Update: Premier League Top 4 Odds September 2nd 2021
The season has begun, and the Premier League table is already taking shape. Some teams have disappointed with poor performances, whilst others have done surprisingly well. It’s time to take a look at how the transfer period and the start of the season have affected each team’s odds to finish in the top four of the Premier League.
Manchester City remain the absolute favourite to finish in the top four, and their odds have slightly shortened from 1.06 to 1.06 (Bet365). Neglectable shift, and even though they were unable to sign a striker this summer, CIty still remain one of the strongest teams in the Premier League. City had a solid start to the season, with two victories and one close defeat.
Chelsea are second in line to finish in the top four, and the team’s excellent performances have not gone unnoticed. Their odds shifted from 1.25 to 1.12 (Bet365) after three matches played. They started the season nicely, with two victories and one draw (against Liverpool). Romelu Lukaku was their biggest signing this summer, and so far the striker is proving to be an excellent fit.
Liverpool have had exactly the same start to the season as Chelsea. Two wins and one draw to start the season caused their odds to shorten from 1.30 to 1.25 (Paddy Power). Their only acquisition this summer was Ibrahima Konate from Leipzig, but they received unexpected help from their youth squad. Young right-winger Harvey Elliot has earned a spot in Klopp’s lineup with excellent performances and is an excellent fit for this squad.
Manchester United are still among the top four candidates for this market. United acquired Jordan Sancho, Raphael Verane, and Cristiano Ronaldo this summer. This, along with their excellent start to the season caused their odds to shorten from 1.36 to 1.25 in recent weeks. They now have a frightening squad, and it’s hard to imagine them not making the top four this season.
Mixed results for Leicester to start the season. Two wins and one loss in their first three matches caused their odds to increase from 5.50 to 6.00. Not much of a shift, but the bookies have taken notice. Leicester quite had one of the best transfer periods in the league. Apart from defensive reinforcements, Leicester brought in young striker Patson Daka from Salzburg. Leicester currently provide excellent value in this market.
Arsenal are one of the teams that had a terrible start to the season. Their odds increased from 6.50 to a whopping 13.00 (Unibet). This is by far the biggest shift in the upper part of the table. Despite making multiple moves this summer, Arsenal lost their first three matches, whilst conceding a total of 9 goals, and scoring none. Theta are struggling at the moment, and it’s questionable if and when they can bounce back.
Tottenham have had a surprisingly good start to the season. Nuno Espirito Santo brought in Cristian Romero, Bryan Gill, Emerson Royal, and Pepe Sarr this summer. However, the biggest news for the London club is that Harry Kane will be playing this season. He already made his return against Watford, and heir odds in this market shortened from 6.50 to 3.50 (William Hill).
Original article with updated odds below:
Who are the favourites to finish in the top 4 of the Premier League this season? It’s a competitive race with multiple clubs in with a realistic chance of finishing in the top 4. We look at all 20 sides and rank their chances.
In this article:
- Who are the Favourites?
- Who are the Challengers?
- Who are the Outside Chances?
- Who are the Longshots?
- Who are the Unlikely?
Premier League Top 4 Odds 2022
Premier League top 4 odds are the chances of a club finishing in any one of the top four spots in the Premier League table after all 380 matches have been played in a given season.
If you back a side to finish in the top 4 and they finish either 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the table at the end of the season, the bet will win. It doesn’t matter which of those four places the side takes up, the returns are the same. If they finish 5th or below in the table, the bet loses.
Premier League top 4 odds are available throughout the season. It doesn’t have to be a prediction made before the campaign begins.
Things often heat up in the race for the top four as the season progresses. Clubs can make late surges and clinch one of the coveted top 4 spots. Liverpool were in 7th with 4 games left to play in the 2020-21 season. They ended up finishing 3rd. That shows how much betting value there is in top 4 Premier League odds.
Current Premier League Top 4 Odds
|Team Name||BET365||PADDY POWER||WILLIAM HILL||BETFAIR||UNIBET|
Premier League top 4 Odds as at 2nd September 2021. Odds may now differ
Probability of Top 4 Premier League Finish in 2021/22 based on adjusted bookmaker odds
All odds mentioned below are best odds available as at 2nd September 2021. Premier League title odds may now differ.
- Manchester City Top 4 Odds: 1.05 (bet365)
- Liverpool Top 4 Odds: 1.25 (Paddy Power)
- Chelsea Top 4 Odds: 1.12 (bet365)
- Manchester United Top 4 Odds: 1.25 (Paddy Power)
Last season’s top 4 sides are the big favourites to finish there again. Manchester City are top 4 staples and have finished there in each of the last 11 seasons. They’re 1.06 this season and were 1.05 in the top 4 finish odds ahead of last campaign. That fractional difference won’t worry Pep Guardiola and his side.
Chelsea are available at 1.25 in the Premier League top 4 odds. Last season’s Champions League winners were 1.50 at this stage last campaign. They finished fourth last season but are the second-favourites to finish anywhere in the top 4 this time.
Liverpool and Manchester United have roughly even odds for a top 4 finish. The Reds are at 1.30 and United are out at 1.36. The odds for Jurgen Klopp’s men have plummeted from their 1.08 in the top 4 finish odds last campaign. United finished 2nd last season but are the fourth-favourites to finish in the Champions League qualification spots this campaign.
- Leicester Top 4 Odds: 6.00 (bet365)
- Arsenal Top 4 Odds: 13.00 (Unibet)
- Tottenham Top 4 Odds: 3.50 (William Hill)
Leicester City were a whisker away from a top 4 spot last season. Brendan Rodgers’ men were in the top 4 of the table for 36 of the 38 game weeks. They lost three of their final four matches and finished a point off 4th. The Foxes are 5.50 to finish in the top 4 this season. They were out at 11.00 ahead of the campaign last year.
The two sides in North London are also in contention. Arsenal are available at 6.00 and Spurs are out at 6.50 in the top 4 Premier League odds. The Gunners were available at 3.75 and Spurs were 4.50 ahead of last season.
Arsenal had an up and down season but showed good form from the turn of the year. Still, a poor first-half of the season meant that they finished in 8th. The bookies give them a 16.70% chance with the Premier League top four odds. Spurs are stepping into the unknown following the appointment of Nuno Espirito Santo. They have a 15.4% chance of finishing in the top 4 finish odds.
The Outside Chances
- Leeds Top 4 Odds: 26.00 (William Hill)
- Everton Top 4 Odds: 12.00 (Skybet)
- West Ham Top 4 Odds: 13.00 (Skybet)
- Aston Villa Top 4 Odds: 34.00 (Unibet)
There are some major outside shots. The other four sides that made up the top 11 last season are big outsiders to reach the top 4 this time around. West Ham were only two points off 4th place last season. David Moyes’ men are as high as 17.00 in the Premier League top 4 odds to climb two places this season.
A couple of sides that finished below the Hammers last campaign have shorter odds of a top 4 finish. Leeds are the eighth-favourites to finish in the top 4 once the season concludes. Marcelo Bielsa’s men enjoyed an excellent first season back in the Premier League last campaign. They finished 9th but the bookies think they have a 7.69% chance of climbing five places in the top 4 Premier League odds.
Like Leeds, Aston Villa enjoyed an excellent season last year. Dean Smith’s men went from 17th to 11th in the table in the last couple of seasons. They’ve reinforced during the summer but the bookies aren’t expecting them to make a push for Champions League football. They’re 21.00 with the Premier League top 4 odds at an implied probability of 4.76%.
Everton have had some difficulties preparing for the new season but they’re still amongst the chasing pack. The Toffees are 13.00 in the Premier League top four odds to finish there for the first time since the 2004-05 season.
- Brighton Top 4 Odds: 34.00 (William Hill)
- Southampton Top 4 Odds: 151.00 (Paddy Power)
- Wolves Top 4 Odds: 201.00 (Skybet)
- Newcastle Top 4 Odds: 101.00 (bet365)
- Burnley Top 4 Odds: 501.00 (Skybet)
- Crystal Palace Top 4 Odds: 251.00 (William Hill)
Naturally, most of the sides that finished in the bottom half of the table last season are longshots in the Premier League top 4 odds. Brighton, Southampton and Wolves have all got a comparative chance of a top 4 place with the bookies. The three clubs are all available at 41.00 in the top 4 Premier League odds to automatically qualify for the Champions League. That’s a remote 2.44% chance with the bookmakers’ Premier League top four odds.
Newcastle, Burnley and Crystal Palace are all longshots. The Eagles have a new manager at the helm after Patrick Vieira took over at Selhurst Park.
Palace and Newcastle were comfortably inside the top 15 last season but Burnley had a tougher campaign. Sean Dyche’s men finish one place above the bottom three and the bookies expect something similar this season. The Clarets are out at 81.00 in the top 4 odds so the bookies are expecting them to be towards the bottom.
- Brentford Top 4 Odds: 81.00 (William Hill)
- Watford Top 4 Odds: 251.00 (William Hill)
- Norwich Top 4 Odds: 251.00 (William Hill)
The three newly-promoted sides are unlikely to reach the top four this campaign according to the bookies. Nottingham Forest were the last newly-promoted side to finish in the top four in the Premier League that was back in the 1994-95 season. Brentford, Watford, and Norwich are all available at 151.00 in the Premier League top 4 odds to match that feat this season.
The Canaries topped the Championship table last season. This is their fifth stint in the Premier League but the bookies aren’t expecting them to challenge for Europe. They’re available at 151.00 in the Premier League top 4 odds. That’s around a 0.66% chance of getting there.
Play-off winners Brentford are available at the same price. Thomas Frank’s side are 151.00 to get there but both teams are longer than Watford. The Hornets are 126.00 in the top 4 Premier League odds but that’s still a remote 0.79% chance with the bookies.
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