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Premier League football is back in its entirety, international/Euro 2024 qualifiers football are finished for the season and we have you covered for Sheffield United vs Fulham prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.
James Cantrill has been tasked with picking out three bets and he fancies goals, a goalscorer and has also dipped into the player card market.
Home | Away | Home xG | Away xG | Margin | Total xG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sheffield Utd | Fulham | 1.22 | 1.61 | -0.4 | 2.83 |
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 27th, 15:00 (UK)
Sheffield United began the international break nine points from safety but ended it a point closer due to Nottingham Forest’s financial irregularities.
Although it is not mathematically confirmed, the Blades return to the Championship seems a matter of when not if as if they carry on with the 0.5 points per game average they have been posting this season, they will end the season with 19 points. This means Chris Wilder’s side wouldn’t survive even if the sides above them did not take another point for the rest of the season.
Sheff United are 1.01 to go down (99.5% implied probability), so if they are going to start the greatest of escapes, three points are essential on Saturday. At 4.75, as I write, that doesn’t look likely, but you should expect the Blades to make a decent first of it.
The Blades squandered a two-goal lead against Bournemouth in their game before the international break and have netted in five of their six games against bottom-half sides since Wilder re-took the reins.
At 1.70, backing both teams to score appeals.
Rodrigo Muniz is on fire.
The frontman has netted seven times since the start of February, no player in the Premier League has scored more and only Harry Kane and Jonathan David have scored more over that period in Europe’s top five leagues.
The Brazilian signed off for international break with a brace against Spurs, his second in the space of six games, and at 2.50, his price to net against the most porous defence in the division is simply too big.
The Blades have conceded 74 times, an average of 2.654 a game and in desperation, they have really opened up.
They became the first side in top-flight history to concede five or more goals in three games in the spin, and what makes that stat worse is that they actually conceded five or more in four games on the spin in all competitions.
Saturday’s hosts have only kept one clean sheet for the entire campaign, so the division’s man-inform must fancy his chances of netting.
A 50% fit Ollie McBurnie will start on Saturday. So, the Scotsman should lead the line against Fulham, and it is his price of 4.00 to be shown a card that interests me.
Despite only playing 921 minutes this season, McBurnie has notched up four cards, two of which yellows and two reds and this translates to a cards per 90 average of 0.39 making Unibet’s price clear value.
Although the referee is yet to be announced, backing a player of the most cynical side in the division certainly appeals especially considering no player has been sent off more times in the top flight.
The fact McBurnie has also had his head shaved during the international break increases his chances of been carded by 50% according to my calculations.
Sheffield United vs Fulham Prediction odds via bet365, Unibet as at 19:00, March 26th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Both sides have players away on international duty.
George Boldock (Greece), Ben Brereton Diaz (Chile), James McAtee (England youth), Ollie Arblaster (England youth), Anel Ahmedhodzic (Bosnia), Ben Davies (Wales) and Will Osoula (Denmark) have all been away representing their nations.
As for Fulham, 14 players have jetted off. Harry Wilson (Wales), Antonee Robinson (USA), Tim Ream (USA), Andreas Pereira (Brazil), Bobby Decordova-Reid (Jamaica), Calvin Bassey (Nigeria), Armando Broja (Albania), Fodé Ballo-Touré (Senegal), Timothy Castagne (Belgium), Alex Iwobi (Nigeria), Bernd Leno (Germany), Saša Lukić (Serbia), João Palhinha (Portugal) and Marek Rodák (Slovakia).
What state these players come back in remains to be seen.
Sheffield United possible starting lineup: Grbic; Baldock, Trusty, Robinson; Bogle, Davies, Arblaster, hamer, Osborn; Brereton, McBurnie
Fulham possible starting lineup: Leno; Castagne, Adarabioyo, Bassey, Robinson; Palhinha, Lukic; Wilson, Pereira, Willian; Muniz
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Sheffield United vs Fulham, currently 20th vs 12th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.8 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 91.3 | 31.5 | 59.7 | 86.2 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.7 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 89.3 | 36.6 | 52.7 | 85.8 |
3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.2 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 84.7 | 38.1 | 46.6 | 83.6 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.5 | 6.2 | 11.3 | 73.7 | 57.6 | 16.1 | 67.8 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.8 | 7.0 | 11.2 | 76.8 | 61.2 | 15.6 | 66.4 |
6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 15.7 | 53.7 | 57.7 | -4.0 | 58.6 |
7 | Chelsea | 38 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 68.3 | 62.6 | 5.7 | 56.5 |
8 | Newcastle | 38 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 15.6 | 78.7 | 65.9 | 12.8 | 55.0 |
9 | Brighton | 38 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 12.3 | 63.5 | 59.7 | 3.8 | 54.4 |
10 | West Ham | 38 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 13.8 | 58.9 | 67.8 | -8.9 | 54.1 |
11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 16.0 | 54.6 | 62.0 | -7.4 | 51.8 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.5 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 58.2 | 66.3 | -8.1 | 50.7 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 14.2 | 7.1 | 16.7 | 56.8 | 58.7 | -2.0 | 49.8 |
14 | Brentford | 38 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 19.9 | 56.5 | 68.3 | -11.8 | 40.0 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 17.8 | 44.9 | 64.4 | -19.5 | 40.0 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 12.0 | 9.2 | 16.8 | 44.2 | 54.0 | -9.8 | 39.1 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 19.6 | 46.6 | 62.5 | -15.9 | 33.8 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 22.8 | 53.4 | 81.4 | -28.0 | 29.8 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 24.6 | 39.2 | 78.1 | -38.9 | 25.3 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 25.7 | 34.8 | 93.6 | -58.8 | 22.7 |
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