Update: Premier League Relegation Odds September 2nd 2021
With a few fixtures behind us in the Premier League, the table is shaping up, and it’s time to take a look back at the relegation odds for each team and see if there are any changes. Some teams have performed well to start the season, but there are also underachievers. The current state of the race might surprise you.
By far the most disappointing side is Arsenal. They lost their first three matches and conceded nine goals whilst scoring none. Accordingly, their odds in this market shortened from 81.00 to a whopping 21.00 Nothing is decided, but Arteta will have to find a way to motivate his squad. They have faced tough competition to start the season, and their schedule should allow them to regain their confidence.
Newly promoted sides are always favourites in this market, and Norwich are still holding on to the position of top favourite to be relegated. With three defeats to start the season and 10 goals conceded, their odds shortened from 2.00 to 1.73 (Skybet).
Watford are still the runners-up to move back to the Championship after one victory and two defeats. Their odds increased from 2.00 to 2.25 (Bet365), and Watford could just survive this year. They performed very well against Tottenham, and they have a squad capable to stay above the relegation zone.
Burnley jumped to the third position un the relegation market, and their odds shortened from 3.50 to 2.37 (Bet365). With two defeats and one draw to start the season, Burnley haven’t exactly improved since last season. Sean Dyche will have his hands full trying to keep the team afloat with the current state of the club.
Crystal Palace is another team in danger of getting relegated, and their odds recently shortened from 2.75 to 2.20 (Bet365). Crystal Palace have yet to win a match this season, starting the season with two draws and one defeat.
With two defeats and a draw to start the season, Newcastle are one of the prime candidates in this market. Their odds shortened from 4.00 to just 2.50. Their only acquisition this summer was Joe Willock from Arsenal, leaving Steve Bruce with largely the same squad as last year.
Just a few weeks ago, Brentford were the third candidate to be relegated, but their solid play has convinced shifter their chances. Their odds increased from 2.20 to 4.00 (Skybet). Brentford haven’t lost a match yet, and with two draws and one victory, they are currently the best newly-promoted side.
Original article with updated odds below:
It’s never nice to see but three clubs will experience Premier League relegation this season. There are some big favourites with the bookies but which sides will head for the Championship?
In this article:
- Who are the Endangered?
- Who are the Threatened?
- Who are the Outside Chances?
- Who are the Longshots?
- Who are the Very Unlikely?
Premier League Relegation Odds 2022
What are Premier League relegation odds? This market allows punters to back a side to get relegated from the Premier League in that season.
If a team finishes in the bottom three places in the Premier League table, they are relegated to the Championship. It doesn’t matter which of the three places the side takes up, the relegation odds are still valid.
If you back a club on the Premier League relegation odds and they finish 20th, 19th or 18th then the bet will win. If they finish the season in 17th place or above, the bet loses.
Of course, the bet is only valid for that season. If you bet on a side to go down and they stay up but get relegated the season after, the bet still loses.
You can bet on a side’s Premier League odds to be relegated at any time. It’s not just a market to back before the season kicks off. Things will get even more interesting as the season progresses. There is plenty of value to be found throughout the season as the Premier League relegation odds fluctuate.
Current Premier League Relegation Odds
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Premier League Relegation Odds as at 2nd September 2021. Odds may now differ
All odds mentioned below are best odds available as at 2nd September 2021. Premier League relegation odds may now differ.
- Norwich Premier League relegation odds: 1.73 (Skybet)
- Watford Premier League relegation odds: 2.25 (bet365)
- Brentford Premier League relegation odds: 4.00 (Skybet)
The bookies don’t have high hopes for the newly-promoted sides. Norwich, Watford and Brentford qualified for the Premier League from England’s second tier last season. They are the three favourites to head straight back down with the Premier League relegation odds.
It wouldn’t be a huge surprise. Relegation in their first season is a common outcome for newly-promoted Premier League sides. In four of the last seven seasons, two of the three newly-promoted sides were relegated in their first season back in the top flight.
Norwich topped the Championship last season. Daniel Farke’s side bounced straight back from relegation the season before. Since then they’ve lost star man Emi Buendia to Aston Villa and are now the favourites to go straight back down. Norwich are priced at 2.00 to go straight back down but are as low as 1.83 in the Premier League relegation odds.
History suggests that they’ve got a slightly better chance of beating the drop than the other two sides. 10 of the 29 sides promoted to the Premier League as champions were relegated in their first season. Only one of the last seven sides promoted as champions went straight back down in their first season.
Watford are the second-favourites to go down. They’re available at around 2.05 in the Premier League relegation odds. The Hornets finished second in the Championship last season. Two of the last three sides promoted to the Premier League as runners-up were relegated in their first season.
Brentford came up via the playoffs. That usually leads to a short stint in the top flight. Five of the last seven sides promoted to the top flight via the playoffs were relegated in their first season. The Bees are 2.20 to go straight back down in the Premier League relegation odds. That’s better than the other two sides that joined them from the Championship.
- Crystal Palace Premier League relegation odds:2.20 (bet365)
- Burnley Premier League relegation odds: 2.37 (bet365)
- Newcastle Premier League relegation odds: 2.50 (Betway)
A lot has changed at Crystal Palace with new players and a new manager overseeing things. Patrick Vieira is now in charge at Selhurst Park but the bookies think they’re in for a fight this campaign. The Eagles are priced at 2.75 in their Premier League odds for relegation. They finished in 14th last season but the bookies expect them to drop off.
Burnley are expected to be towards the bottom once again. Sean Dyche’s men finished one place above the drop zone last campaign and are amongst the front-runners to go down. Burnley’s Premier League odds of relegation are 3.50 with most bookmakers. That’s an implied probability of 28.60%.
Newcastle complete the three threatened sides. The Magpies have hovered above the drop zone for several seasons. Their relegation odds of 4.33 suggest that they’ll be towards the bottom of the table yet again. Their Premier League odds of relegation give them an implied probability of 23.1%.
The Outside Chances
- Southampton Premier League relegation odds: 4.50 (Betfair)
- Wolves Premier League relegation odds: 5.00 (William Hill)
- Brighton Premier League relegation odds: 15.00 (Paddy Power)
- Aston Villa Premier League relegation odds: 12.00 (Skybet)
- West Ham Premier League relegation odds: 41.00 (Skybet)
- Leeds Premier League relegation odds: 15.00 (Skybet)
- Everton Premier League relegation odds: 34.00 (William Hill)
It’s not uncommon for mid-table sides to fall off and get relegated. If the three newly-promoted sides outperform expectations then we may well see it this season. The Premier League odds of relegation for some of these sides are fairly long but stranger things have happened.
This is their tenth consecutive season in the top flight but Southampton’s Premier League odds for relegation are low. The Saints are priced at 6.00 to go down to England’s second tier for the first time in a decade. Wolves have the same Premier League odds to be relegated as Southampton at 6.00.
Looking at the table from last season, it may be a surprise to see Brighton’s Premier League odds to be relegated are so long. The Seagulls finished two places above the drop zone but their relegation odds for this season are 9.00.
Aston Villa, Leeds and West Ham all enjoyed fine seasons last time out. Dean Smith’s men only just missed out on the top half of the table. They’re out at 10.00 to head back down to the Championship. Everton didn’t have their best season but are out at 26.00 to get relegated this campaign.
West Ham and Leeds have the same Premier League odds of relegation. Both sides are out at 12.00 to head back down to the Championship. The Hammers finished 6th and enjoyed a tremendous campaign. The bookies think it would be a big surprise to see them drop at least 12 places and go down. Leeds aren’t expecting to be down there either.
- Leicester Premier League relegation odds: 67.00 (bet365)
- Arsenal Premier League relegation odds: 21.00 (Mansion Bet)
- Tottenham Premier League relegation odds: 151.00 (bet365)
Don’t expect many of these sides to go down. Leicester, Tottenham and Arsenal have some lengthy Premier League odds for relegation. The Foxes are the likelier of the three at 67.00. Their relegation odds are roughly the same as their Premier League winner odds with some bookies.
Arsenal’s Premier League relegation odds are 81.00. The bookies aren’t expecting them to be near the bottom of the table this season and it’s the same story across North London. Tottenham’s Premier League odds for relegation are around 151.00. That’s considerably higher than the Gunners’ numbers.
The Very Unlikely
- Manchester United Premier League relegation odds: 501.00 (Paddy Power)
- Chelsea Premier League relegation odds: 1001.0 (Skybet)
- Liverpool Premier League relegation odds: 2001.0 (Betway)
- Man City Premier League relegation odds: 2001.0 (Betway)
Last season’s top 4 clubs have the longest Premier League odds for relegation. Manchester United are available at 1001.00 to go down while Liverpool’s relegation odds are 1501.00.
Last season’s Champions League winners are another step up. Chelsea’s Premier League odds of relegation are 2001.00 but that’s nothing compared to Man City’s. Pep Guardiola’s men are out at 5001.00 to go down this campaign. Their relegation odds are the same as Leicester City’s title odds were back in 2014-15.
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