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Mixed martial arts The Longshot: High Odds Acca Tips and Predictions on Jimmy’s Oriental Express
Jimmy The Punt is back with another ‘The Longshot: High Odds Acca Tips and Predictions’ write-up at odds of 158.12. This Long shot dips into the action across England this weekend. There’s one tip from League One, another from League Two and the final high odds prediction comes via Super Sunday’s Premier League clash between Chelsea and Manchester City.
- Derby vs Barnsley: Barnsley -0.75 Asian Handicap
- Swindon vs Stockport: Stockport -1.75 Asian Handicap
- Chelsea vs Manchester City: Man City -2.0 Asian Handicap
The Longshot Acca odds: 158.12
The Longshot: High Odds Acca Tips and Predictions Odds via bet365 as at 16:00 8th October 2023. Odds may now differ.
Derby vs Barnsley: Reds Riot on Road
England, League One, Saturday November 11th, 15:00 (UK)
I watch a fair bit of Barnsley, and the consensus after the 3-0 thumping of Shrewsbury was that the Oakwell voodoo had been lifted.
The Red have not kicked on since that win, though, which was only their third at home in the league, and since drew 2-2 with Fleetwood and 3-3 with Horsham in South Yorkshire.
I was at Oakwell when Horsham, of the seventh tier of the football pyramid, split the goals in a six-goal thriller to earn a replay with the League One side.
Neil Collins may have made five changes but named a very strong side. Those coming into the XI have been on the periphery this campaign, so it was by no means a hotchpotch of inexperienced kids and out-of-favour pros.
The Reds had over 20 shots while the visitors scored with each of their three on target, which tells you as much as you need to know.
The game before, Barnsley went two goals down. Fleetwood had a huge slice of fortune for the first, and the second was a worldie free kick.
The point is, they may have drawn their last two, in games they were odds on to win, but performances have been much better than results suggest.
Next on the Reds roster is a trip to Pride Park, and the good news is the visitors are the best away side in the division.
Barnsley are unbeaten on their travels. They have taken the most points (17), scored 13 and only conceded three times.
With the +0.5/0.1 Asian line, it is a half-stakes win if the Reds win by one, and we are paid out in full if there’s daylight between them and the Rams.
Paul Warne’s side are yet to click into gear. They have only won back-to-back league games on one occasion and have only won one of their five games against sides above them in the league.
Swindon vs Stockport: Simply the best
England, League Two, Saturday November 11th, 15:00 (UK)
Can everyone agree Stockport County are the best side in League Two?
I don’t think that is an outrageous statement, considering the Hatters are six points clear at the top of the fourth tier.
Dave Challinor’s team has won the most games (11) and has the best goal difference (+17).
Hardly groundbreaking, I know, but they just are the best.
Their attack features the league’s second top goal scorer, and fourth, Isaac Olaofe and Louie Barry have scored a combined 20 goals, which is more than six teams in the division have scored in total.
Again, just to reiterate, Stockport are the best side in the league.
You would have to go back to August to find the last time they lost a game in any competition. Promotion rivals Mansfield pipping them in a five-goal thriller.
Since that defeat, it is 13 games unbeaten and 12 (yes, twelve) wins on the spin. Over that period, Wrexham, another one of the ante-post title favourites, were spanked 4-0, and Crewe, one of the division’s surprise packages, were beaten 2-0.
It is worth noting that for context, Crewe and Wrexham drew 3-3, Crewe drew with Swindon 2-2, and Wrexham drew with Swindon 5-5. So, it would be fair to say these three sides are pretty evenly matched.
Stockport covered the -2 asian handicap comfortably against Wrexham, and we would have got a push when they beat Swindon by two goals.
It may be foolish guesswork, but I am confident Stockport will cover the -2.00 handicap against Swindon. Unfortunately for us, the -1.75 Asian line is the biggest alternative line available on bet365, so we’ll have to settle for that. The Robins are winless in five, one win from their last nine and have conceded 25 goals over that period.
Chelsea vs Manchester City: If the price is right…
England, Premier League, Sunday November 12th, 16:30 (UK)
Manchester City are available at 1.80 to win at Stamford Bridge on Super Sunday, which seems short.
The last time these sides met at Chelsea in the Premier League, the Citizens won 1-0 in a fixture they went off at 1.66 to win.
Recently, Pep Guardiola’s side went off at 1.67 to beat RB Leipzig, 1.62 to beat West Ham and the same price in the Manchester derby. City won all of these games, scoring nine times and conceding two goals.
Based on that, there is certainly some juice in the visitors’ current price for this weekend, and I do not expect it to be available at 16:30 on Sunday.
Erling Haaland managed to shake off the knock he picked up at the weekend in midweek, scoring twice against Young Boys on Tuesday. The Norwegian should be fit to start in the capital on Sunday.
Mauricio Pochettino bamboozled Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal recently by playing without a striker, but I don’t think he will have the same success against Pep.
City have covered the -2 Asian line in 35.7% of their wins this season. It’s not overwhelming, I know, but if the price is right…
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