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Analysis | Sunday, March 30, 2025 12:24 PM (Revised at: Tuesday, April 29, 2025 9:53 AM)

BETSiE England League 2 Projections

BETSiE England League 2 Projections
BETSiE England League 2 Projections and Table Prediction - bettingexpert - Colchester's Lyle Taylor during the Sky Bet League Two match at the University of Bradford Stadium

We’ve decided to unveil BETSiE and her England League 2 projections and table prediction here at bettingexpert to help our readers navigate the choppiest of fourth tier waters during the 2024/25 season. 

And what is BETSiE? She’s bettingexpert’s in-house data projection model that takes in all sorts of different underlying metrics such as xG/xGA alongside a whole host of other secret ingredients. From there, she’ll run thousands of simulations of specific fixtures to generate match outcomes and league tables.

The Latest BETSiE England League 2 Projections

This weekend’s English League 2 fixtures feature tightly contested matches and opportunities for teams to gain crucial points on the final matchday of the season. Accrington hosts Chesterfield, with the visitors slightly fancied to secure the win at 40.5%.

Bradford City is well-positioned to claim victory over Fleetwood, boasting a 47.2% chance, while Bromley has a 45.8% likelihood against Cheltenham, suggesting a competitive fixture.

Carlisle and Salford promise a closely matched encounter, as both teams are evenly balanced in their probabilities. Meanwhile, Colchester holds a slight edge at home over Barrow with a 42.2% chance of victory.

Crewe’s clash with Walsall and Grimsby’s game against AFC Wimbledon have the home sides slightly favoured, promising competitive encounters. Morecambe faces Harrogate in a match expected to be tightly contested, with both teams close in odds.

Newport takes on Tranmere with the latter more fancied at 45% to win. Notts County has the edge over Doncaster with a 41.7% likelihood of success.

Port Vale, at 48% for a home win, aims to secure points against Gillingham, while Swindon looks strong at home against MK Dons, holding a 50% chance to triumph. Each fixture offers intrigue and potential upsets across League 2.


BETSiE’s Projected England League 2 Table Prediction

Updated: 29th April 2025

# Club Games W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Doncaster 46 23.3 12.2 10.4 72.4 50.5 21.8 82.3
2 Port Vale 46 22.5 14.2 9.3 66.7 46.2 20.5 81.7
3 Bradford City 46 21.5 12.2 12.3 64.6 46.2 18.4 76.7
4 Walsall 46 20.4 14.2 11.4 75.4 55.5 19.9 75.3
5 Notts Co 46 20.4 12.2 13.3 68.5 48.4 20.2 73.5
6 AFC Wimbledon 46 19.3 13.3 13.4 56.2 36.3 19.9 71.3
7 Grimsby 46 20.4 8.3 17.3 62.3 67.2 -4.9 69.4
8 Salford 46 18.4 14.2 13.4 63.7 53.7 10.0 69.4
9 Chesterfield 46 18.4 13.3 14.3 73.3 55.1 18.2 68.5
10 Colchester 46 16.4 18.3 11.3 53.4 48.2 5.2 67.5
11 Bromley 46 16.5 15.2 14.3 62.7 60.3 2.4 64.6
12 Crewe 46 15.4 17.2 13.4 50.5 48.4 2.1 63.5
13 Swindon 46 15.5 16.2 14.3 72.6 64.1 8.5 62.7
14 Cheltenham 46 16.3 12.2 17.5 61.3 68.7 -7.4 61.2
15 Fleetwood 46 15.3 15.2 15.5 61.2 60.6 0.6 61.1
16 Barrow 46 15.3 13.3 17.4 53.2 51.4 1.8 59.2
17 Gillingham 46 13.3 16.2 16.5 41.2 47.7 -6.5 56.1
18 MK Dons 46 14.3 9.2 22.5 53.1 67.6 -14.5 52.0
19 Harrogate 46 13.4 11.2 21.4 42.7 61.7 -19.0 51.4
20 Accrington 46 12.3 14.3 19.4 54.1 69.3 -15.2 51.2
21 Newport 46 13.3 10.2 22.4 52.3 73.6 -21.3 50.2
22 Tranmere 46 11.4 15.2 19.3 42.6 65.3 -22.7 49.6
23 Carlisle 46 10.4 11.2 24.4 43.7 70.7 -27 42.4
24 Morecambe 46 10.4 6.2 29.4 40.7 71.7 -31 37.4


Projected England League 2 Matchday 46 Goal Totals: May 2nd

HOME AWAY HGF AGF GD GT
Accrington Chesterfield 1.14 1.31 -0.17 2.45
Bradford City Fleetwood 1.62 1.20 0.42 2.82
Bromley Cheltenham 1.70 1.35 0.35 3.05
Carlisle Salford 1.67 1.66 0.01 3.34
Colchester Barrow 1.41 1.18 0.23 2.60
Crewe Walsall 1.53 1.40 0.13 2.93
Grimsby AFC Wimbledon 1.28 1.21 0.08 2.49
Morecambe Harrogate 1.71 1.67 0.04 3.38
Newport Tranmere 1.27 1.59 -0.32 2.87
Notts Co Doncaster 1.53 1.36 0.18 2.89
Port Vale Gillingham 1.67 1.22 0.45 2.89
Swindon MK Dons 1.62 1.07 0.55 2.69

BETSiE England League 2 Goal Total abbreviations: HGF: Home Goals For – AGF: Away Goals For – GD: Goal Difference – GT: Goal Total.


Does BETSiE cover any other leagues in the EFL? Yes, Click the graphics below!

The Championship isn’t the only league BETSiE dares to navigate from the The English Football League. Although notoriously hard to bet on, BETSiE runs simulations for every single game on all 46 matchdays of both the Championship and League 1 below:

Championship:

Championship BETSiE bettingexpert banner

League 1:

BETSiE League 1 bettingexpert banner


England League 2 Matchday 46 Projections: May 2nd

Home Away Home % Draw % Away %
Accrington Chesterfield 32.60% 26.9% 40.5%
Bradford City Fleetwood 47.20% 24.2% 28.6%
Bromley Cheltenham 45.80% 23.3% 30.9%
Carlisle Salford 39.00% 22.4% 38.6%
Colchester Barrow 42.2% 25.9% 31.9%
Crewe Walsall 40.7% 24.2% 35.2%
Grimsby AFC Wimbledon 38.4% 26.7% 34.8%
Morecambe Harrogate 39.7% 22.3% 38.0%
Newport Tranmere 30.8% 24.2% 45.0%
Notts Co Doncaster 41.7% 24.3% 34.0%
Port Vale Gillingham 48.00% 23.80% 28.20%
Swindon MK Dons 50.00% 24.50% 25.50%

BETSiE England League 2 Projections abbreviations: Home Win %: BETSiE’s Projected Probability of Home Win – Draw %: Projected Probability of Draw – Away Win %: Projected Probability of Away Win.


BETSiE England League 2 Projections: League Finish Probabilities

Club Win League Top 2 Finish Playoffs Top 6 Finish Top Half Finish Bottom Half Finish Relegation
Doncaster 65.6% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Port Vale 34.4% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradford City 0.0% 69.9% 30.1% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walsall 0.0% 22.5% 77.5% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Notts Co 0.0% 7.6% 92.4% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AFC Wimbledon 0.0% 0.0% 76.0% 76.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grimsby 0.0% 0.0% 41.5% 41.5% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Salford 0.0% 0.0% 49.2% 49.2% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chesterfield 0.0% 0.0% 27.2% 27.2% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colchester 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 6.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bromley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.5% 19.5% 0.0%
Crewe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 57.4% 42.6% 0.0%
Swindon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45.5% 54.5% 0.0%
Cheltenham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 96.1% 0.0%
Fleetwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 87.3% 0.0%
Barrow 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Gillingham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
MK Dons 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Harrogate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Accrington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Newport 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Tranmere 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Carlisle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Morecambe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%

What is BETSiE and Her League 2 Projections?

BETSiE England League 2 projections takes into account the result of every match played so far and every match yet to be played. Upcoming match results are predicted using expected goals (xG) for and against for every club in the league.

BETSiE England League 2 projections takes into account the following match data:

  • Goals For / Against
  • Shots For / Against
  • Shots on Target For / Against

Not all goals, shots and shots on target are equal. Each goal, shot and shot on target has an adjusted value.

Based on the match data detailed above, expected scores are calculated for each match played. Each team is then assigned an average expected goals for and against.

Once expected goals for each club have been determined, BETSiE plugs them into the League One fixture and predicts scores for each upcoming game in the League One season and the probability of each club winning, drawing or losing each match.

Expected match points are then assigned to each team in each upcoming match. BETSiE then compiles the expected results with results of matches already played and simulates the remainder of the season 20,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the league, finishing top 4 or being relegated.


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