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Horse Racing BETSiE Champions League Projections
We’ve decided to unveil BETSiE and her Champions League projections here at bettingexpert to help our readers navigate UEFA’s flagship competition with a little more insight from a projection stance.
What is BETSiE? She’s bettingexpert’s in-house data projection model that takes in all sorts of different underlying metrics such as xG/xGA alongside a whole host of other secret ingredients. From there, she’ll run thousands of simulations of specific fixtures to generate match outcomes and league tables.
The Latest BETSiE Champions League Projections
The UEFA Champions League semi-finals promise four thrilling encounters as a quartet of top teams vie for a coveted spot in the final. In the first leg, Arsenal hosts Paris Saint-Germain with a 41.09% chance of a home victory, aiming to leverage their crowd support. PSG, however, remains a formidable opponent with a 31.3% chance of winning, suggesting a competitive clash in London.
FC Barcelona takes on Inter Milan in the other semi-final, entering the first leg with a 51.24% probability of success at home. Barcelona’s attacking strength is expected to test Inter’s defense, while Inter, with a 25.8% chance of an upset, looks to exploit any vulnerabilities.
In the second leg, PSG hosts Arsenal, holding a 47.08% likelihood of clinching victory in Paris. Arsenal will aim to capitalise on any opportunities to overturn or extend their advantage. Meanwhile, Inter Milan will host Barcelona in the return leg, with a 42.71% chance of securing a win at home, hoping to use their home advantage effectively.
Overall, these fixtures promise closely contested battles as each team strives to secure a spot in the final.
BETSiE’s Champions League Projections: Finish Probabilities
| Club | Final | Runner Up | Winner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 56.1% | 14.3% | 41.9% |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 43.9% | 13.0% | 30.8% |
| 3 | FC Barcelona | 58.1% | 41.0% | 17.0% |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 41.9% | 31.7% | 10.3% |
Projected Champions League Semi-Final Goal Totals: April 29th-May 7th
| HOME | AWAY | HGF | AGF | GD | GT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | Paris Saint-Germain | 1.29 | 1.09 | 0.17 | 2.38 |
| FC Barcelona | Inter Milan | 1.82 | 1.23 | 0.59 | 3.05 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Arsenal FC | 1.42 | 0.99 | 0.43 | 2.41 |
| Inter Milan | FC Barcelona | 1.61 | 1.39 | 0.22 | 3.00 |
BETSiE Champions League Goal Total abbreviations: HGF: Home Goals For – AGF: Away Goals For – GD: Goal Difference – GT: Goal Total.
Does BETSiE cover any other leagues? Yes, Click the graphics below!
The Championship isn’t the only league BETSiE dares to navigate from the The English Football League. Although notoriously hard to bet on, BETSiE runs simulations for every single game on all every single match day of both the Premier League and La Liga and more. Click below:
Premier League:
La Liga:
England Champions League Semi-Final Projections: April 29th-May 7th
| Home | Away | Home % | Draw % | Away % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | Paris Saint-Germain | 41.09% | 27.6% | 31.3% |
| FC Barcelona | Inter Milan | 51.24% | 23.0% | 25.8% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Arsenal FC | 47.08% | 26.79% | 26.13% |
| Inter Milan | FC Barcelona | 42.71% | 24.12% | 33.17% |
BETSiE Champions League Projections abbreviations: Home Win %: BETSiE’s Projected Probability of Home Win – Draw %: Projected Probability of Draw – Away Win %: Projected Probability of Away Win.
What is BETSiE and Her Champions League Projections?
BETSiE Champions League projections takes into account the result of every match played so far and every match yet to be played. Upcoming match results are predicted using expected goals (xG) for and against for every club in the competition.
BETSiE Champions League projections takes into account the following match data:
- Goals For / Against
- Shots For / Against
- Shots on Target For / Against
Not all goals, shots and shots on target are equal. Each goal, shot and shot on target has an adjusted value.
Based on the match data detailed above, expected scores are calculated for each match played. Each team is then assigned an average expected goals for and against.
Once expected goals for each club have been determined, BETSiE plugs them into the League One fixture and predicts scores for each upcoming game in the Champions League and the probability of each club winning, drawing or losing each match.
Expected match points are then assigned to each team in each upcoming match. BETSiE then compiles the expected results with results of matches already played and simulates the remainder of the season 20,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the competition.
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