The Expert’s Acca Tips and Predictions: A Four Fold in Four Countries

We visit four countries and unearth four interesting selections from our four-man team overseeing The Expert’s Acca tips and predictions article this week.  Steve Wyss settles on a win in Ligue 1, Daniele backs goals in Serie A, whilst it’s corners and Championship goals on the agenda for Scott and Sam.

The Expert’s Acca Tips and Predictions

• Sam Ingram’s Tip: Stoke – Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line
• Scott Thornton’s Tip: Over 5.5 Heidenheim Corners
• Daniele Fisichella’s Tip: Atalanta – Over 2.25 Asian Goals
• Steve Wyss’ Tip: Lille to Win

Expert Tips Acca Odds: 12.00

Expert Tips and Predictions Acca Odds via bet365 as at Wednesday December 6th 00:00. Odds may now differ.

Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday: Both eyeing a result in Stoke

England, Championship, December 9th, 15:00 (UK)

I like getting involved in goals in match-ups where either side enters the weekend fancying a positive result due to current circumstances. And when the goal line drops below 2.5 in such a scenario, it enters the realms of a ‘must-consider’ for me. There will be plenty who look at this match and think it has BTTS-No or Under 2.5 Goals written all over it, as the bookmakers have done, but I feel like going against the grain here.

Sheffield Wednesday’s start to the season not only suggests that Xisco Munoz wasn’t the man for the job but also that the current crop may struggle to keep pace with the rest. For that reason alone, Alex Neil’s Stoke City and the home crowd will be expectant. Anything other than three points will be a disappointment and only add to the pressure swirling around Alex Neil’s door (we have him as favourite to be the next Championship manager for the sack).

There’s light at the end of the tunnel in Sheffield. Finally. Danny Rohl has overseen four points from two games, notching three goals against Blackburn and holding a strong Leicester outfit to a 1-1 draw at Hillsborough.

The Owls have found the net in each of their last three matches and four of their previous six outings if we look back a little further. Repeat that feat, and it’s not too much of an ask to hope that the hosts can pitch in with a strike themselves. Stoke have conceded nine goals in three matches and have the sixth-worst xGA total (26.5) in the division, not far from Wednesday’s 24.1xGA.

It’s clear why we’re getting such a goal line. Stoke (9/19) and Sheffield Wednesday (11/19) lead the division in the ‘Failed to Score’ metric. Elsewhere, only Bristol City have produced fewer Over 2.5 Goal returns than Stoke after 19 matches. However, with Alex Neil fighting to keep his job, Stoke viewing this game as a likely three-pointer if they turn up, and a newfound optimism in Sheffield, it’s a goal line to consider.

• Expert: Sam Ingram
• Selection: Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line
• Best Odds: 1.98
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7.5/10 (TRACKED BET)

Heidenheim vs Darmstadt: Heidenheim to Make Home Advantage Corner Count

Germany, Bundesliga, Saturday, December 9th 14:30 (UK)

Heidenheim have a two-point advantage over Darmstadt ahead of this fixture and they will be hoping that they can edge this encounter on home turf. Frank Schimdt’s side have won three of their six matches at the Voith-Arena in the Bundesliga and have shown a great deal of attacking impetus.

Darmstadt are in the relegation playoff place after 13 matches and they have secured just one win on the road this season. They are currently on a run of six matches without a win. Last weekend’s home defeat against Koln was a new low in their campaign.

Schmidt’s side haven’t been afraid to commit bodies forward at home and it’s resulted in them winning a decent number of corners. Heidenheim are averaging 7.67 corners per game in front of their own fans this season; the same as Bayern Munich. They have had at least six corners in five of their six home matches in the Bundesliga and this is a great opportunity for them to pull clear of the relegation zone.

Darmstadt conceded six corners in their home defeat to Koln. Their last away match saw Freiburg rack up a total of 11 corners. In league away matches this season, their opponents have won an average of 6.33 corners per game.

• Expert: Scott Thornton
• Selection: Over 5.5 Corners For Heidenheim
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10 (TRACKED BET)

Atalanta vs AC Milan: emotions till the last ‘Gasp’

Italy, Serie A, December 9th, 17:00 (UK)

Back-to-back home wins in Serie A have softened the blow of a highly likely elimination from the Champions League for the Rossoneri. Against Borussia Dortmund, in their sole defeat in their last five matches, AC Milan have at times looked disjointed and once again unable to control matches played at high tempo.

Injuries have certainly affected AC Milan’s inconsistent start of the season, but against those sides who are good in transition and attack with peace the likes of Reijnders, Musah, and Loftus-Cheek have often struggled to find the right position. They conceded five against Inter Milan, three against PSG and Borussia Dortmund and two against Napoli, which, alongside the long list of injured defenders, is one of the reasons why this game in Bergamo could be tricky for Pioli’s men.

Atalanta suffered a setback in Turin as they lost 3-0. Gianpiero Gasperini football is risky and entertaining but physically very demanding for players and only works when everyone is in top form. At the moment, Atalanta are struggling to cope with playing in the Europa League: they achieved qualification in style to the knockout stages but have only kept one clean sheet in the last six games in all competitions.

The start of their season had been much more promising in terms of defensive numbers: five home clean sheets until 4 November against Inter.

The hosts also have a few key players (Scamacca, Toloi and Palomino) out, but their home scoring form has been good so far: they found the net in all but one game (0-0 vs Juventus) at the Stadio Azzurri d’Italia during the current campaign.

• Expert: Daniele Fisichella
• Selection: Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line
• Best Odds: 1.82
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 15/10 (TRACKED BET)

Clermont vs Lille: Les Dogues to have too much bite for relegation threatened Clermont

France, Ligue1, Sunday, December 10th, 14:00 (UK)

Lille have stealthily climbed up to fourth in the Ligue 1 table and only lost two league games all season. They have been involved in some of the lowest-scoring fixtures in the division and only conceded 11 goals. A stout defence has been the cornerstone of their success, and behind that backline is goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier, who has been in fantastic form. The Lille custodian saved a remarkable two penalties last week vs Metz to ensure that Lille preserved a clean sheet en route to a 2-0 victory.

LOSC are clear odds-on favourites to win away to Clermont, but a price around the 1.80 mark actually feels too big. Lille are legitimately one of the top four of five sides in France, and they face arguably the weakest squad in Ligue 1. Clermont and their manager, Pascal Gastien, have worked wonders in recent years with their limited resources, but it feels like this season could be a step too far. They quite simply lack the quality and class, especially in the final third, where a serious lack of goals is very noticeable.

There is a very good chance that Lille will win this match to nil when you consider that their opponents have scored just nine goals in 14 games. The home attack is toothless, and they now face a formidable defence. The only real danger scoreline appears to be 0-0, but Lille should ultimately have too much to prevail. In Jonathan David, they still possess a top-quality striker who could make the difference if required. A fairer price would be something around the 1.60 range at the absolute most, so I am very happy to strike with Les Dogues in this affair.

• Expert: Steve Wyss
• Selection: Lille to Win
• Best Odds:1.75
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10 (TRACKED BET)

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