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football | Wednesday, December 14, 2022 12:49 PM (Revised at: Thursday, December 15, 2022 12:26 PM)
BETSiE Predicts.....the 2022 World Cup Final
Andrew Brocker
1
We nailed our World Cup Semi Final rounds best bet with Argentina getting the win over Croatia. Now we look to close out the tournament on a positive note with a single best bet selection for the World Cup Final on Sunday.
In this article:
- World Cup Final Best Bets
- World Cup Final: 1X2 Projections
- World Cup Final: Asian handicap Projections
- World Cup Final: Goal Total Projections
- World Cup Final: Both Teams to Score Projections
BETSiE’s World Cup 2022 Final Best Bets
For the 2022 World Cup, I am taking Argentina to win the World Cup, splitting my single unit selection on:
- Argentina to win the World Cup @ odds 2.00.
- Argentina to win the World Cup in regulation time @ odds 2.95
Best odds as at 12pm December 15th 2022. Odds may now differ.
BETSiE’s World Cup Best Bets Results….
- WON: Ecuador -0.25 goals (AH) vs Qatar @ odds 2.09
- LOST: Croatia to win vs Morocco @ odds 2.10
- PUSH: Belgium -1 goal (AH) vs Canada @ odds 1.90
- HALF LOSS/PUSH: Cameroon +0.75 goals (AH) vs Switzerland @ odds 1.94
- WON England vs Iran Over 2.25 goals @ odds 2.06
- LOST: Qatar +0.75 goals (AH) vs Senegal @ odds 2.07
- LOST: Netherlands -0.75 goals (AH) vs Ecuador @ odds 2.03
- WON: Australia +0.25 goals (AH) vs Tunisia @ odds 2.10
- HALF LOSS/PUSH: Denmark +0.75 goals (AH) vs France @ odds 1.92
- WON: Costa Rica +1.25 goals (AH) vs Japan @ odds 1.87
- WON: Croatia -0.25 goals (AH) vs Canada @ odds 1.85
- LOSS: Belgium to win vs Morocco @ odds 2.05
- WON: Spain vs Germany, Under 2.75 goals @ odds 2.23
- LOST: Canada +0.25 goals (AH) vs Morocco @ odds 2.08
- PUSH: Belgium +0 goals (AH) vs Croatia @ odds 1.96
- HALF LOST/PUSH: Mexico vs Saudi Arabia, Under 2.75 goals @ odds 1.97
- LOST: Costa Rica vs Germany, Under 3.5 goals @ odds 2.07
- WON: Australia +1.75 goals (AH) vs Argentina @ odds 1.91
- LOST: Poland +1.5 goals (AH) vs France @ odds 1.96
- LOST: South Korea +1.5 goals (AH) vs Brazil @ odds 1.96
- HALF LOST/PUSH: Argentina -0.25 (AH) vs Netherlands @ odds 1.95
- WON: Croatia +1.5 (AH) vs Brazil @ odds 1.87
- WON: Argentina to win (regulation 90 minutes) vs Croatia @ odds 1.87
So through the end of the Qtr Finals, we are:
- 9 wins, 10 losses, 4 pushes
- Profit of -1.15 units
- ROI of -5.0%.
World Cup 2022 Final: 1X2 Projections
Below are the 1X2 probabilities for the World Cup Final:
| TEAM A | TEAM B | TEAM A % | Draw % | TEAM B % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | France | 59.8% | 23.1% | 17.1% |
While the bookmakers see this as a tight affair, BETSiE is loving Argentina in this match.
World Cup 2022 Final: Asian Handicap Projections
Below are the Asian handicap probabilities for the World Cup Final.
| TEAM A | TEAM B | TEAM A AH | TEAM B AH | TEAM A AH % | TEAM B AH % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | France | +0 | +0 | 77.7% | 22.3% |
As we did in the 1X3 market, BETSiE sees tremendous value in backing Argentina +0 goals in the Asian handicap market.
We will then back Argentina with a split unit:
- 0.5 units on Argentina to win the World Cup in regulation time.
- 0.5 units on Argentina to win the World Cup in regulation, extra time or penalties.
Lets then take a look at the goal total and both teams to score markets.
World Cup 2022 Final: Goal Total Projections
Is there any value in backing on the goal total in the 2022 World Cup Final?
| TEAM A | TEAM B | O/U Line | Over % | Under % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | France | 2 | 64.0% | 36.0% |
There is some decent value in backing the Over 2 goals, with a best price currently available of 1.87 for the Over.
Do we see corresponding value in the Both Teams to Score markets?
World Cup 2022 Final: Both Teams To Score Projections
Below are the probabilities for both teams to score yes and no for the World Cup Final.
| TEAM A | TEAM B | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | France | 46.5% | 53.5% |
The current best price for BTTS – Yes is 2.08, which delivers no value. As a result we will not be backing the Over 2 goals for the World Cup Final.
Well, we’re finally there. The World Cup Final has arrived, it’s Argentina vs France.
Enjoy your wagering as the group stage concludes.
As always, gamble responsibly.
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