football | Friday, December 30, 2022 10:57 AM (Revised at: Saturday, December 31, 2022 10:48 AM)

Premier League Best Bets: Three Value NYE Picks from Brighton to Manchester

Sam Ingram

Premier League Best Bets: Saturday, December 31st

Forget your New Year’s Eve parties for a moment. There’s a Premier League offering to get one’s teeth stuck into before 2023 makes its appearances. In a trend that has continued all year long, bettingexpert are back with their final take on the Premier League’s Best Bets.

In this article:

Brighton vs Arsenal Preview & Best Bet
Fulham vs Southampton Preview & Best Bet
Manchester City vs Everton Preview & Best Bet

Brighton vs Arsenal Preview

England, Premier League, Saturday, December 31st, 17:45 (UK)

In the absence of World Cup-winning Argentine Alexis Mac Allister, Pascal Gross was chosen as the man to take his place at the base of midfield after the break. With Arsenal’s visit coming at a time when Moises Caicedo misses out due to suspension, we can be confident that the German will oversee another 90 minutes in a similar position on the field.

Against Southampton, Gross was involved for the entirety in Brighton’s engine room. When the final whistle came, the German had registered 101 passes. That kind of figure echoes what Caicedo and Mac Allister have been serving up in the middle. The Ecuadorian has hit more than 50 passes in each game under Roberto De Zerbi, other than the 3-1 away loss to City (36) and the 4-1 home win to Chelsea (34).

It’s a similar story to Mac Allister, with the two aforementioned fixtures producing a total below half a century. Still, the rest were home and dry in terms of the proposed selection. That includes 55 passes at Anfield and 118 as Brighton welcomed Spurs to the Amex.

Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal certainly fit the mould of a Chelsea or Manchester City, so there are question marks in that regard concerning the suggested punt. However, the 4-1 Chelsea win earlier in the season set up a game state where the onus was on Chelsea to control the ball and seek openings. City? Well, that’s death by possession as per – that’s 90 minutes of chasing shadows instead of picking out passes.

Brighton vs Arsenal Best Bet

Pascal Gross will be instructed to get on the ball and dictate play from the middle as the Seagulls attempt to grapple possession from their visitors. If Arsenal goes ahead in the game as they often do this season, it could lend itself to increased Brighton activity on the ball.

Away from home, Arsenal boasts the best record in the division. Six wins in eight and defeated just once at Old Trafford; it has been a stellar campaign to date on the road. Nevertheless, knick another early goal on the South coast, and Pascal Gross may have a leading role to play for this Brighton side.

Selection: Pascal Gross Over 48.5 Passes
Best Odds: 1.83 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

More Brighton vs Arsenal Tips

Fulham vs Southampton Preview

England, Premier League, Saturday, December 31st, 15:00 (UK)

After the World Cup break, Nathan Jones endured another 1-3 loss as Southampton boss. Brighton’s visit last weekend backed up Liverpool’s victory to the same scoreline at Anfield.

It doesn’t get any easier in the Premier League. Nathan Jones, as you read this, is preparing his Saints ensemble for a trip to Craven Cottage. Only Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in more matches than Fulham on home soil this term.

The 2+ goals scored in 5/8 Fulham fixtures should concern a leaky-looking Southampton set-up with a manager at the helm desperate for his first league win. In Fulham’s most recent Premier League outing, Crystal Palace fell to a 0-3 defeat from 2.65xG.

Fulham vs Southampton Best Bet

Tyrick Mitchell’s early red was compounded by James Tomkins’ suspect sending off, though take nothing away from Fulham. That was the sixth win of the season for them, outdoing eleven other Premier League clubs in terms of three-point hauls.

This is an entirely different Fulham beast to the yo-yo Championship side we’re used to. Don’t be surprised if that continues when Southampton come to town.

Selection: Fulham 2+ Goals
Best Odds: 1.80 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

More Fulham vs Southampton Tips

Manchester City vs Everton Preview

England, Premier League, Saturday, December 31st, 15:00 (UK)

Everton have failed to score against Manchester City in four attempts, dating back to Carlo Ancelotti’s (5-0 & 0-2) time in charge. Rafael Benitez (3-0) couldn’t muster much better, and neither could Frank Lampard in City’s 0-1 visit to Merseyside in February.

Pep’s side finds themselves on hosting duties for New Year’s Eve. This Everton team make their way to Manchester on the back of three losses, the most disheartening of the lot coming in their most recent away game to Bournemouth. The 2.45xG conceded against the Cherries is a highly worrying indictment of what may be yet to come against this rampant City outfit.

A statistic now almost entirely expected every season stands the Sky Blues at the league’s summit for goals scored at home. Thirty strikes from eight games, to be precise, ushers a 3.75 goals scored per90 sum to best describe their dominance at home.

It’s difficult to see The Toffees overcoming such a test. Especially when considering Arsenal are offering such a test to the Premier League crown. A Manchester City with the bit between their teeth is often too much of a task to topple.

Manchester City vs Everton Best Bet

As you’d expect, Manchester City to win are short. The 1.12 price is clearly something to avoid, needing us to approach the match in a different manner. On William Hill, we can hang our hats on City via the bet builder function. For the hosts to score the first goal in the match and produce a winning margin of at least two to a maximum of four goals, 1.80 is the offering.

The main concern here could well be City hitting Everton for five, but the 1.80 price feels reasonably safe enough to take that leap of faith.

Selection: City Score First & Winning Margin Between 2-4 Goals
Best Odds: 1.80 (William Hill)
Stakes: 10/10

Odds via bet365 and William Hill as at 10:00, December 30th, 2022. Odds may now differ.

More Manchester City vs Everton Tips

What are Football Best Bets?

Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.