football | Thursday, April 20, 2023 12:25 PM (Revised at: Friday, April 21, 2023 2:07 PM)

Premier League Best Bets: April 21st-23rd

Daniel Jenkins

Premier League Best Bets: April 21st-23rd

We’re back with more Premier League best bets as we enter the final few weeks of the season. There is still all to play for at both ends of the table and everything in between. In this edition of the Premier League best bets, we look at top vs bottom and a battle for Champions League qualification as the sides in 4th and 5th meet.

In this article:

Arsenal vs Southampton Preview & Best Bet
Brentford vs Aston Villa Preview & Best Bet
Leicester vs Wolves Preview & Best Bet
Newcastle vs Tottenham Preview & Best Bet

Arsenal vs Southampton Preview

Friday, April 21st, 20:00 (UK)

It’s top against bottom in the Premier League as Arsenal host Southampton. On paper, this should be the easiest fixture of the season for the Gunners. Recent results suggest it will be anything but. Twice Arsenal took 2-0 leads and twice they were pegged back to 2-2. Once at Anfield could be forgiven. A second instance at West Ham is the start of a worrying trend for Mikel Arteta.

Those are Champagne problems as far as Southampton are concerned. The Saints are fighting what appears to be a losing battle for their Premier League survival. Three managers have tried to steer the Saints to safety in this campaign. Despite an encouraging first few weeks for Ruben Selles, defeats to West Ham and Crystal Palace in recent weeks have left them adrift at the bottom.

Southampton still have to play Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest and Fulham this season. They’ll also feel quietly confident heading into this one. The Saints have a surprisingly strong record against Arsenal with just two defeats in their last six meetings in all competitions. It was 1-1 when the sides met at St. Mary’s in the reverse fixture.

Arsenal vs Southampton Best Bet

The bookies are expecting a straightforward home win. Anyone who’s watched Arsenal in the last few weeks will know that things are anything but straightforward with them right now. The Asian handicap line is set at Arsenal -2. That’s fair for most top vs bottom clashes but not in the context of the Gunners’ current form and the history of this fixture. Arsenal have only surpassed the -2 Asian handicap line versus Southampton in one of their last 20 Premier League matches against the Saints.

Southampton +2 was a temptation at just shy of even money but I’m going a little further with my tip. BTTS is a fascinating market when Arsenal are playing. The Gunners haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last four in the Premier League. Only one side has kept fewer clean sheets at home in the Premier League this season than Arsenal and that’s Southampton.

Both teams have scored in 80% of Arsenal’s home Premier League matches. I expect that run to continue considering the injuries to William Saliba and Oleksandr Zinchenko at the back.

Selection: Yes on Both Teams to Score (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.30 (Betway)
Stakes: 7/10

More Arsenal vs Southampton Tips

Brentford vs Aston Villa Preview

Saturday, April 22nd, 15:00 (UK)

Brentford host the in-form side in the Premier League as Aston Villa head to the capital. It’s seven wins from eight games for Unai Emery’s side. No side has taken more points in that time. Villa are on their longest winning streak in the Premier League era.

Brentford are struggling right now. It’s five matches without a win in the Premier League, their longest streak without a victory for over a year. The Bees will take solace from their record against Villa. The 4-0 loss in the reverse fixture back in October was Brentford’s only defeat against Villa in nine league meetings since the 1940s.

Brentford vs Aston Villa Best Bet

The focus will be on a player who played for both of these clubs. Ollie Watkins is a streaky scorer but right now, he’s never been on a hotter streak. Watkins has found the net in 10 of his last 12 Premier League matches.

But all hot streaks end eventually. Watkins will fail to score soon and Villa will cease this incredible winning streak. These runs of form often end directly after a major result, a statement win. That’s exactly what the 3-0 win over Newcastle was so I’m siding with the Bees here. Our resident robot, BETSiE certainly agrees, arguing the line should be closer to Brentford -0.75 than -0.

Selection: Brentford Draw no Bet (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.82 (Unibet)
Stakes: 8/10

More Brentford vs Aston Villa Tips

Leicester vs Wolves Preview

Saturday, April 22nd, 15:00 (UK)

Leicester host Wolves with Premier League safety the goal for both. Wolves have probably done just enough to get there. They’re seven clear of the drop and are looking up rather than down. The Foxes’ safety is very much in the balance. They’re in 19th and two from safety with games to come against Leeds, Everton, Fulham and West Ham.

The fixtures are fairly kind to Dean Smith but their form is worrying. One point from their last nine matches is awful, especially considering they’ve played Bournemouth, Southampton and Crystal Palace in that run.

But Leicester won this one 4-0 in the reverse fixture at Molineux. It was a rare goal-fest in what has been a consistently low-scoring fixture. The six most recent fixtures between these sides before this season produced a total of five goals and three 0-0 draws.

Leicester vs Wolves Best Bet

They’ve lost seven and drawn one of their last eight matches. How are Leicester City the favourites here? The Foxes are down at around 2.50 with most bookies to get the win, with some having them as low as 2.38 to get the three points. That’s staggeringly short considering their recent form.

Wolves are the value here. They’re six places and seven points better off for a reason. They’ve solidified under Julen Lopetegui and I certainly don’t expect another four-goal drubbing. Wolves’ away form isn’t great on paper but they’ve only lost three on the road since Lopetegui took charge – those games were at Man City, Liverpool and Newcastle. They’re the value here.

Selection: Wolves Draw no Bet (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.10 (Paddy Power)
Stakes: 8/10

More Leicester vs Wolves Tips

Newcastle vs Tottenham Preview

Sunday, April 23rd, 14:00 (UK)

It’s an eye-catching match and one that will have a massive impact on which side finishes in the top four this season. Newcastle host Tottenham for a fixture that has produced some memorable moments down the years. It was 2-1 to the visitors in the reverse fixture but we’ve seen scores like 3-2, 2-2 and 5-1 in recent years.

Both sides suffered equally disappointing but very different defeats last weekend. Newcastle went down 3-0 to this in-form Aston Villa side. That put an end to their five-game winning run. Meanwhile, Spurs thought they had clawed back a point with an 88th-minute equaliser against Bournemouth, only to concede a third goal in stoppage time.

Newcastle vs Tottenham Best Bet

I’m looking at goals here. This is usually a hugely entertaining fixture, especially when it’s played at St. James’ Park. Over 2.5 goals has landed in nine of the last 10 meetings between the clubs when Newcastle hosted. Seven of those had over 3.5.

The goal line is 2.75 and I’d be happy to back the over but I’m throwing in BTTS as well. Both teams have scored in each of Spurs’ last five in the league and in four of Newcastle’s last six. Combine those together for this bet and you’ll get some decent odds.

Selection: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.20 (bet365)
Stakes: 7/10

Best Odds available as at 12:00 on 20th April 2023. Odds may now differ.

More Newcastle vs Tottenham Tips

What are Football Best Bets?

Best bets are our best value football picks. Our tipsters employ their knowledge and identify the best value bets. Our best bets span a wide range of markets, ranging from 1X2, goals over/under to the Asian handicap. Stay up to date with bettingexpert to follow up on the latest best bets.