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football | Friday, August 12, 2022 10:34 AM (Revised at: Saturday, August 13, 2022 9:58 AM)
Premier League Probabilities Report: BETSiE'S Weekend Projections, August 13th, 14th, 15th
Andrew Brocker
1
BETSiE’s Premier League Best Bets for this Weekend
Read more about how BETSiE’s makes her predictions here and download this weekend’s full market breakdown worksheet here, including the full list of fulltime, halftime and second half markets as well as detailed breakdowns of both Asian handicaps and Goal Totals.
Download BETSiE Premier League Projections Worksheet for August 13, 14, 15
In this article:
- 1X2 Probabilities
- Asian Handicap Probabilities
- Draw No Bet Probabilities
- Double Chance Probabilities
- Goal Totals Over Under Probabilities
- Both Teams To Score Probabilities
1X2 Fulltime Probabilities
| Home | Away | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Home Odds | Draw Odds | Away Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | 60.2% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 1.66 | 4.80 | 5.29 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | 51.1% | 25.1% | 23.8% | 1.96 | 3.98 | 4.21 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 21.1% | 23.0% | 55.9% | 4.74 | 4.34 | 1.79 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.3% | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.61 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 91.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.09 | 15.83 | 45.64 |
| Southampton | Leeds | 43.3% | 24.9% | 31.8% | 2.31 | 4.02 | 3.14 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | 49.8% | 26.4% | 23.7% | 2.01 | 3.78 | 4.21 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | 44.1% | 25.6% | 30.3% | 2.27 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.1% | 3.32 | 3.89 | 2.27 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | 79.5% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.26 | 7.23 | 15.08 |
Asian Handicap Fulltime Probabilities
| Home | Away | Home AH | Away AH | Home AH % | Away AH % | Home AH Odds | Away AH Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | -1 | 1 | 48.11% | 51.89% | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | -0.75 | 0.75 | 43.27% | 56.73% | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 0.5 | -0.5 | 44.13% | 55.87% | 2.27 | 1.79 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | -0.25 | 0.25 | 41.10% | 58.90% | 2.43 | 1.70 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | -2.75 | 2.75 | 53.95% | 46.05% | 1.85 | 2.17 |
| Southampton | Leeds | -0.25 | 0.25 | 50.47% | 49.53% | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | -0.25 | 0.25 | 58.78% | 41.22% | 1.70 | 2.43 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | -0.25 | 0.25 | 51.65% | 48.35% | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 0.5 | -0.5 | 55.86% | 44.14% | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | -2 | 2 | 45.57% | 54.43% | 2.19 | 1.84 |
Draw No Bet Fulltime Probabilities
| Home | Away | Home | Away | Home Odds | Away Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | 76.1% | 23.9% | 1.31 | 4.19 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | 68.3% | 31.7% | 1.47 | 3.15 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 27.4% | 72.6% | 3.65 | 1.38 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 47.5% | 52.5% | 2.10 | 1.91 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 97.7% | 2.3% | 1.02 | 42.75 |
| Southampton | Leeds | 57.6% | 42.4% | 1.73 | 2.36 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | 67.7% | 32.3% | 1.48 | 3.10 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | 59.2% | 40.8% | 1.69 | 2.45 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 40.6% | 59.4% | 2.46 | 1.68 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | 92.3% | 7.7% | 1.08 | 13.00 |
Double Chance Probabilities
| Home | Away | 1X | X2 | 12 | 1X Odds | X2 Odds | 12 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | 81.1% | 39.8% | 79.2% | 1.23 | 2.52 | 1.26 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | 76.2% | 48.9% | 74.9% | 1.31 | 2.05 | 1.34 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 44.1% | 78.9% | 77.0% | 2.27 | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 61.7% | 65.3% | 73.0% | 1.62 | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 97.8% | 8.5% | 93.7% | 1.02 | 11.75 | 1.07 |
| Southampton | Leeds | 68.2% | 56.7% | 75.1% | 1.47 | 1.76 | 1.33 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | 76.3% | 50.2% | 73.6% | 1.31 | 1.99 | 1.36 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | 69.7% | 55.9% | 74.4% | 1.43 | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 55.9% | 69.9% | 74.3% | 1.79 | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | 93.4% | 20.5% | 86.2% | 1.07 | 4.89 | 1.16 |
Goal Totals Fulltime Over Under Probabilities
| Home | Away | O/U Line | Over % | Under % | Over odds | Under odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | 2.75 | 54.51% | 45.49% | 1.83 | 2.20 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | 2.25 | 55.84% | 44.16% | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 2.5 | 53.62% | 46.38% | 1.87 | 2.16 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 2.25 | 53.28% | 46.72% | 1.88 | 2.14 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 3.5 | 57.29% | 42.71% | 1.75 | 2.34 |
| Southampton | Leeds | 2.75 | 47.25% | 52.75% | 2.12 | 1.90 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | 2.25 | 50.48% | 49.52% | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | 2.5 | 49.95% | 50.05% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 2.5 | 49.54% | 50.46% | 2.02 | 1.98 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | 3 | 49.79% | 50.21% | 2.01 | 1.99 |
Both Teams To Score Fulltime Probabilities
| Home | Away | Yes | No | Yes Odds | No Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Leicester | 57.0% | 43.0% | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Aston Villa | Everton | 50.2% | 49.8% | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Brentford | Manchester Utd | 53.4% | 46.6% | 1.87 | 2.14 |
| Brighton | Newcastle | 50.7% | 49.3% | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 36.8% | 63.2% | 2.71 | 1.58 |
| Southampton | Leeds | 57.0% | 43.0% | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Wolverhampton | Fulham | 46.5% | 53.5% | 2.15 | 1.87 |
| Chelsea | Tottenham | 53.7% | 46.3% | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| Nottingham Forest | West Ham | 53.4% | 46.6% | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | 41.7% | 58.3% | 2.40 | 1.71 |
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