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It’s a question seeping into the thoughts of Premier League football fans; will Sheffield United record fewer Premier League points than Derby (11) did? Well, if they do, they’ll do so with a new-ish manager in the dugout. Chris Wilder is back in Sheffield, swooping back into his old office following Paul Heckingbottom’s departure.
With Sheffield United sitting rock bottom of the division, bettingexpert’s supercomputer, BETSiE, delves into the probability behind if this will be a record-breaking season for all the wrong reasons at Bramall Lane.
In this article:
20 pts or more | 43.8% |
19 pts | 52.0% |
18 pts | 60.2% |
17 pts | 68.2% |
16 pts | 75.9% |
15 pts | 82.5% |
14 pts | 87.9% |
13 pts | 91.9% |
12 pts | 94.9% |
11 pts | 97.3% |
10 pts | 98.6% |
9 pts | 99.3% |
8 pts | 99.8% |
The table above paints the clearest picture of how BETSiE views Sheffield United’s chances of recording a better points return than Derby County in 2007/08.
At 2.70% to record ten points or fewer, BETSiE suggests that Sheffield United should finish a nice distance away from that dreaded 11-point Derby County haul in 2007/08. Still, with a 18.9 projected points total, the Blades’ season is one that is predicted to be doomed to relegation. BETSiE has Luton Town trumping Sheffield United, harnessing 26.6 points this season, whilst Burnley can’t do enough to remain in the division after stumping up 29.7 points.
BETSiE’s process for predicting the future in the footballing world sees a number of simulations borne from the data at hand. There are hundreds of simulations below that’ll cause Blades fans sleepless nights:
Sheffield United may not quite be at Derby County’s 07/08 levels, but their first few months of the season have hardly been a joy to watch. Is there any surprise? The rug was pulled from underneath Paul Heckingbottom’s feet, so to speak, in the summer.
Iliman Ndiaye and Sander Berge were sold on return to the Premier League with only weeks left until the first ball was kicked in anger in the top flight. Billy Sharp vacated the Blades, too, though the club legend had run his course at the club after so many years (and goals). Still, that’s a wealth of talent, cutting-edge up-top, and experience in the dressing room.
Cameron Archer arrived to replace any outgoing goals. On the face of it, it’s a great signing. The former Aston Villa marksman has everything to succeed in the Premier League, but maybe not this season. At 21, he arguably needed one more full season in the Championship until he led a Premier League line.
Looking at the Blades’ first few months in the Premier League as a snapshot of performance, from August to October, you’ll find they recorded the fewest Expected Goals (10.8xG) in the division. Not only that, but they also conceded 30.8xG – the biggest sum in the division.
Sheffield United’s underlying processes are struggling in the top flight. In terms of translating those kinds of performance into points, that’s all sluggish, as you’d expect. Fourteen games, one win, 11 lossess – it’s a worrying start to the season. It’s no surprise the Derby County 2007/08 shouts are surfacing, and it’s no shock Heckingbottom has lost all faith from the owners.
Fear not, Sheffield United fans, you’ve got BETSiE on your side. That’s a good spot to be in, trust us.
Derby County in the 2007/08 season recorded 11 points which is the smallest points return in Premier League history.
Derby County lost the most games in a Premier League season in 2007/08, losing 29 of 38 matches.
No surprises here; Derby County won just one match in their below par 2007/08 Premier League season.
It’s Derby County again. In 2007/08, the Rams conceded 89 goals in 38 games. That’s an average of 2.34 goals per90.
The 20 goals scored by Derby County in their 2007/08 Premier League season was the fewest goals scored in the competition’s history.
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