AC Milan would be second, six points behind Inter.

But lack of squad depth, mainly linked to the numerous injuries, has given Pioli fewer options to affect games in due course and deprived the manager of experienced players.

AC Milan have got a 12-point cushion on Fiorentina, who’s currently sitting in fifth place, and it would be understandable if they rested a couple of men in preparation for the Europa League play-off against Rennes on 15 February.

The visitors have only lost two of their last 11 away games in all competitions (against PSG and Atalanta), but have conceded against four (Cagliari, Lecce, Salernitana and Udinese) out of the five teams fighting to avoid relegation that have met so far.

• Frosinone vs AC Milan Tip 3: Match Result: Milan and Over 2.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.40
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 4/10

Frosinone vs AC Milan Prediction odds via bet365 as at 14:00, January 29th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Frosinone vs AC Milan Team News Preview: injuries and absentees in both camps

Frosinone manager Eusebio Di Francesco had to deal with a number of injured players and, against Verona, deployed a makeshift back-four with Brescianini and Gelli as full-backs.

January signing Demba Seck started the match on Sunday and will probably do the same against AC Milan. The only doubt is whether Bourabia might be replaced by Farès Ghedjemis. In fact, when the French midfielder came on at the weekend, Frosinone looked much more balanced.

With seven players not available due to injuries and their involvement in the AFCON (Chukwueze), the options are limited for AC Milan’s boss, Stefano Pioli. Adli and Calabria might be given a rest in favour of Musah and Florenzi. Jovic might start up front in place of Olivier Giroud.

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The Predicted Serie A Table by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Serie A table by using the plethora of underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Inter	38	28.3	6.3	3.4	89.2	24.4	64.9	91.3
2	Juventus	38	26.1	8.1	3.8	62.7	23.4	39.3	86.4
3	AC Milan	38	21.9	7.0	9.1	68.5	43.7	24.8	72.8
4	Napoli	38	18.0	8.2	11.8	60.7	45.9	14.8	62.2
5	Atalanta	38	18.3	7.4	12.3	62.1	41.6	20.5	62.2
6	Lazio	38	17.5	7.8	12.7	47.0	39.1	7.9	60.3
7	Bologna	38	15.6	13.1	9.3	44.8	35.0	9.8	59.9
8	AS Roma	38	16.6	9.5	11.9	57.3	42.5	14.8	59.3
9	Fiorentina	38	15.9	8.5	13.6	50.9	47.0	3.9	56.1
10	Torino	38	13.5	12.2	12.3	37.1	36.9	0.2	52.6
11	Genoa	38	11.2	12.0	14.8	37.4	43.7	-6.3	45.6
12	Monza	38	11.0	11.2	15.8	40.2	54.4	-14.3	44.3
13	Frosinone	38	11.1	8.0	18.9	48.8	67.4	-18.6	41.4
14	Sassuolo	38	10.9	8.3	18.8	49.4	63.9	-14.5	41.0
15	Lecce	38	8.8	13.1	16.1	39.2	56.2	-17.0	39.4
16	Udinese	38	7.5	16.2	14.3	43.2	59.4	-16.2	38.6
17	Cagliari	38	9.2	10.1	18.7	40.2	62.5	-22.3	37.6
18	Verona	38	8.5	9.5	20.0	35.3	52.9	-17.5	35.1
19	Empoli	38	8.1	8.2	21.7	30.0	61.6	-31.7	32.5
20	Salernitana	38	4.9	9.6	23.5	32.0	74.5	-42.5	24.3

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Frosinone vs AC Milan Stats Preview: hosts are looking for a historic success

• Frosinone have not won any of their last five games against AC Milan. There have been two draws while AC Milan have won three times. The goal difference is 12-6 in favor of AC Milan.
• AC Milan are unbeaten in five games in Serie A.
• AC Milan have received five red cards this season. This is the highest number in Serie A.
• Frosinone Calcio haven’t scored in one (0-0 vs Torino) of their 11 home matches in Serie A this season.
• AC Milan have always scored away in Serie A this season. They have also scored at least one goal for 16 consecutive matches.

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How To Watch

• Frosinone vs AC Milan, Serie A.
• Date and Time: Saturday, February 3th, 17:00 (UK)
• How to Watch or Stream on TV (UK): TNT Sports (joins match in progress from 17:15)

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SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.