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Analysis | Tuesday, June 4, 2024 12:46 PM (Revised at: Thursday, June 13, 2024 1:11 PM)

The bettingexpert Euro 2024 Betting Guide

The bettingexpert Euro 2024 Betting Guide

Euro 2024 is here, but how should you approach betting on events in Germany? Which teams will outperform expectations and which nations will flop? Are there any interesting historical trends that could help you identify betting value?

We’re here to help answer those questions. 

The bettingexpert Euro 2024 is a completely free companion guide to help you navigate this continental footballing feast. 180 pages of data, insight and knowledge combine to make one of the most ambitious projects we’ve ever done. 

It’s designed to be useful throughout the competition whether you’re planning for outrights or watching the clock tick down to a penalty shootout in the knockout stage.

For a free copy of the Euro 2024, click the button below:

Download the guide

What will you find in the guide?

Our guide takes a different approach to any other tournament preview. The analysis and insight you’ll find in the document is based on our in-house betting data which goes back decades. This betting data is on the following markets:

  • Match Result (1X2)
  • Handicap Betting
  • Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5)

Using this as a foundation, we’ve split the guide into several different sections:

  • 8 historical tournament  analysis articles 
  • 24 team-by-team articles 
  • BETSiE projections for every team and group
  • Unique analysis from our experts including exclusive quotes from Mikael Silvestre and John Barnes

Historical tournament analysis

Compiled and written by Andrew Brocker, this section is split into eight separate articles, all approaching betting on Euro 2024 from a different angle. Harnessing our unique in-house data, Andrew has unearthed some gems ahead of this tournament. A 28% ROI over two decades for backing in one market being one of them. You can read more on the links below: 

Nation by Nation Analysis

This section was written by yours truly and our Football Editor Sam Ingram. Using our in-house data, we’ve looked at each team’s performance in qualifying and previous major tournaments. That will help us understand how they’ll perform at the tournament proper. 

BETSiE Projections

We couldn’t compile this guide without our in-house betting model. BETSiE has crunched the numbers and simulated the tournament half a million times to predict Euro 2024. You’ll find projections for all eight groups and tournament finishing positions for every team. 

Find out here for match, team and table projections by BETSiE.

What is Even Stakes Profitability?

This term is used throughout the guide, but what does it mean? Even stakes profitability is the return that could have been achieved by betting a single unit on a particular outcome. 

As you’ll see in the guide, backing the draw in the 1X2 market in the knockout stage of every European Championship tournament since 2000 would have returned an even stakes profit of +22.1 unit and a return on investment (ROI%) of 38.1%.

A Word of Warning

Our Euro 2024 Betting Guide has shone the light on several areas that would have historically led to a profit. It’s vital to remember that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes. 

This guide is intended as an educational tool, not something to blindly follow. Failing that, the information in our guide can act as a starting point when looking for betting value at Euro 2024.

Responsible Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a responsible approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

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