football | Friday, May 12, 2023 11:58 AM (Revised at: Friday, May 12, 2023 5:17 PM)

Best Weekend Prop Bets: Value Prop Picks for Five Premier League Matches this Weekend

Scott Thornton

Best Weekend Prop Bets: May 13th-14th

We return with the very best weekend prop bet picks for the Premier League this weekend, May 13th-14th. It’s a crucial matchday in the battle against the drop so desperation should kick in. This can have an impact on our prop selections.

Leeds, Everton and Nottingham Forest all feature in our preview. These sides are fighting for their lives at the bottom so it’ll be intriguing to see how they get on. The race for Europe continues as Tottenham travel to take on Aston Villa.

In this article:

Leeds vs Newcastle Preview & Best Bet
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Preview & Best Bet
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Preview & Best Bet
Everton vs Manchester City Preview & Best Bet
Arsenal vs Brighton Preview & Best Bet

Leeds vs Newcastle Preview

Saturday, May 13th, 12:30 (UK)

Leeds are in dire straits as they welcome Newcastle to Elland Road. They are 19th in the table and two points from safety. The club have appointed Sam Allardyce in an attempt to prolong their stay in the Premier League. ‘Big Sam’ has never been relegated in his career but he has been given just four games to save Leeds United.

Newcastle United had grown accustomed to battling it out at the bottom under Mike Ashley. However, under the new Saudi regime they are third in the table. The Geordies are enjoying a fantastic season and they look set to qualify for next season’s Champions League.

Leeds vs Newcastle Best Bet

Leeds should be more direct under Allardyce. Three points would be massive in their bid for survival so expect them to throw the kitchen sink at this one. Their opponents at Elland Road this season are averaging 7.94 goal kicks per game. They are vastly inferior to Newcastle but they should see enough of the ball to pose a threat.

Newcastle faced Everton last weekend, one of Leeds’ relegation rivals. They had 11 goal kicks in that match. Eddie Howe’s side are averaging 7.47 goal kicks per away match this campaign. The Magpies had nine goal kicks in this fixture last season.

Selection: Over 6.5 Goal Kicks For Newcastle (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.10 (bet365)
Stakes: 8/10

More Leeds vs Newcastle Tips

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Preview

Saturday, May 13th, 15:00 (UK)

Chelsea have been going through the motions for a number of weeks. They recorded their first win under Lampard last weekend but the team have nothing to play for in the remaining matches. The Blues have endured a calamitous first season under new ownership. Attention has already turned to how they can improve next season.

Nottingham Forest are in the midst of a scrap against the drop. Steve Cooper’s side are three points clear of the bottom three. They face Arsenal in their next match so they will want to pick up as many points as possible at Stamford Bridge. They earned a draw in the reverse fixture.

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Best Bet

Since Frank Lampard returned as interim manager, Chelsea have been conceding 13.57 shots per game. This is comfortably above the league average of 12.60.

Morgan Gibbs-White has been a real threat for Nottingham Forest, particularly in the second half of the season. He has played in several of the forward positions and has managed to get his shots away in all of them. Morgan is averaging 1.9 shots per 90 minutes this season. He has had two shots or more in his last four matches. Gibbs-White also had three shots when Forest faced Chelsea earlier this season.

Selection: Over 1.5 Shots For Morgan Gibbs-White (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.80 (bet365)
Stakes: 7/10

More Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Tips

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Preview

Saturday, May 13th, 15:00 (UK)

Aston Villa began their season under Steven Gerrard. The former Liverpool midfielder failed to stamp his authority on the squad as the club failed to accomplish what their squad merited. Unai Emery has since come in and transformed things. The Villains are competing for a place in Europe. A win on Saturday would go a long way toward helping them achieve that.

Tottenham are just three points and two places in the table ahead of Villa. A little under three months ago, the gap was 14 points and seven places. Spurs have had a tough season with Ryan Mason serving as their third manager of the campaign. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the club as they head into the summer.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Best Bet

Tottenham have struggled on the road this season. They are without a win in their last eight away matches in all competitions; losing six. Their opponents will be full of confidence coming into this one so expect Ryan Mason’s side to be on the back foot for much of the game.

Emiliano Buendia hasn’t quite hit the heights his club would have hoped for since joining from Norwich. He has struggled for consistency but has shown glimpses of what he can produce. He started up front for Villa in their last game and managed five shots. Buendia scored against Spurs earlier this season.

Selection: Over 1.5 Shots For Emi Buendia (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.68 (Unibet)
Stakes: 7/10

More Aston Villa vs Tottenham Tips

Everton vs Manchester City Preview

Sunday, May 14th, 14:00 (UK)

Everton haven’t been relegated since 1955 but there is growing concern as this season draws to a close. The Toffees were fantastic as they beat Brighton 5-1 last weekend. They will need to conjure up a similarly magical performance as they look to take points off Manchester City this weekend.

Pep Guardiola’s side are still in the hunt for the treble. They have successfully chased down Arsenal in the league but they know the job isn’t complete with four games remaining. It will be interesting to see what side Pep Guardiola fields with a second leg against Real Madrid taking place next week.

Everton vs Manchester City Best Bet

Manchester City concedes the fewest throws in the Premier League this season their opponents are averaging 13.24 throws per game. Pep’s side dominates possession and this means there is little opportunity for their opponents to win throws and alleviate the pressure on them.

The head-to-head data is also promising. Everton had just 11 throws when they played at the Etihad earlier this season. In fact, Everton are averaging just 12.2 throws per game across their last five meetings with Manchester City

Selection: Under 14.5 Throws For Everton (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.90 (bet365)
Stakes: 8/10

More Everton vs Manchester City Tips

Arsenal vs Brighton Preview

Sunday, May 14th, 16:30 (UK)

Arsenal looked to have a stranglehold on the league for long periods but they were unable to hold off the might of Manchester City indefinitely. They have won their last two matches after a run of four league games without a win. Arteta will be keen to ensure his side keep the pressure on in the hope that City slips up.

Brighton were lacklustre in their last game. The Seagulls have been thoroughly entertaining under De Zerbi and are fighting for a place in Europe so the Everton display came as a surprise. The manager has promised we will see the “real Brighton” against Arsenal.

Arsenal vs Brighton Best Bet

Arsenal have been a real force in attack this season, particularly at the Emirates. They are averaging 15.83 shots a match in the league. However, this rises to 19.18 shots per game when playing at home; the most of any team in the league.

Arteta’s men had 14 shots at Brighton this season. This was despite the fact they led from the second minute. This bet has landed in four of the last five meetings between these sides at this ground. Arsenal are averaging 18 shots per game in those matches.

Selection: Over 13.5 Shots For Arsenal
Best Odds: 1.72 (bet365)
Stakes: 8/10

Best odds available as at 10:45 May 12th 2023. Odds may now differ.

More Arsenal vs Brighton Tips

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