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| Tuesday, August 29, 2023 12:21 PM (Revised at: Tuesday, December 12, 2023 5:42 PM)
Champions League Winner Odds: City and Bayern Lead The Pack
Sam Ingram
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In a world where Manchester City lifted their first European trophy not too long ago, fresh in the minds of bookmakers and punters alike, perhaps there’s a slither of value elsewhere on the continent ready to be plucked from the Champions League Winner Odds markets.
Can a Harry Kane-led Bayern outfit usher silverware towards Bavaria? Is Jude Bellingham enough to propel the new era Galacticos to another trophy lift? And what about Luis Enrique at PSG? Our expert, Sam Ingram, takes us through the Champions League Winner Odds betting landscape.
In this article:
- Champions League Winner Odds
- The Luck of the Champions League Draw
- Price Movers Following The Draw
- Who Will Win The Champions League?
- Safer Gambling
Champions League Winner Odds
| Champions League Teams | Champions League Winner Odds |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | 3.00 |
| Bayern Munich | 5.00 |
| Real Madrid | 7.50 |
| Arsenal | 8.00 |
| PSG | 15.00 |
| Barcelona | 17.00 |
| Atletico Madrid | 21.00 |
| Inter Milan | 21.00 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 34.00 |
| Napoli | 41.00 |
| Newcastle | 51.00 |
Champions League Winner Odds via bet365 as at 12:01, Monday, December 12th. Odds may now differ.
There is a bit of daylight between the chasing pack in terms of the Champions League Winner odds. Yet, the sky blue faction of Manchester continuously proves time and time again that there’s also daylight on the pitch.
Now for something that will surprise absolutely nobody: Pep Guardiola’s Citizens entered match day one in the 2023/24 Champions League edition as 3.00 favourites. Harry Kane’s Bayern Munich nipped at City’s heels – albeit from afar – as the next most-fancied outfit at 6.50, before putting crosstown Manchester rivals to the sword in Group A.
As you’d expect after their barnstorming 90 minutes against the Parisians on Tyneside, money has come for Newcastle following a twenty year absence from the competition. Eddie Howe has his side firing on the back of a poor showing in Milan. But do they have enough to progress to the latter stages?
The Luck Of The Champions League Draw: Its effect on the Champions League Winner Odds market
‘The luck of the draw’ is a phrase often peddled in and around footballing circles. Gareth Southgate and England experienced such in the Euro 2020 finals as they sauntered towards the final, facing a hapless German outfit, a not-so-dashing Danes cohort, and Ukraine (4-0) in the quarter-final, something which turned into a precession.
And it’s the same in the Champions League draw. A favourable, straightforward route into the knockouts of UEFA’s domestic flagship competition can alter a bookmaker’s – and punter’s – view on the Champions League Winner Odds offerings.
Below, let’s look at the effect the Champions League draw had on the Champions League Winner Odds offering on bet365:
| Champions League Teams | Pre-draw Champions League Winner Odds > Post Draw |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | 3.25 > 3.00 |
| Bayern Munich | 6.00 > 6.50 |
| Real Madrid | 9.00 |
| Arsenal | 11.00 |
| Barcelona | 15.00 |
| PSG | 17.00 |
| Manchester United | 17.00 > 21.00 |
| Newcastle | 21.00 > 26.00 |
| Napoli | 26.00 |
| Inter Milan | 34.00 > 26.00 |
| Dortmund | 34.00 > 51.00 |
Champions League Winner Odds via bet365 as at 10:30, Monday 4th Sept. Odds may now differ.
The Luck Of The Champions League Draw: Price Movers
Champions League favourites, Manchester City, saw money come in for them following the draw – now clipped in ever so slightly into 3.00 competition-leaders. The Citizens were pitted in Group G with RB Leipzig (no shocks there), Crvena Zvezda and Young Boys. It should be as straightforward as it gets in their opening six group-stage matches.
Elsewhere, Bayern Munich found a home in Group A alongside Manchester United, Københaven and Wilfried Zaha’s Galatasaray. The market suggests this could be a tricky group for the Germans, with their Champions League Winners Odds price drifting a touch. The Red Devils’ move from 17.00 > 21.00 follows similar thinking, with the Turks potentially equipped with a squad that may possess enough to cause an upset or two.
Those of a Newcastle persuasion will have mixed feelings. Finally, they’re back on the biggest stages after so long away. However, it’s PSG, Borussia Dortmund, and AC Milan to accompany them in Group F. Is this quartet the 2023/24 edition’s group of death? It’s one many a Newcastle fan would have winced at, that’s for sure. Consequently, both Newcastle (21.00 > 26.00)and Dortmund (34.00 > 51.00) drift amidst stiff competition, whilst AC Milan shortens from 41.00 > 34.00 in a group which could realistically fall in anyone’s favour.
Fellow Milanese and Serie A outfit Internazionale is another near the top of the betting to benefit from a kind draw, according to the shift in price. Last year’s finalists will line up against Benfica, RB Salzburg, and Real Sociedad in Group D under Inzaghi this term.
Further down the betting, Benfica moves into 51.00 shots from 67.00 after pencilling in Inter Milan into their upcoming schedule. Celtic in Group E also budge (201.00 > 151.00) after Feyenoord, Atleti, and Lazio join the Scots in Group E, whilst RC Lens (151.00 > 100.00) emerge favourably price-wise in a setting that includes Arsenal, Sevilla (81.00), and PSV (151.00).
Note to reader: everything you see below this point are ante-post thoughts before the Champions League kicked off. Although this article is updated regularly to supply the latest Champions League winner odds and information, we thought it’d be good to leave our pre-tournament thoughts up and available for all the view. Hopefully there’s a winner or two tucked away below.
Ante-Post: Who Will Trump all in the 2023/24 Champions League Winner Odds Betting?
The million-dollar question: who will win the 2023/24 Champions League? Unfortunately, we have no crystal ball here at bettingexpert.
But what we can do is run through which prices may offer value and highlight any changing variables at particular competing clubs that may edge them closer to Champions League silverware.
In City’s shadow: Bayern Munich eyeing a run in Europe following additions
In June, Bayern Munich were handed an 8.00 tag in the Champions League winners odds market. The task at hand in June seemed somewhat uphill just a month after City’s trophy lift with no world-class number nine in Munich. No Robert Lewandowski, no replacement, just Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting to wrestle City’s crown into the arms of Germany’s most prestigious club.
Things have changed With Kane vacating the Premier League for Munich, following Min-jae Kim through the door from Napoli in the heart of the defence. There’s enough in the Bayern outfit now to cause severe headaches in this competition – even more so than usual. Coupled with Thomas Tuchel in the dugout, a man with a Champions League win in Chelsea colours under his belt against Pep, maybe this is a squad to get excited about. It’s one assembled by the powers that be in Munich with precisely this in mind, that’s for sure.
Julian Nagelsmann wasn’t a good enough fit in their eyes; Tuchel comes in. A statement centre-forward signing was a necessity following Lewandowski’s departure; Kane comes after waiting patiently. The bellowing uncertainty fostered in their defensive line asked the question of whether their backline could win a competition of this magnitude; Napoli received a phone call.
All the glaring holes have been filled; questions have been answered. Now it’s Tuchel’s time to cross the T’s, dot the I’s, and lead a successful Champions League hunt.
The market movement from 8.00 to 6.50 signifies the excitement that’s building. It hasn’t been a perfect start for this Kane-infused Bayern set-up, losing to RB Leipzig (51.00) in the German Super Cup in his first appearance. But give it time. This squad has the capacity to humble Europe’s elite on their best day.
One of the main takeaways from Bayern in the last couple of seasons in the Champions League was their backline. Dayot Upamecano proved a walking liability in some instances. Adding Min-jae Kim may not set tongues wagging as Kane will, but he’ll bring a real ruggedness and leadership in areas that were questionably governed at this level in years gone by.
Write Real Madrid off at your peril: Third favourites are more than capable
The Jude Bellingham Galactico era is beginning to look like a masterstroke from Real Madrid. He may have come for an eye-watering fee at a tender age, but the Englishman has taken to life in the Spanish capital like a duck to water.
Four goals and an assist in Real Madrid’s first three La Liga games highlight precisely how fundamental Bellingham may prove to this squad amidst the quality and experience on show. Will his presence ease the burden of Karim Benzema’s exit? Definitely. Is it enough to leave a mark on the European stage when all is said and done this season? We can’t be too sure.
Vinicius Junior’s seven UCL goals last term was only pipped by two players – an inhumane showing from Erling Haaland (12) and eight strikes from Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah. Fellow Brazilian teammate Rodrygo (5) wasn’t too far behind. That attacking trio, including Jude Bellingham, has a real youthful, fearless feel to it – one which may be lacking in terms of leading Real Madrid to glory. Still, it should be a fun watch along the way.
This is Real Madrid’s competition, though. The numerous fairytales at the competition’s business end, with that white strip front and centre, are vast – moments that will live long in the memory of football fans borne from players who embody the badge and club’s image. Don’t be too surprised to see a similar line of storytelling in this season’s instalment.
At 9.00, for the 14-time European Cup victors to have enough to swing the ‘who will win the 2023/24 Champions League?’ conundrum in their favour, it’s an option one has to consider, though I’d side with avoiding Real Madrid this time out.
The Champions League Winner Odds longshot: Can Napoli kick on post-Spalletti?
If you’re a fan of the more succulent prices, Italy’s champions could divert your gaze from the likes of Bayern Munich and Real Madrid. Of course, they 26.00 for a reason, as question marks emerge from the dugout following Luciano Spalletti’s exit from the club.
To the surprise of many, AC Milan knocked Napoli out of their stride in the quarter-final of the Champions League last season. It looked at one stage that a strong surge towards the final would accompany a memorable Serie A season, but the two Milan clubs had other ideas. Inter would, of course, reach the final, providing the competition in the way of City’s first-ever European Cup triumph.
Napoli may have lost Min-jae Kim to Bayern Munich, but Victor Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia very much remain, as does Piotr Zielinski, despite the calling of Saudi Arabian suitors.
Enough remains from last season to suggest this 26.00 outfit is one to be wary of. And now they have a season of Champions League quarter-final experience under their belt.
The Parisians Look A Little Plump Despite Tricky-Looking Champions League Draw
Elsewhere, Ligue 1 champions PSG (17.00) presents an intriguing option despite the unfortunate ‘group of death’ situation from the Champions League draw. Can a new-look squad, bolstered by Ousmane Dembélé, Randal Kolo Muani, Bradley Barcola, and Gonçalo Ramos along the forward line under new management, prompt a newfound fortune in the Champions League? Time will tell.
That’s goals, legs, and a youthful, energetic hunger perhaps not found in those recently vacating the PSG. A price that piques the interest falls in the Group Betting outright markets. At 2.38 on Skybet (2.10 on bet365), PSG is an enticing prospect if you fancy them to topple Newcastle, AC Milan, and Borussia Dortmund in Group F.
It’s a strong group, yes. But I feel the bookmakers haven’t quite clocked on to how transformative this summer has been in Paris and how the appointment of Luis Enrique may just be the driving force to flip fortunes on its head for the Qatari-backed capital giant.
SAFER GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
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